Very important info & great stats today 很重要的信息
2020-12-26

Przem

外籍分析师

英冠

12/26 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Blackburn have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

Last match between both teams been played in January, Blackburn trashed Sheffield on away 5:0! For sure they have big mental advantage before today's game. Blackburn as well won last two home matches against Sheffield - 4:2 two years ago and 2:1 in previous season.

Blackburn today with almost best possible line up, only one important player is unavailable - left winger Ben Brereton (3 goals and 3 assists in 15 matches), but that shouldn't be problem because top offensive stars like Elliot or Armstrong will play today.

Sheffield today have huge squad problems - key central midfielder Luongo, key central defender Borner, key striker Marriott and key central defender Iorfa are still unavailable. In addition to that 3 key players which played in previous round - Windass(best scorer), Bannan (best assistant and captain) and Harris (winger) have missed training this week. Manager Tony Pulis said: “They’ll all want to play, I know that for a fact. It’s just up to me making a decision from the medical side. What we don’t want to do is play three players, lose them after 20 minutes and then have them out for four or five weeks.” That is big blow for the team, that should have bad impact on their performance today. Sheffield will have problems in defense and in offense.

Sheffield defense is unstable at the moment - they conceded more than one goal in 4 of last 5 matches (4 losses in the process), on the other hand they have problems with creativity - they scored in last 5 matches only 3 goals and only in one match they had expected goals scored number above 0.89. In last round they won at home 1:0 against Coventry, but that wasn't convincing - they finished with less shots than opponents and had only 39% ball possession. Sheffield lost last 3 away matches in a row - 3 times they conceded more than one goal and scored only once.

Blackburn don't have problems with goalscoring - 34 goals in 20 matches so far, only Bournemouth scored one goal more. In last 4 matches in a row their expected goals scored number was above 1.08. Striker Adam Armstrong is in amazing form, he scored 15 goals - 4 goals more than all Sheffield team so far. Blackburn in December played 3 home matches - they won after close match 2:1 against Millwall, they lost 1:2 against Norwich City (leader of the table) and they won 2:1 against Rotherham. In last round Blackburn lost 0:1 on away against Stoke, but that wasn't deserved result - expected goals scored for Blackburn 1.08, for Stoke 0.53.

Both clubs going in different direction - Sheffield will fight to avoid relegation, Blackburn wants to fight for place in Premier League, so they have to win such a matches against lower rank opponents.

Blackburn star midfielder Dack signed new contract, he said: ''I’m delighted to commit my future to the club. I’ve made no secret that I want to play in the Premier League and signing this deal shows that I feel this club can get there. I feel this squad is more than capable of getting promoted and hopefully I can add to that.”

Blackburn should be able to control middle zone without too many problems - their average ball possession in current season 58.6% (second-best in league), Sheffield only 43.7% ( second-worst in league). Because of that hosts should have a lot of chances to score a goals - Blackburn have 5.8 shots on target per game (the best result in league), Sheffield only 2.6 (the worst result in league).

I believe Blackburn have all tools to beat poor, depleted Sheffield today.

在我看来,布莱克本有很好的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

两队之间的最后一场比赛是在一月份,布莱克本在客场5:0击败谢菲尔德!在今天的比赛之前,他们肯定有很大的心理优势。布莱克本两年前以4:2的比分和上赛季2:1的比分赢得了主场对谢菲尔德的两场比赛。

今天布莱克本的阵容几乎是最好的,只有一个重要的球员不能上场——左边锋本·布里雷顿(15场比赛3个进球和3次助攻),但这应该不是问题,因为顶级进攻明星埃利奥特和阿姆斯特朗将在今天出场。

谢菲尔德今天的阵容有很大的问题——关键中场罗昂戈,关键中后卫博尔纳,关键前锋万豪和关键中后卫约尔法仍然无法上场。除了上轮的3名关键球员——温达斯(最佳射手),班宁(最佳助攻手&队长)和哈里斯(边锋)本周都缺席了训练。主教练普利斯说:“他们都想上场,我知道这是事实。”这取决于我从医疗角度做出的决定。我们不想让三名球员上场,20分钟后就失去他们,然后让他们缺阵4到5周。“这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,对他们今天的表现会有不好的影响。”谢周三在防守和进攻上都有问题。

谢周三的防守现在很不稳定——他们在最近5场比赛中有4场丢了1个以上的球(输了4场),另一方面,他们在创造力上有问题——他们在最近5场比赛中只进了3个球,而且只有一场比赛他们预期的进球数在0.89以上。上一轮他们在主场1:0战胜考文垂,但这并不令人信服——他们的射门次数比对手少,控球率只有39%。谢菲尔德在最近的3场客场比赛中连败——他们有3次丢球超过1球,但只进了1球。

布莱克本在进球方面没有问题——20场比赛进了34球,伯恩茅斯只多进了1球。在过去的4场比赛中,他们的预期进球数都在1.08以上。前锋亚当·阿姆斯特朗状态非常好,他进了15个球,比谢菲尔德所有球队都多进了4个球。布莱克本在12月打了3场主场比赛——他们在2:1战胜米尔沃尔之后获胜,1:2输给诺维奇城(积分榜第一),2:1战胜罗瑟汉姆。在上一轮对阵斯托克城的比赛中,布莱克本0:1输掉了比赛,但这并不是一个应得的结果——布莱克本的进球是1.08,斯托克城的进球是0.53。

两家俱乐部都在朝着不同的方向前进——谢菲尔德将努力避免降级,布莱克本想要争夺英超的位置,所以他们必须在这样的比赛中战胜低级别的对手。

布莱克本中场球星达克签下了新的合同,他说:“我很高兴能把我的未来奉献给俱乐部。”我想在英超踢球已经不是什么秘密了,签下这份合同表明我觉得这家俱乐部可以做到。我觉得这支球队有足够的能力得到提升,希望我能加入。”

布莱克本能够控制住中场——他们在本赛季的平均控球率是58.6%(联盟第二),谢菲尔德只有43.7%(联盟第二差)。因此布莱克本应该有很多进球的机会——布莱克本场均有5.8次射门(联赛最佳),谢菲尔德场均只有2.6次射门(联赛最差)。

我相信今天布莱克本有足够的能力击败穷困潦倒的谢菲尔德。

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