We are VERY HOT! $$$ 西甲 巴列卡诺VS马洛卡
2023-09-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

09/30 22:15

已完赛

解读理由:

Rayo Vallecano VS Mallorca


Rayo Vallecano welcome visitors from the island of Mallorca for this Spanish LaLiga round 8 battle at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in Madrid late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world – after the English Premier League. We can expect a match of mediocre level by LaLiga standards here. Rayo Vallecano are playing a strong season and currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of 11 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 13.97. They have netted the ball only seven times in LaLiga so far this season but this is misleading as their number of expected goals (xG) is 11.12. Mallorca have, unsurprisingly, been a little lame offensively. Their offense lacked speed, creativity and individual skill last season already. They have score nine goals in this league so far but their number of xG is 7.87. They hosts have an edge in terms of defensive quality as well. They have allowed nine goals but seven of these they conceded against Real Madrid, the second-bets team in this league, about a month ago in a very bizarre game!

In their latest three games the hosts have allowed just one goal and their defense is very well-organized and the players fight very hard protecting the goal. Especially their midfielders’ role has been very important in defending. Mallorca defended well last season but this season their defensive structure has been poor in away games. Indeed, they have allowed eight goals in their latest three games away from home! They are often too passive and defensive in away games which easily results in fatigue and increased pressure especially later into the second half. They are currently in 16th place in the standings with just six points to their account and are clearly weaker than last season. I have them in the 14th place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. yes, they did beat Celta Vigo away from home two weeks ago but this was a lucky win. Indeed, they recorded just 0.59 in xG. The host managed 1.78. With the expected lineups the hosts have a 53% chance of winning in front of their loyal and enthusiastic fans. Odds of around 2.15 are widely available on we will take this and hope for the wild winning streak to extend! Rayo could easily have won their latest two games but both were draws – 1-1 and 0-0.



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巴列卡诺VS马略卡


北京时间周六晚,巴列卡诺队将在马德里巴列卡斯足球广场迎接来自马略卡岛的游客,参加西甲联赛第8轮的比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛,仅次于英超。按照西甲的标准,我们可以期待一场平庸的比赛。巴列卡诺本赛季表现强劲,目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有11分。但是,它们的期望值(xPTS)为13.97。本赛季到目前为止,他们在西甲联赛中只有7次进球,但这是误导,因为他们的预期进球数(xG)是11.12。不出所料,马略卡在进攻端表现不佳。上赛季他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和个人技术。到目前为止,他们在联赛中打进了9球,但他们的xG数是7.87。东道主在防守质量方面也有优势。他们丢了9个球,但其中7个是他们在一个月前的一场非常奇怪的比赛中输给了皇家马德里,这支联赛中排名第二的球队!

在最近的三场比赛中,东道主只丢了一个球,他们的防守组织得非常好,球员们非常努力地保护球门。特别是他们的中场在防守中起到了非常重要的作用。马洛卡队上赛季防守很好,但是本赛季他们的防守结构在客场比赛中表现不佳。事实上,他们在最近的三场客场比赛中丢了8个球!他们在客场比赛中往往过于被动和防守,这很容易导致疲劳和压力增加,尤其是在下半场后期。他们目前在积分榜上排名第16位,积分只有6分,明显比上赛季弱。我把他们排在第14位,这反映了球队的纯粹等级和最好的首发11人。是的,他们两周前确实在客场击败了维戈塞尔塔,但这是一场幸运的胜利。事实上,他们在xG上的记录只有0.59。东道主设法做到了1.78。根据预期的阵容,东道主有53%的机会在他们忠诚而热情的球迷面前获胜。大约2.15的赔率是广泛可用的,我们将采取这一点,并希望狂野的连胜延续!雷奥本可以轻松赢得最近两场比赛,但两场比赛都是平局——1-1和0-0。

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