Excellent value in League One today
2023-10-14

Przem

外籍分析师

英甲

10/14 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Burton have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


Burton coming for this game with big mental advantage as they won last 3 consecutive matches against Lincoln. Burton won in last two matches at this stadium so for sure they coming here without any fear.


After poor start of the season, now Burton is in excellent form. They went unbeaten in last 6 matches in a row, they won 3 of last 4 and in those wins Burton scored more than one goal. Team now is full of confidence and wants to go with momentum. In addition to that, their improvement at the back is also very visible. In last 6 matches Burton had 0.97 expected goals conceded per game, in 6 opening matches of the season they had 1.73. Difference is huge.


Lincoln moving in totally different direction in comparison to Burton. They started new season very well, but their form slashed down a lot in last weeks. Lincoln recorded only one win in last 5 league matches when they won 2:0 at home against the worst team in whole league – Cheltenham.


On those circumstances I really don’t agree with market. Odds on Burton are simply too good to skip.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,伯顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


伯顿带着巨大的心理优势来参加这场比赛,因为他们已经连续3场战胜林肯。伯顿在这个球场的前两场比赛都赢了,所以他们毫无畏惧地来到这里。


在赛季糟糕的开局之后,伯顿现在状态极佳。他们在最近的6场比赛中保持不败,他们在最近的4场比赛中赢了3场,在这些胜利中,伯顿进了不止一个球。球队现在充满了信心,想要继续前进。除此之外,他们在后腰的改进也非常明显。在过去的6场比赛中,伯顿的场均预期失球数为0.97,在本赛季的6场揭幕战中,他们的场均预期失球数为1.73。差异是巨大的。


林肯的发展方向与伯顿完全不同。他们在新赛季开始时表现得很好,但过去几周他们的状态大不如前。林肯在过去的5场联赛中只取得了1场胜利,他们在主场2:0战胜了全联赛最差的球队切尔滕纳姆。


在这些情况下,我真的不同意市场。伯顿的胜算太大了,不容错过。

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