In my opinion Newcastle have excellent chances to make 3 points in today’s match up.

Newcastle coming for this game with big mental advantage. Last time both teams played each other one month ago in EFL Cup – Newcastle outplayed 3:0 Manchester United at Old Trafford. Last match between both teams at St. James’ Park finished with Newcastle 2:0 win.

Newcastle also have advantage in fitness department. Both teams played midweek matches in Champions League, but Newcastle had one day more to recover because they played at Tuesday (Manchester United at Wednesday). On day is big difference especially when both teams schedule is fully packed.

Both teams coming for this game in totally different mood – Newcastle recorded valuable point on the road against PSG and still have chances for qualification into knock out stage. On the other hand Manchester United made draw 3:3 against Galata on away. That was very painful as they had a 3:1 lead and now they are on last position in group. Morale in team must be low.

Newcastle is rock solid at the back when playing at home, no doubt about that. In current season they conceded only 4 goals front of home crowd. On the other hand Manchester have problems with striker/goalscorer position if their best scorer so far is defensive midfielder McTominay..

Newcastle is really top quality team at home, 6 wins in last 7 home matches and lost only 3 of last 27 home matches. In current season they already won against Chelsea, Arsenal or PSG in Champions League. In last match against Chelsea they scored 4 goals so they should be able to score goals against extremely unstable guests defensive formation. They have 1.67 expected goals conceded per game on away in Premier League..

Is very hard to trust for Manchester United, their results looks better than really should. They won against Sheffield, Everton and Fulham, but according to the expected goals scored model they had lower number from those 3 matches together than their opponents (3.98 vs 4.81). In addition to that, Manchester United coach Ten Haag, since he came to the club he have horrible record on away against teams from top9 in league table. 0 wins in 10 matches with horrible 9:34 goals balance.

Newcaslte have all required tools to win it front of loud, energetic crowd.

我认为纽卡斯尔在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

纽卡斯尔带着巨大的心理优势来参加这场比赛。上一次两队交手是在一个月前的联赛杯，纽卡斯尔在老特拉福德3:0击败曼联。两队在圣詹姆斯公园球场的上一场比赛以纽卡斯尔2:0获胜告终。

纽卡斯尔在健身方面也有优势。两支球队都在周中进行了欧冠比赛，但纽卡斯尔多了一天的恢复时间，因为他们在周二有比赛(曼联在周三)。哪一天是很大的不同，特别是当两支球队的时间表都排得满满的时候。

两支球队都带着完全不同的心情来参加这场比赛——纽卡斯尔在客场对阵巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛中拿到了宝贵的一分，并且仍然有机会进入淘汰赛阶段。另一方面，曼联客场3:3战平加拉塔。这是非常痛苦的，因为他们有3:1的领先优势，现在他们是小组最后一名。团队士气一定很低。

纽卡斯尔在主场比赛时后防线坚如磐石，这是毫无疑问的。本赛季他们在主场只丢了4个球。另一方面，如果曼联目前最好的射手是防守型中场麦克托米奈，那么他们的前锋/射手位置就有问题了。

纽卡斯尔在主场确实是一支高水平的球队，在过去的7场主场比赛中取得了6场胜利，在过去的27场主场比赛中只输了3场。本赛季，他们已经在欧冠联赛中战胜了切尔西、阿森纳和巴黎圣日耳曼。在上一场对阵切尔西的比赛中，他们进了4个球，所以他们应该能够在面对极不稳定的客队防守阵型时进球。他们在英超客场的场均失球预期为1.67。

对曼联来说很难信任，他们的成绩看起来比应该的要好。他们赢了谢菲尔德、埃弗顿和富勒姆，但根据预期进球数模型，他们在这三场比赛中的总进球数低于对手(3.98比4.81)。除此之外，曼联主帅海牙，自从他来到俱乐部以来，他在对阵联赛前9名球队的比赛中表现糟糕。10场比赛0胜，可怕的9:34进球平衡。

纽卡斯尔拥有所有必要的工具，可以在喧闹、充满活力的观众面前赢得比赛。