Another “end of season” classic can be found in the Russian Premier League on Saturday.
Ural, who is still not 100% safe from relegation, takes on Akhmat, who has nothing left to play for as they are stuck in “no man's land”.
The key moment here is Akhmat’s schedule - they are coming from a bitter and discouraging loss in the semifinal of Russian Cup against Krylya Sovetov (in penalty shootout). Not only are they lacking freshness in comparison to Ural, who have had a full week to prepare for the game, but the team is also emotionally fragile and most likely feeling sorry for themselves.
Last time on the road in a similar situation Akhmat were demolished by Ufa (0-3). They made up for that result with a 3-1 victory against unmotivated Khimki in a highly questionable encounter, where the referee had a strong impact on the game. Now with the biggest match of the season lost, Akhmat has absolutely nothing to care for. Team news has little relevance due to the context of visitors' situations - rotation is highly possible.
It is hard to imagine Ural being caught up by Arsenal Tula, but I am positive they’d prefer to take no chances and avoid a defeat here against Akhmat at all costs.
A draw here will perfectly do the job. If this was in Akhmat’s interest as well, I would even try a small shot on this match ending in a stallment, but since visitors have no interest in the result, it is best to go with Ural “not losing” this fixture, that has bigger value to them than to the opposing team.
Hosts have been doing well in recent weeks, leaving a good impression in the 0-1 defeat against Rubin; taking a 2-2 draw on the road vs. Dynamo Moscow and winning vs. Arsenal Tula earlier in the month.
I think this match has a lot of reasons to end in Ural taking a point or 3, which will leave both sides content.
乌拉尔还没有100%保级,他将迎战阿赫玛特,格罗兹尼已经没有什么可争取的了,因为他们被困在了“无人区”。
关键时刻是格罗兹尼的赛程——他们来自于俄罗斯杯半决赛中与苏韦托夫(在点球大战中)的痛苦和沮丧的失利。与乌拉尔队相比,他们不仅疲惫,而且球队的情绪也很脆弱,很可能会为自己感到难过。乌拉尔队为比赛准备了整整一周的时间。
格罗兹尼最近一个客场被乌法3-0击败。他们在一场非常有争议的比赛中,以3-1战胜了毫无斗志的希姆基,弥补了这一结果,裁判对比赛的影响很大。现在,本赛季最重要的一场比赛输了,格罗兹尼完全没有什么可关心的了。由于客队的情况,球队新闻几乎没有相关性——轮换是非常可能的。
很难想象乌拉尔会被图拉赶超,但我确信他们宁愿不冒任何风险,不惜一切代价避免在这里输给格罗兹尼。
乌拉尔最近几周表现不错,在0-1输给鲁宾的比赛中给人留下了很好的印象;本月初,在客场2-2战平莫斯科迪纳摩队,并战胜图拉队。
我认为这场比赛有很多理由让乌拉尔拿下一分或三分,这会让双方都满意。