In my opinion Alaves have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Alaves have excellent streak at home against Bilbao in La Liga as they didn't lost against them in last 7 matches front of home crowd on the main level.

Alaves have been promoted from second tier and they kept in squad best players from last year like Rioja, Tenaglia or Duarte. In previous season Deportivo looked superb at home as they didn't lost in 20 of 21 matches and produced outstanding 28:11 goals balance. What is even impressive - so far they are able to continue high quality football front of home crowd in La Liga. Two matches against two good teams (Sevilla and Valencia) and two twins. They wants to go with momentum and for sure supports from the stands will be very loud and energetic like always. At home soil Alaves is really hard nut to crack, especially now - when team is full of confidence with two great results under their belt. Today all key players available so we will see the strongest possible line up on the pitch.

Bilbao is solid team, but they're poor on the road, no doubt about that. It's very visible if You look on the bigger picture: Bilbao failed to win in 45 of last 59 away matches in La Liga. It's really low % of winnings. In addition to that, today they will start without key winger Nico Williams, he is the best assistant in current season so far. It's huge blow and should have bad impact on their performance today.

On those circumstances for me is very hard to see Bilbao as so big favorite. Odds on hosts are simply too high. For sure value is on home side here.

在我看来，阿拉维斯在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

阿拉维斯在西甲主场对阵毕尔巴鄂的比赛中取得了出色的连胜，因为他们在过去的7场比赛中都没有在主场输球。

阿拉维斯从乙级联赛升级，他们保留了去年最好的球员，比如里奥哈、特纳格利亚和杜阿尔特。在上个赛季，拉科鲁尼亚在主场表现出色，21场比赛中有20场没有输球，并且取得了28:11的进球平衡。更令人印象深刻的是，到目前为止，他们能够在西甲的主场观众面前继续打出高质量的足球。两场对阵两支强队(塞维利亚和瓦伦西亚)和两支双胞胎。他们想要带着动力前进，看台上的支持肯定会像往常一样非常响亮和充满活力。在主场，阿拉维斯真的很难对付，尤其是现在，当球队在两场伟大的比赛中充满信心的时候。今天所有的主力球员都可以上场，所以我们将在球场上看到最强大的阵容。

毕尔巴鄂是一支实力雄厚的球队，但他们在客场表现不佳，这是毫无疑问的。如果你从更大的角度来看，这是非常明显的:毕尔巴鄂在西甲最近的59场客场比赛中有45场未能获胜。中奖率真的很低。除此之外，今天他们的首发将没有关键的边锋尼科·威廉姆斯，他是本赛季迄今为止最好的助手。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生不好的影响。

在这种情况下，我很难看到毕尔巴鄂成为我的最爱。东道主的几率实在太高了。可以肯定的是，这里的价值在主场。