Huge value in this one! 欧协联 法兰克福VS赫尔辛基
2023-10-26

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧协联

10/27 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

We probably all agree that based on class difference alone Eitracht will win this match, the only question is by how much? What is the correct price for any handicap?

All wins, narrow and big, all give you 3 points and that is what counts.

At home Frankfurt have not lost in their last 17 games, the latest loss came vs Napoli in February 2023, but on the other hand they have beaten this handicap during this period only once, a 3-0 win over Mainz in May.

So the handicap feels rather cleverly set at least from the home side's point of view!

HJK on their travels do not lose by this much, except against good European sides:



It was about a year ago when HJK last time had secured their win of the local league, and they lost away at Betis by 3-0. This season HJK secured their win of the Finnish Premier League this week, very narrowly as they lost their final match v KuPS, and won by a goal difference of two goals!

It was a huge relief, and everything else is a bonus. However the preparation for this match away in Germany is hardly optimal as the players are exhausted but happy, looking for their holidays and their future contracts. Some are going to retire, several have had minor injuries they want to heal from. The top playmaker's brother was murdered a while ago, his performances are understandably far from his best.

The two players who have kept HJK on course have been Keskinen and Bojan, Bandé, who has been in good form recently for HJK is out due burecrautic reasons with the immigration.

At Frankfurt side there are not too many worries. The keeper will not be the first choice, but the way I see it HJK will create less than 0.2 xG worth of goal expectation tonight, and a goal would be a big surprise.

A full home support at sold out stadion, HJK simply do not stand a chance tonight.

4-0



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我们可能都同意,单从阶级差异来看,Eitracht会赢得这场比赛,唯一的问题是赢多少?任何障碍的正确价格是多少?

所有的胜利,无论是小比分还是大比分,都能给你3分,这才是最重要的。

在主场,法兰克福在最近的17场比赛中没有输过,最近的一场比赛是在2023年2月对阵那不勒斯,但另一方面,他们在这段时间内只有一次击败了这个障碍,即5月3-0战胜美因茨。

因此,至少从主队的角度来看,这个障碍设置得相当巧妙!

除了对阵优秀的欧洲球队,hkk在他们的比赛中不会输这么多。



上一次在本地联赛夺冠是在大约一年前,他们客场0 - 3输给了贝蒂斯。本赛季,香港恒大在本周的芬兰超级联赛中取得了胜利,他们在最后一场比赛中以微弱优势输给了对手,并以两球的净胜球获胜!

这是一个巨大的解脱,其他的一切都是额外的奖励。然而,这场客场比赛的准备工作并不是最理想的,因为球员们都很疲惫,但很高兴,期待着他们的假期和未来的合同。有些人准备退役,有些人受了轻伤,想要痊愈。顶级组织者的哥哥不久前被谋杀了,他的表现可以理解的远没有达到他的最佳状态。

两名球员一直保持着HJK的正常状态,他们是凯斯基宁和博扬,班达内最近状态不错,因为HJK由于移民的官僚主义原因而出局。

在法兰克福方面没有太多的担忧。门将不会是第一选择,但在我看来,hkk今晚将创造不到0.2倍的进球预期,一个进球将是一个很大的惊喜。

在座无人席的球场里,满场的主场支持,今晚的hkk根本没有机会。

4 - 0

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