7/8 latest WON in this league! $$$
2023-10-08

Tapio

外籍分析师

墨超

10/08 09:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Pachuca VS Tigres UANL


Pachuca welcome Tigres for this Liga MX Apertura round 12 clash at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the highest-level of Mexican football. The level of this league is mediocre by global standards. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level here. Yes, Tigres have started the season better than I would have expected – I have, as a result, raised their power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. The bookies seem to have reacted much more strongly.. Tigres have grabbed 21 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is “only” 16.68. Their score difference is 23:12 and they have been lucky in terms of both expected goals (xG) and expended goals allowed (xGA). Indeed, their xG is 20.13 and xGA is 13.78. Let’s not forget that they finished in 7th place in Liga MX Clausura with 25 points. Pachuca, on the other hand, ended up in 5th place with 31 points in their pocket. Not that much has, after all, changed after that, going into this match. Pachuca have been disappointing so far but have a lot of potential for improvement. Basically nothing has worked in their game as I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. Even so, the 11 points they have to their account is, after all, only four points less than Toluca, in 5th place, have taken. They would have deserved 15.12 points in terms of xPTS. It is true that I give more emphasis on their potential than I usually do and do understand that some bettors can see the situation otherwise..

Pachuca do have a great and loyal home crowd which is a massive boost for them! With the expected lineups I see them having an excellent chance of taking at least a point. We will go with the Pachuca +0.5 goals handicap option. The biggest, sometimes somewhat bookies see the visitors as favorites, offering them odds of around 2.40 win but this is way too low. In their most recent game, they suffered a 0-4 defeat away from home in the hands of a big team, Club America who actually top the standings by a margin of six points. The hosts were, of course, heavy favorites in this match – priced around 1.55 to win. Yes, they did deserve to win but the final score is still misleading 2-1 or 3-1 would have been the fair final score. Indeed, Pachuca recorded 11 goal attempts – Club America managed 14. Furthermore, the hosts generated “only” 2.45 in xG – Pachuca’s number was 1.02. Before this they would have deserved Necaxa at home but it was a 1-1 draw. Pachuca had 58% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-7), corner kicks (6-3) attacks (147-72) and especially dangerous attacks – 63-26. Before this they created 1.34 in xG as underdogs against Guadalajara away from home as clear underdogs. The hosts managed only 0.45 but no goals were scored. On the 19th of September they beat Santos Laguna 3-2 at home and deserved the narrow win. Tigres, on the other hand, were disappointing in their most recent game against Toluca at home as big favorites. They recorded a pathetic 0.49 in xG – Toluca managed 1.04.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

帕丘卡VS老虎队


帕丘卡欢迎老虎队参加北京时间周日凌晨在米格尔·伊达尔戈球场举行的西甲联赛第12轮比赛。这是墨西哥最高水平的足球比赛。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平是中等的。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场相当普通的比赛。是的,老虎队本赛季的开局比我预期的要好——因此,我提高了他们的能量评级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级,拥有最好的首发11人。博彩公司的反应似乎要强烈得多……到目前为止,老虎队已经拿到了21分,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)“只有”16.68分。他们的比分差距是23:12,他们在预期进球(xG)和延长进球(xGA)方面都很幸运。事实上,他们的xG是20.13,xGA是13.78。让我们不要忘记,他们在西甲联赛中以25分排名第七。另一方面,帕丘卡以31分排名第五。毕竟,从那以后,进入这场比赛,并没有太大的变化。帕丘卡目前的表现令人失望,但仍有很大的提升空间。基本上在他们的比赛中没有任何事情像我在季前赛的深入分析中所期望的那样。即便如此,他们现在的11分,毕竟只比排名第五的托卢卡少了4分。他们应该得到15.12分的积分。的确,我比平时更强调他们的潜力,我也明白一些投注者可能会有不同的看法。

帕丘卡拥有忠实的主场球迷,这对他们来说是巨大的鼓舞!从预期的阵容来看,我认为他们至少有机会拿到一分。我们将采用帕丘卡+0.5个进球障碍选项。最大的,有时有些博彩公司认为客队是最受欢迎的,为他们提供2.40左右的赔率,但这太低了。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场以0比4惨败于一支强大的球队——美国俱乐部,后者实际上以6分的优势领先于积分榜榜首。当然,东道主在这场比赛中是大热门,胜率在1.55左右。是的,他们确实应该获胜,但最终比分仍然是误导,2-1或3-1本来是公平的最终比分。事实上,帕丘卡有11次进球,而美洲俱乐部有14次。此外,主机在xG中“仅”产生2.45,Pachuca的数字为1.02。在此之前,他们本可以在主场迎战内克萨,但结果是1-1战平。帕丘卡的控球率为58%,他的进球次数(14胜7负)、角球次数(6胜3负)、进攻次数(147胜72负)以及特别危险的进攻次数(63胜26负)更多。在此之前,他们在客场对阵瓜达拉哈拉的比赛中创造了1.34个进球。东道主只有0.45分,但没有进球。9月19日,他们在主场3-2击败桑托斯·拉古纳,以微弱优势取胜。另一方面,老虎队在最近主场对阵托卢卡队的比赛中表现令人失望。他们在xG的战绩是可怜的0.49,而托卢卡的战绩是1.04。

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