Real are qualified but need a point from the remaining two games to secure winning the group. Napoli are not confirmed to qualify, a point would not make a difference to a loss, but a win would see them through.

So what can we expect? Real are the better team under normal circumstances but they miss a huge number of important players, and this does not really feel like a big game to them, especially as they are busy in the local league and need to seriously concentrate on that competition. They are now tied with Girona on top, Barcelona is not far away.

Last round in La Liga Real won away at Cadiz, but it tells a lot more about Cadiz than Real being in top form. In fact, the xG-data puts them only to third position in the league, after Barcelona and Atletico Madrid!

Camavinga, Tchoumeni, Courtois, Güler, Militao, Vinicius, Kepa are Modric, the last two with a slight possibility to return if needed, but they really are not.

The absence of Vinicius gave Rodrygo another chance to shine, he scored the first two in the 0-3 win over Cadiz and assisted to third one to Belligham. These two now form the axis where the Real Madrid goals could come from. Bellingham has scored 11 of Real's 31 goals this season and he has been excellent, but also very lucky to be in the first place all the time and some of his goals are extremely cheap. The xG-data suggests that he should only have 6. Perhaps there is a slower period to come for him?

Real likely starting lineup:

Lunin; Lucas Vazquez, Rüdiger, Alaba, Nacho; Valverde, Kroos, Brahim Diaz, Bellingham; Joselu, Rodrygo.

The reigning champions Napoli made a weird choice for the coach with Rudi Garcia, and rather expectedly he got fired during the international break and Walter Mazzarri took over. He started with a 1-2 win over Atalanta away, the result reflects the performances quite well.

In addition to 3 points Napoli also welcomed to return and assist of Victor Osimhen, he was subbed in after one hour and will take his starting place again from Raspaduri. In a bigger picture we can evaluate Napoli from now only, there is not much point in going through their early season in too much detail.

As there is a new coach and returning key men we can expect a superb performance from Napoli, who are mentally and physically in good form, and who are the only team here who need to win. It is possible that Real can stop them to a draw, but for our pick it makes no difference as we have the X2 option.

Napoli:

Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Natan, Juan Jesus; Lobotka, Zambo Anguissa, Zielinski; Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.

皇马已经出线，但需要在剩下的两场比赛中拿到1分才能确保小组头名。那不勒斯还没有确定出线，一分对输球没有什么影响，但一场胜利就能让他们出线。

那么我们能期待什么呢?皇马在正常情况下是一支更好的球队，但是他们失去了很多重要的球员，这对他们来说并不是一场重要的比赛，特别是他们在本地联赛中忙碌，需要认真地集中精力参加比赛。他们现在和赫罗纳并列第一，巴萨也离他们不远了。

上一轮西甲皇马客场战胜了加的斯，但这比皇马处于最佳状态更能说明加的斯。事实上，根据xg的数据，他们在联赛中只排在第三位，仅次于巴塞罗那和马德里竞技!

卡马文加、楚梅尼、库尔图瓦、格列尔、米里陶、维尼修斯、凯帕还有莫德里奇，如果需要的话，最后两名球员有可能回归，但他们真的不可能。

维尼修斯的缺席给了罗德里戈另一个闪耀的机会，他在0-3战胜加的斯的比赛中打进了前两个进球，并助攻了第三个进球。这两种情况构成了皇马进球的轴心。本赛季皇马的31个进球中，贝灵汉贡献了11个，他的表现非常出色，但他也非常幸运，因为他总是排在第一位，而且他的一些进球非常便宜。x - g数据显示他应该只有6个。也许对他来说，会有一个较慢的时期到来?

真正可能的首发阵容:

Lunin;Lucas Vazquez, r<s:1> diger, Alaba, Nacho;巴尔韦德、克罗斯、迪亚兹、贝灵汉;在,Rodrygo。

卫冕冠军那不勒斯做出了一个奇怪的选择，鲁迪·加西亚的教练，并预期他在国际比赛日被解雇，沃尔特·马扎里接任。他在客场1-2战胜亚特兰大的比赛中首发出场，这个结果反映了球队的良好表现。

除了3分外，那不勒斯还欢迎了维克托-奥西姆恩的回归和助攻，他在一小时后被换下，将再次从拉斯杜里顶替首发位置。从更大的角度来看，我们只能从现在开始评估那不勒斯，没有太多的必要去回顾他们赛季初的细节。

随着新教练的上任和关键球员的回归，我们可以期待那不勒斯的出色表现，他们在精神上和身体上都处于良好状态，他们是这里唯一一支需要胜利的球队。皇马有可能阻止他们打平，但对于我们的选择来说，这没什么区别，因为我们有X2的选择。

那不勒斯:

Meret;迪·洛伦佐、拉赫马尼、纳坦、胡安·热苏斯;洛博特卡，赞博·安圭萨，齐林斯基;波利塔诺，奥西姆，克瓦拉茨基利亚。