11月27日埃弗顿 VS 曼联比赛分析直播
解读理由：
In my opinion Everton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
For me is very hard to trust for United in this game. They are less than convincing in current season. After FA decision about 10 points deduction, Everton have huge motivation to win this game. Crowd at Goodison Park always is very loud, but today I expect even more crazy atmosphere and that should be problematic for United. On the paper they not looked horrible on the road so far (3 wins in 5 matches), but they won against teams from bottom 6 (Burnley, Sheffield and Fulham).
Everton currently is in very good form - they went unbeaten in 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions (they lost only against Liverpool) and recorded 4 wins in the process. Good information for hosts - there is possibility of comeback for their captain Coleman. United won 2 of last 6 matches (4 losses in the process). In last away match they won 1:0 against Fulham, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Fulham 1.01, for United 0.69. Guests coming for this game with serious squad problems as they are still without many key players like Casemiro, Martinez or Eriksen. In addition to that, key striker Hojlund and first goalkeeper Onana are doubtful for this game.
One more important thing. There is huge difference between both teams in league table (especially after deduction for Everton), but according to the expected goals scored/conceded models Everton plays better than United (!!!). Everton so far producing 1.51 expected goals scored per game (United 1.47). Everton producing 1.33 expected goals conceded per game (United 1.59).
On those circumstances double chance for home side is must play bet for me.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，埃弗顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。
对我来说，在这场比赛中很难信任曼联。在当前的季节里，他们不那么令人信服。在英足总决定扣掉10分后，埃弗顿有巨大的动力去赢得这场比赛。古迪逊公园球场的观众总是很吵，但今天我认为气氛会更疯狂，这对曼联来说是个问题。从纸面上看，他们目前在客场的表现并不可怕(5场3胜)，但他们战胜了排名后6的球队(伯恩利、谢菲尔德和富勒姆)。
埃弗顿目前的状态非常好，他们在最近的6场比赛中保持了5场不败(他们只输给了利物浦)，并在此过程中取得了4场胜利。对东道主来说是个好消息——他们的队长科尔曼有可能复出。曼联在过去的6场比赛中赢了2场(其中输了4场)。在上一场客场比赛中，他们以1:0战胜富勒姆，但这根本不是他们应得的结果:富勒姆的预期进球数为1.01，曼联为0.69。来观看这场比赛的客人都有严重的阵容问题，因为他们仍然没有卡塞米罗、马丁内斯和埃里克森这样的关键球员。除此之外，主力前锋霍伊隆德和主力门将奥纳纳能否上场也不确定。
还有一件重要的事。两支球队在积分榜上有巨大的差距(特别是在扣除埃弗顿之后)，但根据预期进球/失球模型，埃弗顿比曼联踢得更好(!!)埃弗顿目前的场均预期进球数为1.51(曼联为1.47)。埃弗顿场均预期失球1.33个(曼联1.59个)。
在这种情况下，主队有双倍的机会对我来说是必须的。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。