Real Madrid should win this easily.

They are coming from a deserved defeat 3:1 against Atletico in a poor performance, so I’m expecting a huge reaction in this fixture at home. In that game Ancelotti made a mistake putting Kroos and Modric in the starting lineup, so the team wasn't able to dominate the game and control the midfield. Modric was replaced at 45’ and Kroos at 69’.

For this match some changes in the lineup are expected, such as Joselu and Tchouameni. It will be good to have a reliable and fix striker, and the french midfielder to control the game. Furthermore, their best player Vinicius is back from injury and could have some minutes in this matcht. This week he made normal training so it’s fully available and will be a needed boost for Madrid’s attack, who has been lacking goals lately.

However and fortunately, Bellingham has been in amazing form with 5 goals scored so far in LaLiga. With him and Vinicius, as well as Joselu’s goals, Real Madrid will increase their goal ratio per game.

But Las Palmas is also a big reason for this bet. They are a newly promoted side, made a very poor transfer market (almost no reinforcements and the new signings are pretty weak) and the biggest mistake: not changing their style and not adapting to LaLiga, which is totally different to the second division.

Las Palmas is a team who always plays with possession. They are more focused on having more than 60% possession than attacking or winning the games. And this is worrying in LaLiga, because they are struggling a lot to create chances and score goals.

Furthermore, are lacking a lot of quality upfront, so although they had some chances, they missed all of them. So far they have scored just two goals: one from penalty and another one in their last victory against Granada (1:0), which was a great shot from outside the area at 92’.

They have the lowest expected goals (xG) average in La Liga so far, with only 5.0.

The victory against Granada (1:0 scoring at 92’ and playing with 10 due to a red card at 58’), was undeserved, and this is worrying because Granada is clearly the worst team of the league, and it’s a clear signal of how poor Las Palmas’s level is.

Guests will make their plan here: get useless possession and try to defend with the ball. But they have weak and slow defenders, so if Madrid manages to steal the ball and make fast counters, they will kill them with Rodrygo, Vinicius and Bellingham. The kind of game I’m expecting is perfect for Madrid: they’ll have spaces to attack, similar to the game against Almeria (who played offensive and left spaces behind) and where they won 1:3.

Las Palmas have a short squad and will struggle with this midweek round. Also they played on the weekend 35 minutes with 10 players, and will be missing some starters for this match such as striker Sandro and defender Mika Marmol.

皇马应该能轻松赢得这场比赛。

他们刚刚以糟糕的表现3:1惨败马竞，所以我期待在主场的比赛中会有巨大的反应。在那场比赛中，安切洛蒂犯了一个错误，把克罗斯和莫德里奇放在首发阵容中，所以球队无法控制比赛和中场。莫德里奇和克罗斯分别在45分和69分被换下。

在这场比赛中，预计阵容会有一些变化，比如何塞卢和楚瓦梅尼。有一个可靠的固定的前锋和法国中场来控制比赛是很好的。此外，他们最好的球员维尼休斯伤愈复出，可能会在这场比赛中出场。本周他进行了正常的训练，所以他完全可以上场，这将对最近进球不足的马德里的进攻起到必要的推动作用。

然而，幸运的是，贝灵汉在西甲联赛中打进了5球，状态惊人。有了他和维尼修斯，再加上何塞卢的进球，皇马将提高他们的场均进球率。

但拉斯帕尔马斯也是押注的一个重要原因。他们是一支刚刚升级的球队，在转会市场上表现非常糟糕(几乎没有任何增援，新引援也相当薄弱)，最大的错误是:没有改变他们的风格，没有适应与乙级完全不同的西甲联赛。

拉斯帕尔马斯是一支总是控球的球队。他们更专注于拥有超过60%的控球率，而不是进攻或赢得比赛。这在西甲令人担忧，因为他们在创造机会和进球方面做了很多努力。

此外，他们在前场缺乏很多有质量的球员，所以尽管他们有一些机会，但他们都错过了。到目前为止，他们只进了两个球:一个来自点球，另一个是在他们上一次战胜格拉纳达(1:0)的比赛中，那是一个在92分禁区外的精彩射门。

到目前为止，他们的平均期望进球数是西甲最低的，只有5.0个。

对格拉纳达的胜利(92分钟1:0进球，58分钟因红牌罚进10球)是不值得的，这令人担忧，因为格拉纳达显然是联赛中最差的球队，这清楚地表明拉斯帕尔马斯的水平有多差。

客人会在这里制定他们的计划:获得无用的控球权，并尝试用球防守。但是他们的后卫又弱又慢，所以如果皇马设法抢断球并做出快速反击，他们会用罗德里戈、维尼修斯和贝灵汉杀死他们。我所期待的这场比赛对马德里来说是完美的:他们将有进攻的空间，类似于对阵阿尔梅里亚的比赛(他在进攻中留下了空间)，他们以1:3获胜。

拉斯帕尔马斯的阵容很短，将会在周中的比赛中挣扎。此外，他们在周末的比赛中有10名球员参加了35分钟的比赛，在这场比赛中他们将失去一些首发球员，比如前锋桑德罗和后卫米卡·马尔莫尔。