Spain to continue the winning run?
2023-10-15

Borja

外籍分析师

欧预赛

10/16 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Ahead of the EC qualifiers, Group A seemed like a fairly open affair with Spain undergoing a generational change and Norway making progress of its own. Just behind, Scotland was expected to pick up a point here and there. Now, with two or three rounds remaining, Scotland leads, and Norway probably needs to beat Spain at home to have a chance to play in the championship.

The Norwegians also come to the meeting in very good form, even though they haven't faced any top-tier teams. With four straight victories, 15 goals scored, and only two conceded, they have done their part in the fight for second place, the position they now aim for.

The team has had potential for a long time, but it's been challenging to bring it all together. With players like Håland, Ödegård, Sörloth, Berge, and the new rising star Antonio Nusa, there is a lot of quality, but they've struggled to find a consistent level of play. Now, that consistency will be crucial. In my opinion, this is the best national team that Norway has ever had, with top players in two key positions: Håland upfront (arguably the best striker in the world at the moment) and Martin Ödegård.

Norway primarily relies on counterattacks, but they also possess the ability to play possession-based football.

This match is a must-win for Norway, a true do-or-die situation. Spain is three points behind Scotland with a superior goal difference and one less game played (against Georgia), so Norway likely needs to gain six points against either Spain or Scotland to advance to the championship.

Norway must and will go all out for the win. In the last meeting in Spain, the Spaniards dominated and won 3-0. However, they struggled to hurt Norway on the counterattack. What they missed then, they won't miss now—Erling Håland.

The feeling is, of course, relative to Spain's success in 2010, but in my opinion, Spain is currently a bit shaky despite having some really great talents. Though they won the Nations League a few months ago, I think the team feels a little disjointed. What we know about this team and nation is that they have the potential to rise to world-class status again, which feels odd to say just a couple of months after their Nations League victory.

However, I believe they've been overperforming lately. Spain has the weakest squad they've had in over 15 years, with only a few players (Rodri, Pedri) excelling in their positions. Others, like Bryan Zaragoza, are young and making their debut with the national team, while some veterans are far from their best level (Navas, Carvajal). Additionally, some players are very inconsistent and perform at an average level, such as Morata.

Spain is also dealing with some important injuries, like winger Nico Williams, who was one of the most in-form players, Barcelona’s midfielder Pedri, and his teammate and key defender Balde, who was injured in the game against Scotland.

Like the Norwegians, Spain is in good form, boasting five straight victories, including a win in the Nations League final against Croatia. Similar to Norway, they also have goals on their minds.

A draw would suffice for Spain, who will likely make some changes to the lineup to inject fresh legs onto the field.

Norway's weak point lies in their defense, and Spain will need to exploit this by attacking and utilizing the wings, something they struggled with against Scotland and will find challenging without Nico Williams.

This promises to be a very interesting game between two offensive teams, and surely we’ll see goals. Norway is forced to attack and needs a victory, while Spain will be content with this scenario, as they perform better with spaces and chances. However, undoubtedly, Norway has much more quality upfront, so I believe they'll be able to score more goals in this match.

I anticipate a very difficult game for Spain. They have more quality and could win easily if they play a perfect match, but I see Norway as having the potential to compete and avoid defeat at home. For me, it's a total 50-50 game, and Spain would be content with a draw as well.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在欧共体预选赛之前,A组似乎是一个相当开放的事件,西班牙经历了一代人的改变,挪威也取得了自己的进步。紧随其后的是苏格兰队,他们有望在各个地方拿分。现在,还有两到三轮比赛,苏格兰领先,挪威可能需要在主场击败西班牙才能有机会参加锦标赛。

挪威人的状态也很好,尽管他们还没有面对过任何顶级球队。四连胜,打进15球,只丢2球,他们已经为争夺第二的位置尽了自己的一份力量,这是他们现在的目标。

车队很长一段时间以来一直有潜力,但要把所有的潜力都集中起来是一个挑战。拥有像ha<s:1>兰,Ödegård, Sörloth,贝尔热和新星安东尼奥·努萨这样的球员,他们的实力很强,但他们一直在努力寻找一个稳定的比赛水平。现在,这种一致性至关重要。在我看来,这是挪威有史以来最好的国家队,在两个关键位置上都有顶级球员:海姆兰(目前可以说是世界上最好的前锋)和马丁Ödegård。

挪威主要依靠反击,但他们也拥有以控球为基础的足球能力。

这场比赛对挪威来说是一场必胜的比赛,这是一场生死攸关的比赛。西班牙队以净胜球优势落后苏格兰队3分,而且还少打了一场比赛(对阵格鲁吉亚),因此挪威可能需要在对阵西班牙或苏格兰的比赛中获得6分才能晋级冠军。

挪威必须也将全力以赴争取胜利。在上一次与西班牙的交锋中,西班牙人占据优势,以3比0获胜。然而,他们很难在反击中伤害挪威。他们当时错过的,现在不会再错过了——埃林·哈马特。

当然,这种感觉与西班牙在2010年的成功有关,但在我看来,尽管拥有一些真正伟大的人才,西班牙目前还是有点不稳定。虽然他们几个月前赢得了国家联赛冠军,但我认为这支球队感觉有点脱节。我们对这支球队和这个国家的了解是,他们有潜力再次上升到世界级的地位,这在他们赢得国家联赛几个月后就说出来有点奇怪。

然而,我认为他们最近表现得过于出色了。西班牙队的阵容是15年来最弱的,只有少数球员(罗德里,佩德里)在他们的位置上表现出色。其他人,如布莱恩·萨拉戈萨,都很年轻,是国家队的首次亮相,而一些老将则远未达到最佳水平(纳瓦斯、卡瓦哈尔)。此外,有些球员的表现非常不稳定,处于平均水平,比如莫拉塔。

西班牙也在处理一些重要的伤病问题,比如状态最好的边锋尼科·威廉姆斯(Nico Williams)、巴塞罗那中场球员佩德里(Pedri),以及他的队友兼关键后卫巴尔德(Balde),后者在与苏格兰的比赛中受伤。

和挪威人一样,西班牙队的状态也很好,他们已经取得了五连胜,其中包括在国家联赛决赛中战胜克罗地亚。和挪威一样,他们也有自己的目标。

一场平局对西班牙来说就足够了,他们可能会对阵容进行一些调整,为场上注入新鲜血液。

挪威的弱点在于他们的防守,西班牙需要通过进攻和利用边路来利用这一点,这是他们在对阵苏格兰的比赛中表现不佳的地方,在没有尼科·威廉姆斯的情况下,他们会发现这是一个挑战。

这将是两支进攻型球队之间的一场非常有趣的比赛,我们肯定会看到进球。挪威被迫进攻,需要一场胜利,而西班牙将满足于这种情况,因为他们在空间和机会方面表现得更好。然而,毫无疑问,挪威的前场实力更强,所以我相信他们能在这场比赛中打进更多的球。

我预计西班牙将迎来一场非常艰难的比赛。他们的实力更强,如果踢出一场完美的比赛,他们可以轻松获胜,但我认为挪威有潜力在主场竞争并避免失败。对我来说,这是一场50-50的比赛,西班牙也会对平局感到满意。

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