Did Levante finish the season already? 西甲莱万特VS塞维利亚
2021-04-21

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

04/22 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I did mention already earlier that I have serious doubts of the mental form and state of Levante after returning from the international break, as they have nothing to play for, but had a tough spring with huge disappointments in the Spanish Cup.


They indeed lost to Huesca at home and created very little goal expectation, won Eibar in a very boring game with close to 0 chances, and the last weeks 1-5 home loss to Villarreal talks volumes of their form. It has to be noted also that Eibar in their following match lost 5-0 away Atletico Madrid, and recorced exactly 0.00 of xG in that game!

There are also some seriously important absentees as their best left side player is suspended and there are 4 other players out due injury, mostly midfielders. In a mental state like this it is actually not bad to bring in fresh blood from the bench as they are full of motivation, but in the case of Levante the bad news is that class-wise they are not up to the task.

In counters Levante have good weapons in Morales and DeFrutos and Bardhi has some long-shot threat and dead ball speality to offer, but as the local derby v Villarreal was so toothless I am not expecting much of them today, especially because

Sevilla are a good team who are having their best league season of modern times!


After the break Sevilla did destroy Atletico, had a fun rollercoaster game away at Celta, and competely dominated strong Real Sociedad side in San Sebastian. They have now their 3rd away match in a row, but they have been the 2nd best away side in La Liga after Real Madrid so far, and have basically best possible squad situation and can choose who to play if they feel someone needs to rest a bit.

Sevilla coach Lopetequi said all the right things about Levante in the press with respect to the team, but Sevilla are in the title race in real, they are concentrated, strong in the both ends of the box and can keep Levante's goal expectation somewhere below 0.3 xG tonight, and in my papers they are about 60% likely to win.

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*本文经有道翻译机翻,仅供参考。

我之前已经提到过,我对莱万特从国际比赛后的精神状态和状态有严重的怀疑,因为他们没有比赛,却在西班牙杯中度过了一个艰难的春天。

他们确实在主场输给了韦斯卡,并且创造了很少的进球机会,在一场非常无聊的比赛中以接近0的机会赢下了伊巴尔,而且在过去几周主场1-5输给比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中,他们的表现很好。还需要注意的是,伊巴尔在接下来的比赛中以0 - 5输给了马德里竞技,并在那场比赛中取得了0 -0的成绩。

还有一些非常重要的球员缺席,比如他们最好的左路球员停赛,还有另外4名球员因伤缺阵,其中大部分是中场球员。在这样的精神状态下,从板凳上引进新鲜血液其实也不错,因为他们充满了动力,但对莱万特来说,坏消息是,他们无法胜任这个任务。

在对抗方面,莱万特有很好的武器,莫拉莱斯和德福托斯,巴蒂有一些远射威胁和死球,但在当地德比对比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中,我对他们不抱太大希望,特别是因为塞维利亚是一支优秀的球队,他们正经历着现代联赛中最好的赛季!

在休息之后,塞维利亚击败了马竞,在客场对塞尔塔的比赛中经历了一场有趣的比赛,并且前锋塞巴斯蒂安完全控制了强大的皇家社会。这是他们连续第三场客场比赛,但他们目前在西甲联赛中客场战绩排名第二,仅次于皇家马德里,他们的阵容基本上是最好的,如果他们觉得有人需要休息的话,他们可以选择合格的替补。

出于尊敬,塞维利亚主教练Lopetequi对媒体说的关于莱万特的话都是好话,但真正的塞维利亚在冠军争夺战中,他们会很专注,在赛场的两端强硬表现可以保持今晚莱万特的期望进球在低于0.3 xG, 所以我觉得赢球的概率要大于60%。

比分参考0-2

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