CA Platense VS Estudiantes La Plata

Platense welcome Estudiantes L.P for this Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional round 9 battle at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Buenos Aires early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in South America, after the Brazilian Serie A. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of average quality by this league’s standards. This is, on average, a low-scoring league. I see this match as even more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 74%. None of the visitors’ latest six games have gone over the 2.5 goals line and three have been goalless. I expect them to – once again – be pretty defensive here as their offense has been lame and they are low in confidence. Furthermore, the probability of a draw is high – 34 % to be precise. Platense currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have a total of 11 points to their account. However, they have been slightly lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They have netted the ball eight times, but I have not been fully convinced by their offense so far. Their attacks are sometimes a bit too slow-paced and lack creativity. They have conceded 11 goals, but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is lower – 9.12 to be precise. In the Liga Profesional - that was played before Copa de la Liga Profesional started - Platense finished only in the 17th place with 34 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS was 37.02. They ended up with only three points behind Atl. Tucuman, who finished in 11th place.

The bookies should stop underestimating Platense. They are not a big team in terms of financial resources or players estimated market value according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. However, they play well as a team and have improved lately. They have lost just one of their latest five matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have won just one of their latest five games in this competition. In their most recent match, they did beat Huracan 2-0 at a neutral location in a Copa Argentina quarter-final clash. However, they had some luck on their side. Indeed, Huracan recorded many more goal attempts (15-10), attacks (139-103) and dangerous attacks – 91-56. They did play well in the Liga Profesional but were lucky in terms of XPS. However, in the Copa de la Liga Profesional they have been poor taking just six points and are in 12th place in Group B. Their number of xPTS is only moderately bigger. They have scored a pathetic four goals – the second-lowest number in the group! Their offense has lacked creativity, speed and passing accuracy. Furthermore, their midfielders have not been active enough in attacking. They have allowed eight goals so far. Yes, they can and surely will improve but the bookies seeing them as favourites here is very weird. Their odds are around 2.30 with the biggest bookies. The bookies clearly give their potential and last season way too much emphasis here. Taking the home advantage into account I see the hosts as marginal favourites and we will take the +0.5 goals handicap option.

加州大学普拉塔塞VS拉普拉塔学生队

北京时间周四凌晨，在布宜诺斯艾利斯维森特城球场López，普拉塔塞欢迎学生队参加这场阿根廷西甲联赛第9轮的比赛。这是南美洲第二好的联赛，仅次于巴西甲级联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的平均质量的比赛。平均来说，这是一个得分很低的联盟。我认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的比分更低。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为74%。客队最近的六场比赛中没有一场进球超过2.5球线，其中三场没有进球。我希望他们——再一次——在这里防守得很好，因为他们的进攻很差劲，而且他们的信心很低。此外，平局的概率很高，准确地说是34%。普拉塔塞目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们的账户上总共有11分。然而，就期望值(xPTS)而言，它们还算幸运。他们已经8次进球了，但到目前为止，我还没有完全相信他们的进攻。他们的进攻有时节奏太慢，缺乏创造力。他们丢了11个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)更低，准确地说是9.12个。在西甲联赛开始之前的职业联赛中，普拉塔塞仅以34分排名第17位，但他们的得分为37.02分。他们最终只落后阿联3分。图库曼获得了第11名。

博彩公司应该停止低估普拉登斯。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从财力和球员的市场价值来看，他们并不是一支强大的球队。然而，他们作为一个团队打得很好，而且最近有所进步。在最近的五场比赛中，他们只输了一场。另一方面，客队在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在阿根廷杯四分之一决赛的中立场地以2-0击败了胡拉坎队。然而，他们有一些运气。事实上，胡拉坎的进球次数(15胜10负)、进攻次数(139胜103负)和危险进攻次数(91胜56负)都要多得多。他们在联赛中踢得很好，但在XPS方面很幸运。然而，在西甲联赛中，他们表现不佳，只拿到了6分，排在b组的第12位。他们只进了可怜的4球，是小组第二少的!他们的进攻缺乏创造力、速度和传球准确性。此外，他们的中场在进攻中不够活跃。到目前为止，他们已经丢了8个球。是的，他们可以而且肯定会进步，但是博彩公司把他们看作是这里的热门是非常奇怪的。在最大的博彩公司，他们的赔率约为2.30。博彩公司显然给了他们的潜力和上个赛季太多的强调。考虑到主场优势，我认为主队的夺冠希望不大，我们将采用+0.5个进球障碍的选项。