In my opinion Porto have really good chances to make big troubles for Barcelona today. +1.5 AH on away side looks like great option to play. I don’t see big win for hosts.

First match between both teams in this group finished with Barcelona 1:0 win on away, but match was close and there was costly mistake from referee for Porto. Portuguese coach Conceicao made sarcastic comment after the game, he said: "We played against more than a club, that is all I have to say." For sure Porto have huge motivation to make result here. Winner of this game will get promotion into next stage before last round.

Porto coming for this game in great mood, since game against Barcelona they won 7 of 8 matches in all competitions. During that run Porto lost 0:1 at home against Estoril, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Porto 3.00, for Estoril 0.44. Team is fresh, at the weekend they played game in Cup and key players not played.

Barcelona is not in good form, no doubt about that. They lost against Shakhtar in last group game, at the weekend they failed to win in La Liga against Rayo. In last home game they won 2:1 against poor Alaves, but that was low quality performance from Barcelona: expected goals scored for Barcelona 1.64, for Alaves 1.79 (Barcelona scored from penalty..). In addition to that, hosts with squad problems – team captain and first goalkeeper Ter Stegen probably is out again, key midfielder Gavi is out. Best player (according to the ratings) De Jong came back from injury, but looked very rusty against Alaves. Top scorer Lewandowski is out of form despite some goals here and there.

In last 12 matches in all competitions Barcelona failed to win with more than one goal difference so for me is hard to see such high line for Porto. Hot value on away side here.

在我看来，波尔图今天有很好的机会给巴萨制造麻烦。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。我不认为东道主会赢。

两队在小组赛的第一场比赛中，巴塞罗那在客场1:0取胜，但比赛已经接近尾声，波尔图的裁判犯了一个代价高昂的错误。葡萄牙主帅孔塞西奥在赛后发表了讽刺的评论，他说:“我们对阵的不仅仅是一家俱乐部，这就是我要说的。”当然，波尔图有巨大的动力在这里取得成绩。本场比赛的胜者将在最后一轮之前晋级下一阶段。

波尔图带着很好的心情来参加这场比赛，自从与巴塞罗那的比赛以来，他们在所有比赛中8场比赛中赢了7场。在那场比赛中，波尔图主场0:1输给埃斯托里尔，但这根本不应该是这样的结果:波尔图的预期进球数为3.00，埃斯托里尔为0.44。球队很新鲜，周末他们参加了杯赛，关键球员没有上场。

巴萨现在状态不佳，这是毫无疑问的。他们在上一场小组赛中输给了矿工队，在周末的西甲联赛中，他们未能赢下雷约队。在上一场主场比赛中，他们2:1战胜了可怜的阿拉维斯，但这是巴塞罗那的低质量表现:巴塞罗那的预期进球数为1.64，阿拉维斯为1.79(巴塞罗那点球得分…)除此之外，主队还有阵容问题——队长兼主力门将特尔·施特根可能再次缺阵，核心中场加维也缺阵。德容伤愈复出，但在对阵阿拉维斯的比赛中显得有些生疏。头号射手莱万多夫斯基状态不佳，尽管他在这里和那里都有进球。

在过去的12场比赛中，巴塞罗那都没能以1球以上的差距取胜，所以我很难看到波尔图有这么高的底线。热值在这边。