In my opinion Granada have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Osasuna failed to win in 5 of last 6 matches and for me is hard to see them as so big favorite here. Osasuna won 0:2 on the road against Alaves, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Alaves 1.50, for Osasuna 1.12. Osasuna have problems with goalscoring at the moment – they failed to score in 3 of last 4 matches. Only 4 teams in whole league produced lower expected goals scored number than Osasuna this season. Only one team in La Liga have less shots on target per game than hosts of today’s match. In addition to that, today they are without creative midfielder Gomez (1 goal) and left defender Mojica.

Granada started season very slow, but their improvement was really visible in last rounds. They went unbeaten in last 3 matches in a row and during that run they played against teams like Barcelona or Betis. Granada is creative and don’t have problems with goalscoring – they scored 5 goals in last two rounds. Granada scored more than one goal in 5 of last 7 league matches! I believe they have all required tools to score also today. Osasuna is not rock solid at the back – only 3 teams in whole league have higher expected goals conceded number so far.

Granada will play from counter attack and that should work well for them, they should be able to create some dangerous chances to score against unstable Osasuna defense. On the other hand Osasuna have problems with creating game: only 46.2% average ball possession so far. They are still without a single win at home and scored only one goal front of home crowd.

Odds on Granada are simply too good to skip.

在我看来，格拉纳达有更大的机会避免损失，比博彩公司希望我们在他们的赔率。

奥萨苏纳在过去的6场比赛中有5场失利，对我来说很难把他们看作是一个大热门。奥萨苏纳在客场0:2战胜了阿拉维斯，但这根本不应该是这样的结果:阿拉维斯的预期进球数为1.50，奥萨苏纳的预期进球数为1.12。奥萨苏纳目前在进球方面有问题——他们在最近4场比赛中有3场没有进球。本赛季全联盟只有4支球队的预期进球数低于奥萨苏纳。西甲只有一支球队的场均射正次数比今天的东道主少。除此之外，今天他们失去了创意中场戈麦斯(1球)和左后卫莫希卡。

格拉纳达本赛季的开局非常缓慢，但他们的进步在最后几轮表现得非常明显。他们在最近3场比赛中保持不败，在这3场比赛中，他们对阵的球队包括巴塞罗那和贝蒂斯。格拉纳达很有创造力，在进球方面没有问题——他们在最近两轮进了5个球。在过去的7场联赛中，格拉纳达有5场进球超过1球!我相信他们今天也具备了得分所需的所有工具。奥萨苏纳在后防线上并不是坚如磐石，到目前为止，整个联赛中只有3支球队的失球预期数比他高。

格拉纳达将从反击开始，这对他们来说应该很有效，他们应该能够创造一些危险的机会来得分，对抗奥萨苏纳不稳定的防守。另一方面，奥萨苏纳在创造比赛方面有问题:到目前为止，平均控球率只有46.2%。他们仍然没有在主场取得一场胜利，并且只在主场观众面前进了一球。

格拉纳达的赔率太好了，不容错过。