An interesting match to bet on!
2023-11-21

Tapio

外籍分析师

国际赛

11/22 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Ireland VS New Zealand


Ireland host New Zealand for this friendly match at Aviva Stadium in Dublin early Wednesday morning Beijing time. I do not usually recommend a bet on a friendly match but will make an exception here! Indeed, Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of a match of somewhat low level by international standards here. I expect a somewhat open and relaxed clash here. I see this match as more high scoring than the bookmakers do. Indeed, based on my strongly data-based expert analysis the probability of over 2.5 goals to be scored is 57%. Ireland currently occupy the 58th place in the FIFA Ranking. This is slightly too low in my opinion. The visitors, on the other hand, are a very limited team and currently occupy the 103rd place in this ranking. Ireland were a disappointment in the UEFA EURO Qualification that for Ireland came to an end last Saturday. They took six points in eight games. France and Netherlands were expected to be strong but perhaps they could have finished in third place, above Greece.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 9.66.

 In their last qualification game they still had some fighting spirit left and lost only 0-1 against the Netherlands away from home. They had a decent 47% ball possession but recorded only three goal attempts though. I expect them to be eager to please their fans here and win against a lowly opponent. Both teams' head coaches are expected to do some squad rotation. However, Ireland have a much deeper squad and have some young and talented players in the team. These guys would surely love to prove their skills to the coach here. In friendly games betting on the home teams is very often a good idea! This is the case here as well. We will take the Ireland -0.5 goals handicap option with a 72% chance of winning. Odds of around 1.55 are widely available. New Zealand have lost two games in a row without scoring a goal. Greece beat them 2-0 four days ago and were the better team on the pitch.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

爱尔兰VS新西兰


北京时间周三凌晨,爱尔兰队将在都柏林英杰华体育场迎战新西兰队。我通常不建议在友谊赛上下注,但在这里我会破例!的确,足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场低于国际标准的比赛。我期待一场开放而轻松的冲突。我认为这场比赛比博彩公司认为的要高。事实上,根据我基于数据的专家分析,进球超过2.5个的概率是57%。爱尔兰目前在国际足联排名中排名第58位。在我看来这有点太低了。另一方面,客队是一支非常有限的球队,目前排名第103位。在上周六结束的欧洲杯预选赛中,爱尔兰队的表现令人失望。他们在8场比赛中得了6分。法国和荷兰被认为是强大的,但也许他们本可以获得第三名,超过希腊。他们的期望值(xPTS)为9.66。

在预选赛的最后一场比赛中,他们仍然有一些斗志,只在客场0-1输给了荷兰队。他们有47%的控球率,但只有3次射门。我希望他们能热切地取悦这里的球迷,并战胜一个实力不强的对手。两支球队的主教练都将轮换阵容。然而,爱尔兰的阵容更有深度,球队中也有一些年轻而有天赋的球员。这些家伙肯定很想向教练证明他们的技能。在友谊赛中,押注主队通常是个好主意!这也是这里的情况。我们将选择爱尔兰-0.5个进球障碍选项,有72%的获胜机会。1.55左右的赔率是很普遍的。新西兰队已经连输两场比赛,一球未进。四天前,希腊以2比0击败了他们,他们在球场上表现得更好。

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