A very important game for both teams!
2023-10-24

Borja

外籍分析师

欧冠

10/25 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

This match already feels like a must-win game for both teams as they look to qualify from Group B into the next stage of the Champions League. With Lens unexpectedly leading and PSV also involved, it's actually one of the harder groups with some talented clubs involved.

While Sevilla don’t carry the status of Barcelona or Real Madrid they are well known for being successful in Europe, even if it’s the continent’s second tier of competition. They have managed to win the Europa League seven times in the past 18 years, most recently last year. However, the Champions is a different story for them - they have won just two of their last 15 UCL games.

Sevilla’s strength in the UEL is one of the reasons that Arsenal would have looked at them in Group B, and this away game in particular, as a tricky game and one that would probably be their biggest test in the group. Following that 2-1 defeat to Lens in their last UCL game, it's now made this road trip even more important. I do expect them to handle business here and backing them with my best bet.

I actually think Arsenal's 2-2 draw with Chelsea on Saturday is indicative of a mental toughness and resilience that Arsenal have developed in the past 18-24 months that simply wasn’t there previously. They are now a team of winners, something that couldn’t be said for a long time. They’ll need that against Sevilla, who have real pedigree in Europe.

And while Sevilla are well known for being near ever-presents in the knockout stages of the Europa League, they don’t have the same record in the Champions League as said and are struggling domestically at the moment.

In La Liga they are showing a weak attack, a vulnerable defence, and a midfield who is not able to control the games. They have had only two games to nil this season so far (12 played), which were against Las Palmas (worst attack of the league) and Osasuna (who generated 1.41 expected goals).

Sergio Ramos is a good transfer, and the 37-year-old should continue alongside Gudelj, Marcos Acuña and Jesús Navas in an experienced, battle-hardened backline. But Sevilla’s starting lineups in the Champions League this season have had an average age of 30 years and 343 days – the oldest in the tournament. And this fact against a high pace team like Arsenal is a real trouble.

Their history in Europe is scary but Arsenal should have no fear of a team who are 13th in La Liga, having won just two of their nine games. They’ve allowed more than a goal per game, something we haven’t traditionally seen from them in Europe where they’ve won through defensive stability and organization.

Arsenal will be relying on striker Jesus to continue his Champions League hot streak, who already scored in the games against PSV and Lens. Jesus will likely be flanked by Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka, with the latter returning from injury to assist Arsenal’s equaliser against Chelsea, taking him to 11 goal involvements in all competitions this season (five goals, six assists). Three of those (one goal, two assists) have come in the Champions League.

As much as this is a big game and one that is tough on paper, I think it’s one which the Gunners should comfortably win. After a six-year absence from the tournament, would be a big failure if they don't manage even to qualify to ⅛ finals in an affordable group on paper, without any big team involved.



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这场比赛对于两支球队来说都是一场必胜的比赛,因为他们希望从B组出线进入下一阶段的欧冠。由于蓝斯出人意料地领先,埃因霍温也参与其中,这实际上是一个有一些有才华的俱乐部参与的更难的小组。

虽然塞维利亚没有巴塞罗那或皇家马德里那样的地位,但他们在欧洲的成功是众所周知的,即使这是欧洲大陆的第二梯队比赛。在过去的18年里,他们7次夺得欧联杯冠军,最近一次是在去年。然而,冠军杯对他们来说是一个不同的故事——他们在过去的15场比赛中只赢了两场。

塞维利亚在UEL的实力是阿森纳会把他们放在B组的原因之一,尤其是这场客场比赛,这是一场棘手的比赛,可能是他们在小组中最大的考验。在上一场欧冠比赛中2-1不敌蓝斯之后,这次客场之旅显得更加重要。我确实希望他们能在这里做生意,并以我最好的赌注来支持他们。

事实上,我认为阿森纳在周六2-2战平切尔西的比赛表明,阿森纳在过去18-24个月里培养出了一种精神上的坚韧和韧性,而这是以前所没有的。他们现在是一支胜利者的队伍,这在很长一段时间里是不可能的。他们在对阵塞维利亚的比赛中需要这一点,塞维利亚在欧洲有着真正的血统。

虽然塞维利亚以在欧联杯淘汰赛中几乎无处不在而闻名,但他们在欧冠联赛中的战绩并不像上面所说的那样好,而且目前在国内也很挣扎。

在西甲联赛中,他们表现出薄弱的进攻,脆弱的防守,以及无法控制比赛的中场。本赛季迄今为止,他们只有2场比赛(12场比赛)是0比0,分别是对阵拉斯帕尔马斯(联赛进攻最差)和奥萨苏纳(预期进球1.41)。

塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯是一个很好的转会,这位37岁的球员应该继续与古德雷、马科斯Acuña和Jesús纳瓦斯一起组成一个经验丰富、久经沙场的后防线。但塞维利亚本赛季欧冠首发阵容的平均年龄为30岁零343天,是欧冠中年龄最大的。面对像阿森纳这样的快节奏球队,这是一个真正的麻烦。

他们在欧洲的历史是可怕的,但阿森纳不应该害怕一支在西甲排名第13的球队,他们在9场比赛中只赢了2场。他们场均失球超过一个,这是我们在欧洲赛场上从未见过的,他们靠稳定的防守和组织赢得胜利。

阿森纳将依靠前锋热苏斯继续他的欧冠连胜,他已经在对阵埃因霍温和伦斯的比赛中进球。热苏斯的侧翼很可能是加布里埃尔·马蒂内利和布卡约·萨卡,后者从伤病中恢复,帮助阿森纳扳平了切尔西的比分,这使他本赛季在各项赛事中的进球总数达到11个(5球6助攻)。其中3个进球(1球2助攻)来自欧冠。

尽管这是一场重要的比赛,而且纸面上很艰难,但我认为枪手应该轻松获胜。在缺席了六年欧洲杯之后,如果他们在没有强队参加的情况下,在一个纸面上负担得起的小组里连晋级决赛的资格都没有,那将是一个巨大的失败。

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