In my opinion Adelaide have bigger chances to win this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH looks like very safe option to play because I don’t see home win here.

Adelaide have solid record at this stadium as they won last 2 consecutive matches here and lost only once in all 5 games on the road against Western.

Western after 4 matches in current season is on the last position in league table and team really not looking too good. According to the expected goals scored model – they are the worst team in whole league with only 3.5 expected goals scored in 4 matches. For me is not big surprise as they lost in pre-season second-best scorer from previous campaign Prijovic and best assistant Pain. After 3 consecutive losses they coming for this game with confidence on very low level.

Adelaide started new season in great style as they recorded two big wins in first two matches (against Central Coast and Melbourne) – they scored 9 goals and kept two clean sheets! In first away match they avoided loss against Victory (1:1) despite the red card. In last round Adelaide lost control a bit and produced horrible loss on the paper (1:5!!!) against Sydney FC at home, but this match was much more closer than scoreline shows: expected goals scored for Adelaide 2.03, for Sydney 2.44. I expecting big reaction from the team today.

For me Adelaide is better in overall, have mental advantage before this game and have much bigger firepower. That should make big difference today.

在我看来，阿德莱德赢得这场比赛的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择，因为我没有看到主场赢。

阿德莱德在这个球场有稳定的战绩，他们在这里连续赢了两场比赛，在客场对阵西部的5场比赛中只输了一场。

西部在本赛季打了4场比赛后排在了积分榜的最后一名，球队看起来真的不太好。根据预期进球数模型-他们是整个联赛中最差的球队，在4场比赛中只有3.5个预期进球。对我来说，这并不令人惊讶，因为他们在季前赛中失去了上赛季第二好的射手普里约维奇和最佳助手佩恩。在3连败之后，他们带着非常低的信心来看这场比赛。

阿德莱德以出色的风格开始了新赛季，他们在前两场比赛中取得了两场大胜(对阵中央海岸和墨尔本)——他们进了9球，保持了两场零封!在第一场客场比赛中，尽管吃到红牌，他们还是避免了输给胜利队(1:1)。在上一轮比赛中，阿德莱德失去了控制，在主场对悉尼FC的比赛中输了一场可怕的比赛(1:5!!!)，但这场比赛比比分显示的要接近得多:阿德莱德的预期进球数为2.03，悉尼为2.44。我期待今天车队会有很大的反应。

对我来说，阿德莱德整体上更好，在这场比赛之前有心理优势，而且火力更强。这在今天应该会有很大的不同。