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2023-11-11

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

11/12 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Ajaccio VS Troyes


Ajaccio VS Troyes


Ajaccio host Troyes for this French Ligue 2 round 14 battle at Stade François Coty early Sunday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level - for a second tier – in Europe. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by the Ligue 1 standards here. More importantly, my fans and I have done very well betting on this league! Indeed, we have won six picks in a row in Ligue 1. I have posted two picks on this league and more picks will be available later today! We have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! Indeed, the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of about 1.80-1.85 on Ajaccio to win. This is perhaps a little lower than I would have hoped for but the odds are still too high! The hosts have a 63% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed. Both teams were relegated from the Ligue 1 to this level for this season. Both had disappointing seasons but Ajaccio were still “less worse” and took more points than Troyes. At the moment Ajaccio occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a respectable 20 points in their pocket. I see them having a good chance of making it to the top-5 – which would bring them a chance to fight for promotion back to Ligue 1. They are in 3rd place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup. The visitors are in 12th place in this ranking.

Ajaccio's number of expected points (xPTS) is pretty high - 23.98 to be precise. Offensively they have not met my expectations – no denying this. Their attacks are often too slow and the passing accuracy has not always been good enough at critical moments. I would say that their style of play has been too passive in many games – especially on the road.. At home they are expected to be aggressive here and control the events on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes. They have loud and loyal fans who offer a big boost to them! They undoubtedly have massive potential to improve offensively! They have netted the ball 12 times so far but their number of xG is 18.78. Their defence has been solid and they have conceded 12 goals – and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 11.02. Troyes cannot match the hosts in any are of the game. They have been a gigantic disappointment so far. Indeed, they are in 16th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. Yes, they can improve as the season progresses. However, the bookies seem to overestimate their potential.. According to my sources their team spirit is far from optimal. Furthermore, I don't really trust their coach.. Their offense has been okay and they have scored 16 goals. Their defence, on the other hand, has a poor structure and the midfielders have not been active enough in defending in most games. They have allowed 17 goals in the Ligue 2 so far. Most Troyes defenders are not bad on paper but still make too many stupid mistakes and sometimes take too big risks – passing the ball to (too) small spaces etc.

In their last game Ajaccio beat Grenoble, a dangerous team, 3-0 away from home as underdogs on the betting market – priced around 3.40 to win. The final score does flatter Ajaccio though – as Grenoble recorded more shots on goal – 6-3. Ajaccio did generate more in xG though – 1.03-0.72. Before this they were very unlucky not to get a win away from home over Concarneau. Indeed, Ajaccio recorded many more goal attempts (16-4), shots on goal (5-2), shots off goal (5-2), corner kicks as well as dangerous attacks 73-35. The hosts “robbed” all three points through a 2-1 win. Troyes, on the other hand, beat Caen in their last match 2-1 at home but Caen recorded more goal attempts (22-8), shots on goal, shots off goal (9-3), corner kicks (9-0) as well as dangerous attacks. Moreover, the visitors generated 1.34 in xG – Troyes's number was 0.82 Before this they were the worse team on the pitch in an away game against Paris FC but took a point through a 2-2 draw. Paris FC had 55% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (15-8), shots of goal (10-3), corner kicks (6-3), total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks - 56-33. Both teams had three shots on target.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿雅克肖VS特鲁瓦


阿雅克肖VS特鲁瓦


北京时间周日凌晨,阿雅克肖将在弗朗索瓦科蒂球场迎战法甲联赛第14轮的特鲁瓦。这个联赛在欧洲的二线联赛中处于中等水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场按照法甲标准相当平均水平的比赛。更重要的是,我的球迷和我在这个联赛上的投注都做得很好!事实上,我们已经在法甲联赛中连续六次获得选秀权。我已经在这个联盟上发布了两个选秀,今天晚些时候会有更多的选秀!我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!事实上,接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的阿雅克肖获胜的赔率约为1.80-1.85。这可能比我所希望的要低一些,但可能性仍然太高了!东道主有63%的机会让客队空手而归。这两支球队本赛季都从法甲降级到这个级别。两人都有令人失望的赛季,但阿雅克肖仍然“不那么糟糕”,比特鲁瓦拿了更多的积分。目前阿雅克肖在积分榜上排名第七。他们的口袋里有可观的20分。我认为他们有很好的机会进入前五,这将给他们带来重返法甲的机会。他们在我的力量评分中排名第三,这反映了球队拥有最好的首发阵容。访客在该排名中排名第12位。

阿雅克肖的期望值(xPTS)相当高——准确地说是23.98。进攻方面,他们没有达到我的期望——这是不可否认的。他们的进攻往往太慢,关键时刻的传球准确率也不够高。我想说他们的打法在很多比赛中都太被动了,尤其是在客场。在主场,他们被期望在90分钟的大部分时间里积极进取,控制场上的局势。他们有响亮而忠诚的粉丝,为他们提供了巨大的推动力!毫无疑问,他们在进攻端有巨大的提升潜力!到目前为止,他们已经取得了12次进球,但他们的罚球次数是18.78次。他们的防守很稳固,他们丢了12个球,他们的预期失球数(xGA)是11.02个。特鲁瓦在比赛的任何方面都无法与东道主匹敌。到目前为止,他们一直是一个巨大的失望。事实上,他们在这个联赛中排名第16位,总共有20家俱乐部。是的,他们可以随着赛季的进展而进步。然而,博彩公司似乎高估了他们的潜力。据我所知,他们的团队精神远非最佳状态。此外,我真的不相信他们的教练。他们的进攻还不错,进了16个球。另一方面,他们的防守结构很差,中场球员在大多数比赛中防守不够积极。到目前为止,他们在法甲联赛中丢了17个球。大多数特鲁瓦的后卫在纸面上并不差,但仍然会犯太多愚蠢的错误,有时会冒太大的风险——把球传给(太)小的空间等等。

在他们的上一场比赛中,阿雅克肖在客场以3比0击败了一支危险的球队格勒诺布尔,在博彩市场上,他们的胜率在3.40左右。最后的比分确实让阿雅克肖感到欣慰——格勒诺布尔的射门次数更多,比分是6比3。阿雅克肖在xG中确实产生了更多- 1.03-0.72。在此之前,他们很不幸没能在客场战胜康卡诺。事实上,阿雅克肖的进球次数(16-4)、射正(5-2)、射偏(5-2)、角球和危险进攻(73-35)要多得多。东道主2-1大胜,“抢光”了三分。特鲁瓦队虽然在上一场比赛中主场2比1战胜了卡昂队,但卡昂队的进球次数(22比8)、射正、射偏(9比3)、角球(9比0)和危险进攻次数更多。此外,客队在xG的进球数为1.34,而特鲁瓦的进球数为0.82,在此之前,他们是客场对阵巴黎FC的比赛中表现最差的球队,但在2-2战平后拿到了一分。巴黎FC拥有55%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(15-8次)、射门次数(10-3次)、角球次数(6-3次)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(56-33次)。两队都有三次射正。

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