Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD VS Atletico Madrid

Celta Vigo welcome Atletico Madrid for this LaLiga round 10 clash at Estadio de Balaídos early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world, after the English Premier League. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of higher-than-average level here. Most importantly, we have yet another betting opportunity to extend the good streak here. Most of my fans are probably aware of the fact that I never let the standings fool me! Indeed, Atletico Madrid currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have taken a total of 19 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) points is “only” 14.87. They have netted the ball 20 times in LaLiga so far but also their number flatters them as their number of xG is 15.32 Their defence has unarguably been solid - typically for Diego Simeone’s team. They have conceded only eight goals in this league so far and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is not much higher – 9.23 to be precise. However, I believe they will concede more goals per game as the season progresses.. In their most recent game, they beat Real Sociedad 2-1 at home. The visitors had 63% ball possession and recorded many more attacks (149-69) and dangerous attacks – 46-21. Atletico Madrid did record one more goal attempt and shot on goal than the visitors. Both teams had six shots off goal and Sociedad had three more corners than Atletico. It was not a very impressive performance from Atletico as a whole. Before this they faced a Dutch team, Feyenoord, at home in an UEFA Champions League group stage clash. Atletico were very clear favourites in this game – priced around 1.60-1.65 to win by the bookies. This was yet another example of Atletico being overrated by the betting market! Yes, Atletico eventually grinded out a narrow 3-2 win but the visitors could easily have taken all three points. They had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (18-7), shots on goal (7-3), shots off target (6-2), corner kicks (15-4), total passes, completed passes, attacks (124-78) and especially dangerous attacks 62-25! Moreover, the visitors generated 2.03 in xG – Atletico managed just 0.76.

The visitors have won several games in a row and are clearly high in confidence. They are, of course, the better team in all areas of the game and deserve to be the favourites but the current odds of around 2.10 offered by the biggest bookies on Atletico to win are clearly too low! I see Celta having a 61% chance of taking at least a point here! The home advantage in LaLiga is one of the biggest in Europe on average and we must give this factor enough emphasis here. Celta Vigo have been a slight disappointment this season so far – no denying that! However, we must remember that they have been the unluckiest team in LaLiga in terms of xPTS! This is most probably one of the main reasons for them being underrated here! They have just six points to their account but their number of xPTS is 13.45! They have scored just 10 goals but their xG is 15.78. Furthermore, they have conceded 15 goals but their number of xGA is 13.67. Unfortunately, they cannot possibly be very high in confidence at the moment as they last won a game in September when they defeated Almeria 3-2 away from home. In their last game they would definitely have deserved all three points in a home match against Getafe. Aspas missed a penalty kick in the 14th minute when the score was 0-1 - the final score was 2-2. Celta Vigo had a whopping 74% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts (26-3), shots on goal (11-2) shots off target (6-1) corner kicks (13-1), attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 77-21. Moreover, they generated 3.13 in xG – Getafe’s number was only 0.72!

维戈塞尔塔皇家俱乐部VS马德里竞技

北京时间周日凌晨，维戈塞尔塔将在Balaídos球场迎来西甲第十轮对阵马竞的比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛，仅次于英超。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个押注机会来延续这一良好势头。我的大多数粉丝可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!事实上，马德里竞技目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们一共得了19分。然而，他们的期望点数(xPTS)点数“只有”14.87。到目前为止，他们在西甲联赛中取得了20次进球，但他们的数字也让他们感到高兴，他们的xG数为15.32，他们的防守无可争议地稳固-对于迭戈西蒙尼的球队来说尤其如此。到目前为止，他们在联赛中只丢了8个球，他们的预期失球数(xGA)也没有高多少，准确地说是9.23个。然而，我相信随着赛季的进行，他们每场都会丢更多的球。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了皇家社会。客队有63%的控球率，并且有更多的进攻(149比69)和危险进攻(46比21)。马竞比客队多了一次射门和射门。两队都有6次射门，社会比马竞多3次角球。马竞的整体表现并不令人印象深刻。在此之前，他们在欧冠小组赛主场迎战荷兰队费耶诺德。马竞在这场比赛中是非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的赔率在1.60-1.65左右。这是马竞被博彩市场高估的又一个例子!是的，马竞最终以3比2险胜，但客队本可以轻松拿下全部三分。他们有54%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(18-7)，射正(7-3)，射偏(6-2)，角球(15-4)，总传球，完成传球，进攻(124-78)，尤其是危险进攻(62-25)!此外，客队在比赛中创造了2.03个进球，而马竞只创造了0.76个。

客队已经连续赢了几场比赛，显然信心十足。当然，他们在比赛的各个方面都表现得更好，应该成为最受欢迎的球队，但目前最大的博彩公司对马竞获胜的赔率约为2.10，这显然太低了!我认为塞尔塔有61%的机会在这里拿到至少一分!西甲的主场优势是欧洲平均最大的优势之一，我们必须在这里给予足够的重视。本赛季到目前为止，维戈塞尔塔有点令人失望——这是不可否认的!然而，我们必须记住，他们是西甲联赛中最不幸的球队。这可能是他们在这里被低估的主要原因之一!他们的账户只有6个点，但他们的xPTS数量是13.45!他们只进了10个球，但他们的xG值是15.78。此外，他们丢了15个球，但他们的射门数是13.67。不幸的是，他们现在不可能有很高的信心，因为他们上一次赢球是在9月份，当时他们客场3-2击败了阿尔梅里亚。在上一场主场对阵赫塔菲的比赛中，他们完全可以拿到三分。阿斯帕斯在第14分钟错失了点球，当时比分为0-1，最终比分为2-2。塞尔塔的控球率高达74%，进球次数(26胜3负)、射正(11胜2负)、射偏(6胜1负)、角球(13胜1负)、进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——77胜21负。此外，他们在xG中产生了3.13，而赫塔菲的数字只有0.72!