A good English pick 谢菲联vs布赖顿
2021-04-24

Pavel

盈利高手

英超

04/25 03:00

已完赛

谢菲联
1:0
布赖顿
解读理由:

Another “must have” sort of game on Saturday is Brighton’s visit to Sheffield. As you probably know the home side has been relegated to Championship for weeks now,but were officially confirmed as relegated only in the previous round after 0-1 loss to Wolverhampton. However, it’s fair to say they have had nothing left to play for but their pride for a long time. It is not helping that all games have 0 fans present, so Sheffield is really a pity sight to witness.

Change of manager by the board has not proved a wise move as successor Paul Heckingbottom has yet to win a game or even earn a point since taking charge of the team. 1:13 goals difference in 5 official games is his current record.

Team news have little relevance, I believe, for Sheffield as they are clearly a Championship level side with nothing left to fight for.

Brighton, in turn, has been one of the best performing teams in EPL lately.

An interesting article I had come across a month ago showed that Brighton is 2nd worst team in terms of chances conversion to chances created ratio in Europe (goals scored to Xg) in European top leagues - behind 1st placed Borussia Dortmund. If Potter’s men were a few fractions better at finishing, Brighton would’ve been in Europa League zone, at least. In other words, the quality of Brighton’s football does not correspond with their table position. This is why Tomas Tuchel and his Chelsea were happy to take a 0-0 draw against Albion in the midweek game, but actually deserved to lose that fixture as Brighton had the better chances in an overall dead game.

Visitors are still not 100% safe from relegation and, considering how they treated the Chelsea fixture, their main focus is on Sheffield and projected 3 points from that game. A win here will more/less set them free of any relegation worries as Fulham will then be 10 points behind. Moreover, the schedule, which has Brighton face Leeds, Wolves, West Ham, Man City and Arsenal means there is no easier game left but the visit to Sheffield.

I am expecting Brighton to finally make their advantage count and take crucial 3 points from this match.

你可能已经知道谢菲联其实已经降级了,但官方确认是在前一轮0:1输给狼队后才被降级的。然而,公平地说,他们除了长久以来的骄傲之外,已经没有什么可以为之而战了。所有的比赛都没有球迷在场,这并没有帮助,所以谢菲尔德真的是一个遗憾的见证。

董事会更换主教练并不是一个明智的举动,因为继任者保罗·赫金波顿自从执掌球队以来还没有赢得一场比赛,甚至连一分都没有赢得。他目前的记录是在5场正式比赛中净胜球1分13秒。

我认为,对于谢菲尔德来说,球队的新闻没有什么意义,因为他们显然已经没有什么可以争取的了。

而布莱顿则是最近英超表现最好的球队之一。

一个月前我读过的一篇有趣的文章显示,从机会转换到机会创造的比率(预期进球)来看,布莱顿在欧洲顶级联赛中排名第二,仅次于第一名的多特蒙德。如果波特的队员们在射门上能再好一些的话,布莱顿至少会进入欧罗巴联赛区域。换句话说,布莱顿的足球质量与他们的名次并不相符。这就是为什么托马斯·图赫尔对在周中0-0战平布赖顿的比赛表示满意,但实际上应该输掉比赛,因为布莱顿在一场完全死亡的比赛中有更好的机会。

布赖顿还没有100%完成保级,他们的主要关注点是谢菲尔德,预计将从那场比赛中得到3分。一场胜利将或多或少地让他们摆脱任何降级的担忧,因为到时富勒姆将落后10分。此外,布莱顿将面对利兹联、狼队、西汉姆、曼城和阿森纳,这意味着除了做客谢菲尔德,没有比这更轻松的比赛了。

我希望布莱顿最终能发挥他们的优势,从这场比赛中拿下关键的3分。

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