Ventforet Kofu VS Tokyo Verdy

Kofu welcome Verdy for this Japanese J2 League round 35 battle at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium Friday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Japanese football. The level is pretty low by international standards. The difference between this league and the first tier is substantial. Here we can expect a match of better than average level by this league’s standards. Kofu currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of 51 points to their account. They have, in fact, been marginally lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, the main rationale behind this pick is to oppose the clearly overrated visitors. Kofu’s offense has been surprisingly efficient this season. They have netted the ball a respectable 48 times in this league so far. Strong, well-structured and surprisingly creative offense has been the main reason behind Kofu’s good season! Last season they finished only in the 18th place but were unlucky in terms of xPTS though.. The bookies seem to have failed to fully understand how much better the hosts have been this season! The 48 goals is, quite interestingly, more than Verdy have scored! Indeed, the visitors have scored “only” 46 goals. This is not an impressive number for a team wanting to fight for a top-2 position – and a direct promotion to the J1 League. I would be very surprised to see this happening though. Indeed, I have them in the 6th place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Kofu, on the other hand, are in the 9th place in this rating. Defensively Verdy do unarguably have a clear edge – they have conceded 25 goals so far. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 30.14 though. Kofu’s defenders still make a little too many silly mistakes. I think this will cost them a top-6 position (Promotion Playoffs).

Yes, with the expected lineups Verdy are the better team but taking the substantial home advantage into account they are only very narrow favorites in my expert opinion! The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookies with the biggest stake limits see Verdy as pretty clear favorites – offering them odds of only around 2.20 to take all three points. Kofu +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. Both teams have been pretty good in their latest two games. The host beat Oita Trinita, a dangerous team, in their most recent game 3-2 at home. They recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal (11-6) as well as dangerous attacks in this clash. Rather weirdly, they were pretty clear underdogs according to the bookies in this match – priced around 3.00 to win. The bookies really should respect them more! I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Tranfermarkt.com, their squad even has a slightly bigger estimated market value than that of the visitors’! Before the match against Oita Trinita, Kofu proved that they can sometimes defend well. Indeed, it was a goalless draw against Vegalta Sendai away from home and the hosts failed to record a single shot on goal! Verdy beat Renofa Yamaguchi, currently in 19th place 2-0 at home in their latest game as clear favorites – priced around 1.60 to win on the betting market. Before this they beat Kanazawa as rather clear favorites 3-0 away from home. Both matches was pretty balanced though and could easily have been draws..

Ventforet Kofu VS东京Verdy

北京时间周五晚上，日本J2联赛第35轮比赛将在JIT回收墨水体育场举行。这是日本足球的第二梯队。按照国际标准，这一水平相当低。这个联赛和一线联赛的差距很大。在这里，我们可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。Kofu目前在排行榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有51分。事实上，就期望值(xPTS)而言，他们的运气还算不错。事实上，这一选择背后的主要理由是反对明显被高估的游客。本赛季，神府的进攻效率惊人。到目前为止，他们在这个联赛中已经有48次进球了。强大的，结构良好的和令人惊讶的创造性的进攻是神府这个赛季表现出色的主要原因!上赛季他们只排在第18位，但在xPTS方面很不走运。博彩公司似乎没有完全理解东道主本赛季的表现有多好!有趣的是，这48个进球比Verdy进的还多!事实上，客队只进了46个球。对于一支想要争夺前二的位置并直接晋级J1联赛的球队来说，这并不是一个令人印象深刻的数字。不过，如果看到这种情况发生，我会感到非常惊讶。事实上，我把他们排在第6位，这反映了球队的纯粹等级和最好的首发11人。另一方面，kfu在这一排名中排名第九。在防守端，Verdy无疑有明显的优势，他们目前已经丢了25个球。他们的预期进球(xGA)是30.14个。孔夫子的后卫仍然犯了太多愚蠢的错误。我认为这会让他们失去前六的位置(季后赛)。

是的，在预期的阵容中，Verdy是更好的球队，但考虑到主场的巨大优势，在我的专家意见中，他们只是非常狭窄的热门!最大的，有时是相对聪明的博彩公司，拥有最大的赌注限制，认为Verdy是非常明显的热门-他们只提供2.20左右的赔率来获得所有三分。Kofu +0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择。这两支球队在最近的两场比赛中都表现得很好。在最近的一场比赛中，东道主在主场以3比2击败了一支危险的球队大分三一。在这场比赛中，他们的进球次数、射正、射偏(11胜6负)以及危险进攻都有所增加。更奇怪的是，根据博彩公司在这场比赛中的预测，他们显然是不被看好的——胜率在3.00左右。博彩公司真的应该更尊重他们!我还想提一下，根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站，transfermarkt.com，他们的球队的估计市场价值甚至比客队还要高一些!在与大分三一的比赛之前，福府证明了他们有时可以很好地防守。事实上，这是一场客场对阵仙台维加尔塔的零比零战平，东道主没有一次射门!在最近的一场比赛中，Verdy以2比0击败了目前排名第19位的山口雷诺法(Renofa Yamaguchi)，成为明显的热门，在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.60英镑。在此之前，他们在客场以3-0击败金泽队。两场比赛都很平衡，很容易打成平局。