6/6 last picks WON in this league ¥¥¥
2023-11-11

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

11/12 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Caen VS Quevilly Rouen Métropole


Caen welcome Quevilly Rouen for this French Ligue 2 round 14 clash at Stade Michel d'Ornano early Sunday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of a little lower than average level by the Ligue 1 standards here. More importantly, my fans and I have done very well betting on this league! Indeed, we have won six picks in a row in Ligue 1. I have posted one on this league and more picks will be sent soon! We have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! Indeed, the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the Caen as the favourites here – but not clear enough. Indeed, based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis Caen have a 52% chance of taking all three points with the expected lineups here. Odds of around 2.25-2.35 are widely available on them to win at the time of writing this preview early Saturday morning Beijing time. However, I would not be at least surprised to see the odds on Caen drop before the match starts as smart money is expected to pile up on the hosts. Let's see why I recommended a bet on Caen to win here..

Last season Caen finished in 5th place with a fine 59 points and their number of expected points (xPTS) was 62.11. Quevilly Rouen, on the other hand, ended up in 11th place with only 50 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS was 47.10. Their goal difference was negative. No major changes have taken place after the last season. Indeed, Caen are the better team and have an edge in all areas of the game. They are also a much bigger team in terms of financial resources and players estimated total market value. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The hosts' players have a total market value of about 19 million euros. This is too low – 23-24 would be a more realistic number. The Quevilly Rouen squad has a market value of slightly below 12 million – which is too high. 9-9.5 million would be a more accurate number. Caen currently occupy the 12th place in the standings with 15 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is 18.35. They are in the 7th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Quevilly Rouen have been a disappointment so far this season and are in 18th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They have 10 points to their account and their number of xPTS is a bit higher. Yes, they have some potential for improvement but not that much. The bookies seem to give their potential way too much emphasis here. They are in 13th place in my power rating. The visitors cannot match the hosts in any area of the game. Caen have netted the ball 20 times so far and their number of xG is 23.02. Quevilly Rouen have not been totally useless offensively but have still scored only 15 goals. They have allowed 19 goals – the hosts have conceded 18 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 15.32. They have a much better defensive structure and more skilled defenders.

Caen have not won a game for a pretty long time which is probably the main reason behind the two high odds here.. However, I will not let the recent results fool me – as most of my fans probably know! This is a key element in profitable sports betting! They have been unlucky in many games recently. In their last match they lost to Troyes 1-2 away from home but recorded more goal attempts (22-8), shots on goal, shots off goal (9-3), corner kicks (9-0) as well as dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated 1.34 in xG – Troyes's number was 0.82. Before this they faced Valenciennes away from home and took a point through a 2-2 draw. They had 58% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots off goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They showed great fighting spirit coming from 0-2 late in the second half through Le Bihans's and Abdi's (90+1 minutes) goals. In round 11 they took a point from a strong opponent Auxerre as clear underdogs according to the bookies. The visitors beat Rodez 3-1 at home in their last game. However, the final score is misleading. Rodez had 56% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks - 53-42. Quevilly Rouen did record one more shot on goal though. Before this they were disappointing and lost to Annecy 1-2 at home as clear favourites – priced around 1.95 to win on the betting market.



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卡昂VS奎维里鲁昂


北京时间周日凌晨,卡昂将在奥纳诺球场迎来法甲联赛第14轮对阵鲁昂的比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比法甲平均水平略低的比赛。更重要的是,我的球迷和我在这个联赛上的投注都做得很好!事实上,我们已经在法甲联赛中连续六次获得选秀权。我已经在这个联盟上发布了一个,更多的选秀将很快发送!我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!事实上,接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为卡昂是这里的最爱——但还不够清楚。事实上,根据我复杂而深入的分析,卡昂有52%的机会在预期的阵容下拿到全部三分。在北京时间周六凌晨撰写这篇预告时,他们赢得比赛的赔率在2.25-2.35左右。然而,如果在比赛开始前看到卡昂的赔率下降,我至少不会感到惊讶,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在东道主身上。让我们看看为什么我建议打赌卡昂会赢。

上赛季卡昂以59分的成绩排名第五,他们的期望积分(xPTS)为62.11。另一方面,奎维利鲁昂仅以50分的成绩排在第11位。xPTS数为47.10个。他们的净胜球是负数。在上个赛季之后,没有什么大的变化。的确,卡昂是一支更好的球队,在比赛的各个方面都有优势。在财力和球员的总市场价值方面,他们也是一支更大的球队。据德国知名知名网站Transfermarkt.com称。东道主球员的总市值约为1900万欧元。这个数字太低了,23-24会是一个更现实的数字。鲁昂队的市场价值略低于1200万欧元,这个数字太高了。900万到950万是更准确的数字。卡昂目前以15分的积分排在积分榜第12位。它们的xPTS数是18.35。他们在我的力量排名中排名第七,这反映了球队的纯粹等级,拥有最好的首发11人。本赛季到目前为止,鲁昂一直令人失望,在联赛中排名第18位,共有20家俱乐部。他们的帐户中有10个点,他们的xPTS数量略高。是的,他们有一些改进的潜力,但不是那么多。博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力了。他们在我的能量评级中排名第13位。客队在比赛的任何方面都无法与主队匹敌。到目前为止,卡昂队的进球次数为20次,进球数为23.02次。鲁昂在进攻端并不是一无是处,但是他们只进了15个球。他们丢了19个球——东道主丢了18个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是15.32个。他们有更好的防守结构和更有技术的后卫。

卡昂很长一段时间没有赢过一场比赛了,这可能是这两个高赔率背后的主要原因。然而,我不会让最近的结果欺骗我——我的大多数粉丝可能都知道!这是盈利体育博彩的关键因素!他们最近在许多比赛中都不走运。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场1比2不敌特鲁瓦,但他们的进球次数(22比8)、射正、射偏(9比3)、角球(9比0)和危险进攻都更多。此外,他们在xG中产生了1.34 -特鲁瓦的数字为0.82。在此之前,他们在客场面对瓦朗谢纳,并以2比2的平局取得一分。他们的控球率为58%,进球次数(14-9次)、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。下半场后半段,勒比汉斯和阿卜迪的进球(90+1分钟)从0-2开始,他们表现出了顽强的斗志。在第11轮比赛中,他们从强大的对手欧塞尔那里拿走了一分,根据博彩公司的说法,欧塞尔显然处于劣势。客队在上一场比赛中主场3-1击败了罗德斯队。然而,最终的分数是误导性的。罗德斯有56%的控球率,并记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻——53比42。不过鲁昂又射进了一球。在此之前,他们的表现令人失望,在主场以1比2输给了安纳西(Annecy),他们显然是夺冠热门,在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.95英镑。

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