An interesting game to bet on!
2023-11-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

英锦标赛

11/22 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Charlton Athletic VS Sutton United


Charlton welcome Sutton for this EFL Trophy clash at The Valley early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind cannot expect a match of very high level here. Indeed, the hosts play in the League One. The visitors, on the other hand, play in the League Two which is the fourth-highest level of English football. There is a significant difference between the two teams in this match. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the much better team here. This should become very clear on the pitch as well. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of close to 10 million euros. In my expert opinion this is too low. 13-14 million would be a more realistic number. The Sutton squad, on the other hand, is not valued at even four million euros. Charlton are, with the expected lineups, bigger favourites than the bookmakers believe. Odds of around 1.65-1.70 are widely available at the time of posting this analysis. I see them having a 63% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of play.

Charlton currently occupy the 11th place in the League One standings. They have a decent 22 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 25.23. Their score difference is 27:23. Their offense has massively more firepower than Sutton. In terms of defensive quality the difference between the two teams is marginally smaller than offensively but the gap is still significant. Sutton do fight hard and have a decent structure in their game but in terms of individual skill the Charlton players are much better. Sutton have had a horrible season so far and are in last place in the League Two standings. They have taken only 12 points. Yes, they are better than the standings would suggest but it seems that the bookies give their potential way too much emphasis. Charlton crushed Cray Valley in their last game 6-1 away from home in an FA Cup battle. The opponents are a very small team though. Sutton, on the other hand, played a 1-1 draw against Tranmere in their last game – round 18 of League Two. Tranmere are in 22nd place in the standings and Sutton were solid favourites in this game – priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. Both teams recorded seven goal attempts. With this kind of performance they will most probably get beaten by Charlton!



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查尔顿竞技VS萨顿联队


查尔顿欢迎萨顿参加北京时间周三凌晨在山谷球场举行的联赛杯比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的足球投注者——考虑到长期的利润——不能期待一场非常高水平的比赛。的确,东道主在英甲踢球。另一方面,客队参加的是英乙联赛,这是英格兰足球的第四高级别联赛。在这场比赛中,两队之间的差距很大。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主在这里的表现要好得多。这一点在球场上也会变得非常清楚。事实上,他们的球员估计总市值接近1000万欧元。在我的专家看来,这太低了。1300万到1400万是更现实的数字。另一方面,萨顿队的身价还不到400万欧元。查尔顿在预期的阵容中比博彩公司认为的更受欢迎。在发布这篇分析的时候,赔率在1.65-1.70之间是很普遍的。我认为他们在90分钟的比赛中有63%的获胜机会。

查尔顿目前在英甲排名第11位。他们的账户上有22分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)是25.23。他们的比分差是27:23。他们的进攻火力比萨顿强多了。在防守质量方面,两队之间的差距略小于进攻,但差距仍然很大。萨顿确实很努力,在比赛中有一个不错的结构,但就个人技术而言,查尔顿球员要好得多。到目前为止,萨顿已经度过了一个糟糕的赛季,在英乙联赛中排名垫底。他们只拿了12分。是的,他们比排名所显示的要好,但似乎博彩公司过于强调他们的潜力。在足总杯的最后一场比赛中,查尔顿客场6-1大胜克雷谷。不过对手是一支非常小的球队。另一方面,萨顿在他们的上一场比赛——乙级联赛第18轮,1-1战平了特兰米尔。特兰米尔排在第22位,萨顿在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的球队——博彩公司开出的胜率约为2.10英镑。两队都有7次射门。以这样的表现,他们很可能会被查尔顿击败!

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