Athlone Town VS Kerry FC

Athlone host Kerry for this Irish Division 1. round 9 battle at Lissywoollen early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second level of Irish football. The level of this league is extremely low by global standards. The difference between this league and the first level, is gigantic. We can expect a match of pretty poor level even by this league’s level here between these two teams. Most importantly, however, we have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Even the biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookies with the biggest stake limits make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league. These bookmakers see the hosts as massive favorites here to take all three points – offering them odds of below 1.20. This is, based on my sophisticated analysis clearly too low. I see them having an around 70% chance of winning. They have a clear edge over Kerry in all areas of the game. Even so, the +2.5 goals handicap is a big one in almost any football match. The hosts are, after all, only a mediocre team in this league. Moreover, they have won just one of their most recent nine games by a margin of more than two goals. Kerry, on the other hand, have suffered just one defeat by a margin of more than two goals in their latest 14 matches! Here they have a 72% chance to avoid this – once again! I want to mention that in terms of estimated squad market value according to a well-known source - a German website Transfermerkt.com - the hosts are the bigger team here but the number is only 50 000 euros! Athlone players do not have a market value at all – but this cannot, of course, be the case in reality. 10 000 euros is the minimum market value for a players on Transfermarkt.com.

The hosts have taken a total of 43 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly lower – 38.15 to be precise. They have netted the ball a fine 22 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is only 16.98 and they are in 4th place. Kerry, on the other hand, are in last place and are a poor team, there is no denying that. They have, however, been unlucky in terms of xPTS which is probably one of the reasons behind them being undervalued here. Well, in their latest game they took a point from Longford - a team about equally good as the hosts here.

阿斯隆镇VS克里足球俱乐部

阿斯隆在爱尔兰一级联赛主场迎战克里。北京时间周六凌晨，第9轮比赛在利斯伍伦举行。这是爱尔兰足球的第二梯队。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平是极低的。这个联赛和甲级联赛之间的差距是巨大的。我们可以预期这两支球队之间的比赛即使以联盟的水平来看也是相当糟糕的。然而，最重要的是，我们在这里还有另一个有希望的赌博机会!在这个联赛中，即使是最大的，有时是相当敏锐的赌徒，他们的赔率也会犯很多错误。这些博彩公司认为东道主是获得全部三分的大热门-提供低于1.20的赔率。这，根据我老练的分析显然太低了。我认为他们有大约70%的获胜机会。他们在比赛的各个方面都明显胜过克里。即便如此，几乎在任何一场足球比赛中，+2.5个进球都是一个很大的障碍。毕竟，东道主在这个联盟中只是一支平庸的球队。此外，在最近的九场比赛中，他们只赢了一场超过两个进球的比赛。另一方面，克里在最近的14场比赛中只输过一场，落后两球以上!在这里，他们有72%的机会避免这种情况——再一次!我想提一下，根据一个知名的消息来源——德国网站Transfermerkt.com——估计的球队市场价值，东道主在这里是更大的球队，但数字只有5万欧元!个别球员根本没有市场价值——当然，现实中不可能是这样。在Transfermarkt.com上，1万欧元是一名球员的最低市场价值。

东道主总共得到43分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)显然更低，准确地说是38.15。他们有22次把球打进球门。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)只有16.98，排在第四位。另一方面，克里是最后一名，是一支糟糕的球队，这是不可否认的。然而，他们在xPTS方面运气不佳，这可能是他们被低估的原因之一。嗯，在最近的一场比赛中，他们从朗福德那里拿走了一分——这是一支和东道主实力相当的球队。