VfL Wolfsburg VS Eintracht Frankfurt

Wolfsburg welcome Eintracht Frankfurt for this German Bundesliga round 6 battle at Volkswagen Arena late Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the World after the English Premier League and the Spanish LaLiga. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league’s standards between these good teams. The hosts currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of nine points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is much lower - 6.56 to be precise. They have netted the ball seven times in the Bundesliga so far this season. They have not been lucky or unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). Furthermore, they have conceded six goals but their number of expected goals allowed (XGA) is significantly higher – 8.97. Indeed, in this area of the game the visitors have a clear edge over Wolfsburg – the same was true last season already when Frankfurt’s number of XGA was 9.87 smaller than that of the hosts’. Yes, Frankfurt have defended extremely well this season! They have allowed just three goals - which is the lowest number in this league. Their defensive structure is excellent and silly individual mistakes are almost nonexistent. Moreover, the midfielders – and even the strikers sometimes actively take part in defending – especially when they are protecting the lead late into the second half. Frankfurt have been unlucky in terms of xG this season and have scored just four goals in the Bundesliga. Even so, I see the two teams more or less equal in this area of the game. Frankfurt currently occupy the 8th place in the standings with seven points but their number of xPTS is 8.11. I expect them to finish better than the hosts last season – as they did last season.

Frankfurt have been in great form for quite a long time already! Indeed, they have not lost any of their most recent 12 games! They seem to be high in confidence at the moment. In their most recent game, they faced Freiburg at home and now goals were scored in this relatively boring game. I want to mention that Freiburg are a dangerous team, currently in 9th place in the league table. However, Frankfurt were definitely the better team on the pitch. They had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (13-8), shots on goal (5-2), corner kicks (7-3) total passes, completed passes as well as dangerous attacks than the visitors. Moreover, they generated 1.12 in xG - Freiburg managed just 0.51. Before this they dominated the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes of play at home against a Scottish team, Aberdeen, in an UEFA Conference League opening round battle. They had 70% ball possession but won only 2-1. It was easy to see that not all Frankfurt players were giving their 100% against a lowly opposition. Avoiding injuries and fatigue was clearly important in this game and simply winning seemed to be enough.. The host's recent form has not been bad at all but has still been worse than that of Frankfurt’s. They have lost two of their latest five games. In their latest game they did not have much of a chance to take points against Dortmund away from home. The hosts had 61% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (18-8), shots on goal (4-2), shots of goal (14-6), corner kicks (5-3) total passes, completed passes (520-250), attacks as well as dangerous attacks (61-33) than Wolfsburg. Moreover, they generated 1.98 in xG - the visitors managed just 0.37. Before this Wolfsburg took a massively undeserved 2-1 home win over Union Berlin as solid favorites according to the bookies! Indeed, the visitors had 56 % ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (17-8), shots on goal (5-3), shots of goal (12-5), corner kicks (7-3) total passes, completed passes, attacks (136-91) as well as dangerous attacks (60-40) than Wolfsburg. Moreover, Union Berlin generated 1.76 in xG - the hosts managed just 0.48. The biggest bookies offer the hosts odds of only around 2.05 at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time. Yes, taking the home advantage into account they deserve to be the favorites – but only marginal! With the expected lineups the Frankfurt +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here for my fans and me to win once again! The probability is 63%. The hosts will be missing the injured Fischer, Jenz, Lange, Nmecha. Rogerio is questionable. As for Frankfurt Loune, Rode and Simoni are out and Alario’s situation is unclear.

沃尔夫斯堡VS法兰克福

北京时间周六上午晚些时候，沃尔夫斯堡将在大众球馆迎来德甲第六轮大战法兰克福。这是世界上第三好的联赛，仅次于英超和西甲。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待这些优秀球队之间的比赛，以联赛的标准来看，这是一场高于平均水平的比赛。东道主目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有9分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多——准确地说是6.56。本赛季到目前为止，他们在德甲联赛中取得了7次进球。就预期目标而言，他们既不幸运也不不幸。此外，他们丢了6个球，但他们的预期失球数(XGA)要高得多，为8.97个。事实上，客队在这方面比沃尔夫斯堡有明显的优势——上赛季也是如此，当时法兰克福的XGA比主队少9.87。是的，法兰克福本赛季的防守非常出色!他们只丢了3个球，这是联赛中最少的。他们的防守结构非常好，几乎不存在愚蠢的个人失误。此外，中场球员——甚至前锋有时也会积极参与防守——特别是当他们在下半场后期保护领先优势时。法兰克福本赛季在xG方面运气不佳，在德甲联赛中只进了4个球。即便如此，我认为这两支球队在这方面或多或少是平等的。法兰克福目前以7分排名第8，但他们的积分为8.11分。我希望他们上赛季能比东道主踢得更好——就像他们上赛季做的那样。

法兰克福已经保持了很长一段时间的良好状态了!事实上，他们最近的12场比赛没有输过一场!他们此刻似乎信心十足。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场面对弗赖堡，现在在这场相对枯燥的比赛中取得了进球。我想说的是弗赖堡是一支危险的球队，目前在联赛排名第九。然而，法兰克福在球场上绝对是一支更好的球队。他们有55%的控球率，并且比客队有更多的射门次数(13-8次)、射正次数(5-2)、角球次数(7-3次)、完成传球次数和危险进攻次数。此外，他们在xG中产生了1.12个，而弗莱堡只产生了0.51个。在此之前，他们在主场与苏格兰球队阿伯丁(Aberdeen)的欧足联联赛(UEFA Conference League)首轮比赛中占据了90分钟的大部分时间。他们有70%的控球率，但只赢了2-1。很容易看出，并不是所有的法兰克福球员都在面对一个不起眼的对手时付出了100%的努力。在这场比赛中，避免伤病和疲劳显然是很重要的，简单的获胜似乎就足够了。东道主最近的表现一点也不差，但仍比法兰克福差。他们在最近的五场比赛中输了两场。在最近一场客场对阵多特蒙德的比赛中，他们没有多少机会拿分。主队拥有61%的控球率，并且在进球次数(18-8次)、射正次数(4-2次)、射正次数(14-6次)、角球次数(5-3次)、传球次数(520-250次)、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(61-33次)上都比沃尔夫斯堡多。此外，他们在xG中产生了1.98，而访客只产生了0.37。在此之前，沃尔夫斯堡在主场2-1大胜柏林联盟队，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是最受欢迎的球队!事实上，客队有56%的控球率，并且比沃尔夫斯堡有更多的射门次数(17-8次)、射正次数(5-3次)、射正次数(12-5次)、角球次数(7-3次)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(136-91次)和危险进攻次数(60-40次)。此外，柏林联盟在xG上的得分为1.76，东道主仅为0.48。在北京时间周五晚上撰写本文时，最大的博彩公司给出的东道主赔率仅为2.05左右。是的，考虑到主场优势，他们应该是最受欢迎的——但只是边际!在预期的阵容中，法兰克福+0.5个进球的劣势显然是我和我的球迷再次获胜的明智选择!概率是63%。东道主将失去受伤的费舍尔、简茨、兰格和恩米查。罗格里奥值得怀疑。至于法兰克福俱乐部，罗德和西蒙尼缺阵，而阿拉里奥的情况还不清楚。