Excellent value in Champions League
2023-11-28

Przem

外籍分析师

欧冠

11/29 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Milan have really good chances to make 3 points in this game and I see great value in those odds.


First match between both teams in this group finished with draw 0:0, but Milan looked better: expected goals scored for Milan 1.65, for Borussia 0.96.


Milan is strong team at home, no doubt about that. In this group they already won against PSG and they should win against Newcastle (0:0, but Milan had 1.99 expected goals scored, Newcastle 0.28). Milan have excellent record at home in European Cups against teams from Bundesliga as they won 11 of 16 such match up's. On the other hand Borussia lost 4 of last 5 away matches in European Cups against teams from Serie A.


Milan coming for this game with confidence on very high level. At the weekend they recorded important 1:0 win at home against dangerous Fiorentina. Line up looks strong as we will see on the pitch their best players in current season like Hernandez, Giroud or Pulisic.


I really don't trust for Borussia defensive formation at the moment - they conceded 11 goals in last 5 matches in all competitions. In addition to that, their two key defenders Schlotterbeck and Sule are very doubtful for this game, same as defensive midfielder Sabizter. Is very hard to imagine clean sheet for guests today.


I believe Milan at home have all required tools to score more than one goal and that should be simply enough to make 3 points.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,米兰在这场比赛中有很好的机会得到3分,我认为这些机会很有价值。


该组两支球队的第一场比赛以0:0战平,但米兰看起来更好:米兰的预期进球数为1.65,拜仁为0.96。


米兰在主场是一支强队,这是毫无疑问的。在这个小组中,他们已经赢了巴黎圣日耳曼,他们应该赢纽卡斯尔(0:0,但米兰的预期进球数为1.99,纽卡斯尔为0.28)。米兰在欧洲杯主场对阵德甲球队的比赛中有着出色的战绩,16场比赛中他们赢了11场。另一方面,在最近的5场客场对阵意甲球队的比赛中,俄罗斯队输掉了4场。


米兰带着很高的信心来参加这场比赛。上周末,他们在主场1:0战胜了危险的佛罗伦萨,取得了重要的胜利。阵容看起来很强大,我们将在球场上看到他们本赛季最好的球员,如埃尔南德斯、吉鲁和普利西奇。


我现在真的不相信俄罗斯队的防守阵型——他们在最近5场比赛中丢了11球。除此之外,他们的两名关键后卫施洛特贝克和苏莱以及后腰萨比策尔在这场比赛中的表现都非常令人怀疑。很难想象今天的客人是干净的。


我相信米兰在主场的比赛中拥有所有需要的工具来获得一个以上的进球,这应该足以简单地得到3分。

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