A fine match to bet on! 俄甲 下卡姆斯克石油VS莫鱼雷
2023-11-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

俄甲

11/12 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk VS Torpedo Moscow




eftekhimik welcome Torpedo Moscow for this Russian FNL round 18 clash at Neftekhimik Stadium in Nizhnekamsk late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-highest tier of Russian football. For a second-tier the level is pretty good by European standards. The differemce compared to the Premier League is, however, substantial. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind – can expect a match of better than averege level by this league standards here. The visitors were relegated from the first tier after last season. They have been a slight disappoinment so far this season – no denying this. However, I have lowered their power rating only moderately from my in-depth preseason analysis. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. They currently occupy the 5th place in this rating. In the standings they are in 9th place with 22 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 26.67. Their offense has not been as effective as expected – they have netted the ball 16 times in the FNL. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 20.02. They have allowed 19 goals. The hosts have a score difference of 14:20 and cannot match Torpedo in any area of the game.


The hosts are currently in 13th place with 19 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 17.12 and power rating is 14th. They have have not been in great form lately – losing three of their last four games. In their last game they failed to record any shots on goal and lost to Dynamo Makhackala 0-1. According to a well known German website, Transfermarkt.com Torpedo are the much bigger team here with an estimated players total market value of about 13 million euros. This is still too low. The bookie see this match as a coin toss which is incorrect! The visitors have a 42% chance of winning, We will take the +0.5 goals handicap on Torpedo.



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Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk VS鱼雷莫斯科




北京时间周日晚,在尼日涅卡姆斯克的涅夫特希米克体育场,eftekhimik欢迎莫斯科鱼雷队参加俄罗斯民族解放联盟第18轮比赛。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,二线的水平已经相当不错了。然而,与英超相比,这种差异是巨大的。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平更好的比赛。客队在上个赛季后从第一梯队降级。这个赛季到目前为止,他们有点让人失望——这是不可否认的。然而,从季前赛的深入分析来看,我只是适度地降低了他们的能量等级。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级,有最好的首发11人。他们目前在这一排名中排名第五。在积分榜上,他们以22分排名第九。然而,他们的期望点数(xPTS)是26.67。他们的进攻没有预期的那么有效,他们在FNL只有16次进球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)是20.02。他们丢了19个球。主队有14:20的比分差距,在比赛的任何区域都无法与鱼雷匹敌。


东道主目前以19分排名第13位。他们的xPTS数量为17.12,功率等级为第14位。他们最近状态不佳,最近四场比赛输了三场。在上一场比赛中,他们一球未射正,0-1不敌马哈卡拉迪纳摩。根据一家著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,鱼雷队在这里的规模要大得多,估计球员的总市值约为1300万欧元。这仍然太低了。庄家认为这场比赛是掷硬币,这是不正确的!客队有42%的获胜机会,我们将对鱼雷队进行+0.5的进球障碍。

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