We have won 6 picks in a row! $$$
2023-10-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

10/14 00:00

已完赛

爱沙尼亚
1:0
阿塞拜疆
解读理由:

Estonia VS Azerbaijan


Estonia welcome Azerbaijan for this UEFA EURO Qualification Group F round 7 clash at the A. Le Coq Arena early Saturday morning Beijing time. However, in reality, Estonia have played five games and Azerbaijan four games so far. Neither team have a chance to qualify for the EURO 2024 tournament anymore. This match will most probably not offer very good entertainment for football fans. Both have done poorly so far and have taken just one point. Azerbaijan are in 4th place and Estonia in 5th place as the visitors have a considerably better goal difference – 2:11. Estonia, too, have netted the ball two goals and have allowed a whopping 16 goals. Estonia do not have a very strong football culture and I do not expect the home advantage to be that great at the A. Le Coq Arena here.. Even so, the home advantage is, of course, there but it seems that the bookies give this factor too much emphasis here.. Azerbaijan are definitely the better team – in all areas of the game. Especially in terms of individual skill, they are, on average, much better. In terms of structure the teams are more or less equal. Furthermore, in the FIFA ranking Azerbaijan are much better ranked than Estonia. Indeed, the visitors are in 91st place, but in my expert opinion they should be ranked 83-85th. Estonia, on the other hand, currently occupy the 115th place which is still too high!

Estonia have been in poor for lately – losing three games in a row after lame performances. Yes, the opponents were strong, but I was still disappointed with their performances. They failed to score in any of these three games! Furthermore, they have not won any of their latest six games! In their latest game they were completely crushed in Belgium and I did not like the way some of their players seemed to give up the fight after Trossard scored the 2-0 goal. The final score was 5-0. Belgium had “only” 70% ball possession but recorded a massive 22 goal attempts, Estonia had just one. Moreover, the hosts had nine shots on goal – Estonia failed to record any. The poor Estonia also generated only 0.05 in expected goals (xG). Before this they suffered a humiliating 0-5 loss at this same stadium and again failed to record any shots on goal! Sweden generated a whopping 4.21 in xG. Estonia managed 0.68. Azerbaijan beat Jordan in their most recent game 2-1. It was a friendly game though. Before this they lost only 0-1 to Belgium at home and even had 47% ball possession. They were massive underdogs in this game on the betting market. Azerbaijan recorded a respectable nine shots on target - Belgium had a few more though. The visitors generated only a little more in xG – 0.98-0.78 to be precise. Estonia, on the other hand, lost 0-3 to Belgium at home and - also in this game - did not record any shots on goal! I want to mention that before the qualification started Azerbaijan won five games in a row – scoring a total of 12 goals! All five were competitive matches – not friendlies. They beat for example Slovakia away from home 2-1! Slovakia even played in the EURO 2020 tournament. Azerbaijan also defeated Kazakhstan 3-0 on the 25th of September 2022. Let’s not forget that Kazakhstan beat Denmark 3-2 some months ago.. The biggest bookies who offer the biggest stake limits see the hosts as solid favourites here, offering them odds of around 2.35-2.40 to win. This is not correct at all! Bases on my sophisticated in-depth analysis there is no favourite in this game. This means that at the current odds the Azerbaijan +0.5 goals handicap is an excellent bet to try to increase our winning streak of six picks! In the EURO Qualification we have won five picks in a row!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

爱沙尼亚VS阿塞拜疆


北京时间周六凌晨,爱沙尼亚欢迎阿塞拜疆参加欧洲杯预选赛F组第7轮比赛。然而,事实上,到目前为止,爱沙尼亚已经踢了5场比赛,阿塞拜疆踢了4场。这两支球队都没有机会参加2024年欧洲杯了。这场比赛很可能不会给足球迷带来很好的娱乐。到目前为止,他们都表现不佳,只拿到了一分。阿塞拜疆排在第4,爱沙尼亚排在第5,客队净胜球2比11。爱沙尼亚也进了2个球,丢了16个球。爱沙尼亚没有很强的足球文化,我不认为主场优势会在这里的a . Le Coq体育馆那么大。即便如此,主场优势当然是存在的,但似乎博彩公司在这里过分强调了这个因素。阿塞拜疆绝对是一支更好的球队——在比赛的各个方面。特别是在个人技能方面,他们平均来说要好得多。在结构方面,团队或多或少是平等的。此外,在国际足联排名中,阿塞拜疆的排名要比爱沙尼亚高得多。事实上,游客排在第91位,但在我的专家看来,他们应该排在83-85位。另一方面,爱沙尼亚目前占据第115位,这仍然太高了!

爱沙尼亚最近表现不佳,在糟糕的表现下连输三场。是的,对手很强大,但我仍然对他们的表现感到失望。他们在这三场比赛中都没有得分!此外,他们最近6场比赛一场也没赢!在最近的一场比赛中,他们在比利时被彻底击败,我不喜欢他们的一些球员在特罗萨尔打进2-0球后似乎放弃了战斗。最后的比分是5比0。比利时“只有”70%的控球率,但却有22次射门,爱沙尼亚只有1次。此外,东道主有9次射正,而爱沙尼亚没有一次射正。贫穷的爱沙尼亚也只有0.05个预期进球(xG)。在此之前,他们在同一个球场遭受了一场耻辱的0-5的失利,并且再次没有射门!瑞典在xG中产生了高达4.21。爱沙尼亚获得0.68分。阿塞拜疆在最近的一场比赛中以2比1击败了约旦。不过这是一场友谊赛。在此之前,他们只在主场0-1输给了比利时,甚至有47%的控球率。在这场比赛中,他们在博彩市场上处于劣势。阿塞拜疆有9次射正,这很不错,不过比利时的射正次数要多一些。访问者在xG中只多产生了一点——准确地说是0.98-0.78。另一方面,爱沙尼亚在主场0-3不敌比利时,而且——也是在这场比赛中——一球未射正!我想说的是,在预选赛开始之前,阿塞拜疆连续赢了五场比赛,总共进了12球!这五场比赛都是正式比赛,而不是友谊赛。例如,他们在客场2-1击败了斯洛伐克!斯洛伐克甚至还参加了2020年欧洲杯。阿塞拜疆也在2022年9月25日以3比0击败哈萨克斯坦。别忘了几个月前哈萨克斯坦3-2击败丹麦…最大的博彩公司提供最大的赌注限制,认为东道主在这里是最受欢迎的,为他们提供2.35-2.40的赔率。这根本不正确!根据我老练的深入分析,在这个游戏中没有什么偏爱。这意味着,在目前的赔率阿塞拜疆+0.5进球障碍是一个极好的赌注,试图增加我们的连胜六次选择!在欧锦赛预选赛中,我们已经连续五次获得提名!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。