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2023-11-19

Tapio

外籍分析师

荷乙

11/19 23:45

已完赛

解读理由:

MVV Maastricht VS NAC Breda


Maastricht welcome NAC Breda for this Dutch Eerste Divisie round 15 clash at De Geusselt very late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Dutch football. Football fans and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of a match of better than average level by this league's standards here. Last season Maastricht finished in fifth place – and NAC Breda in sixth place after the regular season. Both teams took 59 points. This season, however, has been a disappointment for both teams. However, both have potential for improvement as the season progresses. NAC Breda currently occupy the 12th place in the standings with 19 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little higher though. They have been pretty good offensively – scoring a respectable 23 goals. Their defence, however, has been leaky. The structure has been pretty poor and their defenders have made too many silly individual mistakes.. I would not be too surprised to see the hosts scoring several goals here – if they have a good day and are boosted my their enthusiastic fans!

NAC Breda have won only two of the seven games on the road in this league this season so far.. Even so, the biggest bookies offer them odds of only around 2.00 to take all three points! This is way too low. Based on my strongly data-based analysis they have an only 40% chance of winning! We will take the hosts +0.5 goals handicap here to win once again betting on this league. Maastricht are currently in 15th place with 16 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is 19.12. Offensively they cannot match the visitors but have, in fact, allowed one goal less than Breda. In this area of the game the teams are more or less equal with the expected lineups. Breda have more potential for improvement and this is why they deserve to be narrow favourites here. They have, however, not won any of their last four games – losing 2/4. They managed to score only two goals in these games and many of their offensive players seem to be quite low in confidence. Maastricht have lost just one of their last five games but have, in all honesty, been pretty erratic. Good at some moments - and at times playing poorly. In their last game they did beat Oss as slim underdogs on the betting market. They had 69% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts shots on goal, attacks and dangerous atatcks. Moreover, they generated 0.88 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.33.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

MVV马斯特里赫特VS NAC布雷达


北京时间周日晚,马斯特里赫特欢迎布雷达参加在德古塞尔特举行的荷兰联赛第15轮比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二高水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平更好的比赛。上个赛季,马斯特里赫特在常规赛结束后排名第五,NAC Breda排名第六。两队各得59分。然而这个赛季,两支球队都很失望。然而,随着赛季的进行,两人都有提高的潜力。NAC Breda目前以19分排名第12位。不过,它们的期望值(xPTS)略高一些。他们在进攻端表现很好,打进了23个进球。然而,他们的防御漏洞百出。球队的结构相当糟糕,他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的个人错误。如果看到东道主在这里进几个球,我不会太惊讶——如果他们今天过得很好,并受到热情球迷的鼓舞的话!

本赛季到目前为止,NAC Breda在这个联赛的7场客场比赛中只赢了2场。即便如此,最大的博彩公司也只给他们提供2.00左右的赔率来获得全部三分!这太低了。根据我强有力的数据分析,他们只有40%的获胜机会!我们将以东道主+0.5个进球的劣势再一次赢下这个联赛的赌注。马斯特里赫特目前以16分排名第15位。它们的xPTS数是19.12。在进攻端,他们无法与客队匹敌,但实际上,他们比布雷达少丢了一个球。在比赛的这个领域,球队或多或少与预期的阵容相等。布雷达还有很大的进步潜力,这就是为什么他们应该在这里获得微弱的优势。然而,他们在过去的四场比赛中没有赢过一场,输了2/4。他们在这些比赛中只进了两个球,他们的许多进攻球员似乎都很缺乏信心。马斯特里赫特最近五场比赛只输了一场,但说实话,他们的表现相当不稳定。有时很好,有时打得不好。在上一场比赛中,他们在博彩市场上以微弱劣势击败了奥斯。他们有69%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门,射门,进攻和危险进攻。此外,它们在xG中生成了0.88,而主机只生成了0.33。

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