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2023-10-15

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10/16 02:45

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Norway VS Spain


Norway welcome Spain for this EURO Qualification Group A round 8 battle at Ullevall Stadin in Oslo early Monday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by international standards here. We have won 11/12 of the latest picks and have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! The stakes are massive here as both teams still have a good chance qualifying for the EURO 2024 tournament in Germany next summer. The top-2 teams each group qualify. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tiebreaker. In reality, Spain have played five games and Norway six matches so far. Scotland top the group at the moment with 15 points to their account. Spain have grabbed 12 points and Norway have 10 taken 10 points. This means that Norway would realistically have to win this match as they have just one more match left after this. This means that they cannot be ultra defensive, and Spain will surely have chances for counter-attacks if the score is level - or especially if Spain are in the lead. This is not their style of play though. They love controlling the ball and moving it fast with short passes. I do not think that Spain would be too happy with a draw either as they surely want to win the group. This decreases the chance of a draw and increases Spain’s chances of taking all three points! The biggest, sometimes somewhat smart bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers offer Spain odds of around 2.00 at the time of writing this preview late Saturday morning Beijing time. However, I would not be at all surprised if odds on Spain to win were to drop before the kick off as smart money is expected to pile up on the visitors. I see them having a 57% chance of winning!

Spain are currently in 10th place in the FIFA ranking. This is too low in my expert opinion. I would rate them the 7th best team in the world. Norway, on the other hand, occupy the 45th place. This is more or less correct. Yes, Norway have Haaland and Odegaard but after that the level drops a quite a bit. Haaland, who plays for Manchester City, the best team in the world, is of course one of the best strikers on the planet but we must also remember that at Man City he plays with elite players like Rodri, Kevin de Bruyne etc. With the national team he does not have this luxury, not even close! Odegaard is the Arsenal captain and a great midfielder but has not always been at his best when playing for his country. The Spanish team is full of amazing talent, and they have truly great players even on the bench to bring in in the second half. Spain have a very clear edge over Norway in all areas of the game. Indeed, they have allowed just three goals so far and have not conceded any goals in their latest three matches. Norway have conceded eight goals. Furthermore, Spain have scored a whopping 18 goals o far and I expect Morata, Torres and Gavi – to name a few to be very dangerous here against the pretty vulnerable Norwegian defence. Spain beat a very dangerous team, Scotland, at home a few days ago 2-0. They fully deserved the win as they had 70% ball possession and also recorded massively more goal attempts (18-4), shots on goal, shots off target (9-2), total passes (634-216), completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated 2.97 in expected goals. Scotland managed 0.87. Norway, on the other hand, lost to Scotland at home in June 1-2 as clear favourites on the betting market. It was yet another game of Norway being overvalued by the bookies. Yes, they have won two qualification games now but Georgia (2-1 Norway win) and especially Cyprus are bad teams. Two days ago they won in Cyprus 4-0 and did deserve the win but the final score still clearly flatters them as they generated “only” 1.65 in xG.



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挪威VS西班牙


北京时间周一凌晨,挪威队将在奥斯陆乌尔勒瓦尔体育场迎接西班牙队参加欧洲杯预选赛A组第8轮比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于国际平均水平的比赛。我们赢了11/12的最新选择,还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会!双方关系重大,因为两支球队都很有可能获得明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格。每组前2名的球队出线。如果在比赛结束时得分相等,则进行肉搏赛。实际上,到目前为止,西班牙和挪威分别打了5场和6场比赛。苏格兰目前以15分的积分排名小组第一。西班牙拿到了12分,挪威拿到了10分。这意味着挪威队必须赢得这场比赛,因为他们只剩下最后一场比赛了。这意味着他们不能过度防守,如果比分持平,西班牙队肯定会有反击的机会,尤其是在西班牙领先的情况下。但这不是他们的打法。他们喜欢控制球,用短传快速移动。我不认为西班牙会因为平局而高兴,因为他们肯定想要赢得小组头名。这减少了平局的机会,增加了西班牙全取三分的机会!在北京时间周六上午撰写这篇预告时,最大的、有时有点聪明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注,他们提供的西班牙赔率约为2.00。然而,如果西班牙队获胜的赔率在开球前下降,我一点也不会感到惊讶,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在客队身上。我看到他们有57%的获胜机会!

西班牙目前在国际足联排名中排名第十。以我的专业意见,这太低了。我认为他们是世界上第七好的球队。另一方面,挪威排在第45位。这多少是正确的。是的,挪威有哈兰德和奥德加德,但在那之后水平下降了很多。哈兰德效力于世界上最好的球队曼城,当然是这个星球上最好的前锋之一,但我们也必须记住,在曼城,他和罗德里、凯文·德布鲁因等精英球员一起踢球。在国家队,他就没有这种奢侈了,甚至都没有!奥德加德是阿森纳的队长,也是一名伟大的中场球员,但在为国家队效力时,他的状态并不总是最好的。西班牙队充满了惊人的天赋,他们有真正伟大的球员,即使在板凳上也可以在下半场上场。西班牙队在比赛的各个方面都明显领先于挪威队。事实上,到目前为止,他们只丢了3个球,而且在最近的3场比赛中没有失球。挪威丢了8个球。此外,西班牙队到目前为止已经打进了18个进球,我认为莫拉塔、托雷斯和加维等人在面对挪威脆弱的后防线时会非常危险。几天前,西班牙在主场以2比0击败了一支非常危险的球队苏格兰。他们完全配得上这场胜利,因为他们有70%的控球率,而且他们的进球次数(18-4)、射正、射偏(9-2)、总传球次数(634-216)、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都要多得多。他们还创造了2.97个预期进球。苏格兰获得0.87分。另一方面,挪威队在6月1-2日主场输给了苏格兰队,在博彩市场上被看好。这是挪威队又一场被博彩公司高估的比赛。是的,他们现在已经赢了两场资格赛,但是格鲁吉亚(2-1战胜挪威),尤其是塞浦路斯是糟糕的球队。两天前,他们在塞浦路斯以4比0获胜,他们确实应该赢得这场胜利,但最终的比分仍然明显让他们感到高兴,因为他们在xG中“只有”1.65分。

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