How many goals they will score today?
2023-12-01

Przem

外籍分析师

澳超

12/01 16:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Western have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


Both teams in top4 at the moment, but without any shadow of doubt Western looks like better team so far.


Western is leader of the table. Their defensive formation works on highest possible level. Experienced central defender giving a lot of consistency and stability at the back. Western so far conceded only 2 goals and have the lowest number of expected goals conceded in whole league. I don’t see easy goals for Brisbane. Hosts today without their best scorer Berenguer and important winger Markovski. In addition to that, pitch in Brisbane is in very bad condition and for sure will be hard to break rock solid Western defensive formation, Perth Glory coach after last match here said: ‘’ "It was the same for both teams so it is not an excuse for winning or losing ... but it is actually sad to turn up to such an iconic stadium...and having that pitch. I am sad for the players that they have to play on there and risk their bodies on that. It was more like a mud ring than a pitch." According to the expected goals scored model Brisbane should score 2.3 goals less than they scored. Western kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.


Western coming here full of confidence after derby win against Sydney. Only Adelaide (14) scored more goals than (10 goals, 2 per game) guests of today’s match up. Their best scorer Brook came back to squad, he missed last game. I believe Western have all required tools to score at least one goal today. Brisbane kept only one clean sheet so far (against Sydney), but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 0.86 in that game.


Western should score here and that should be simply enough to avoid loss.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,西部在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。


两支球队目前都在前4,但毫无疑问,到目前为止,西部看起来更好。


西方是餐桌上的领袖。他们的防守阵型发挥了最高水平。一个经验丰富的中卫,在后防线上有很强的稳定性。到目前为止,西部只丢了2个球,是全联盟丢球最少的球队。我认为布里斯班不会轻易进球。东道主今天失去了他们最好的射手贝伦格尔和重要的边锋马尔科夫斯基。除此之外,布里斯班的球场状况非常糟糕,肯定很难打破西方坚如磐石的防守阵型,珀斯荣耀队的教练在上一场比赛后说:“两支球队都是一样的,所以这不是输赢的借口……但来到这样一个标志性的体育场,我真的很难过……有了这样的pitch。我为球员们感到难过,他们不得不冒着身体危险在那里比赛。与其说是球场,不如说是泥浆圈。”根据预期进球模型,布里斯班应该比他们少进2.3个球。西部在5场比赛中保持了4场零封。


在德比战胜悉尼后,西部充满信心来到这里。只有阿德莱德(14球)的进球数超过了今天比赛的客队(10球,场均2球)。他们最好的得分手布鲁克回来了,他错过了上一场比赛。我相信今天西部拥有所有需要的工具来至少进一个球。布里斯班到目前为止只保持了一次零失球(对阵悉尼),但根据预期进球模型,他们应该在那场比赛中失球0.86。


西部应该在这里得分,这应该足够简单,以避免损失。

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