Nürnberg VS SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Nurnberg and Greuther Furth lock horns in this German 2. Bundesliga round 6 clash at Max-Morlock-Stadion in Nuremberg. This is the second tier of German football. The difference compared to the first tier is, of course, substantial but the level of this league is surprisingly high – for a second tier. It is the second-best second tier, after the Championship. We can expect a match of mediocre level by the 2. Bundesliga standards here. Many teams have big numbers of spectators and the home advantage on average is bigger than in many other leagues. This is the situation here as well. Indeed, Nurnberg have not lost any of their most recent 10 home games. There were over 26 000 spectators in their latest game at Max-Morlock-Stadion! I expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be great here! By pure class there is very little between the two teams - with the expected lineups. Taking the massive home advantage into account the hosts deserve to be solid favorites here with a 46% chance of taking all three points. The biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookmakers who accept the biggest bets from customers offer the odds of around 2.45-2.50 to win at the time of writing this analysis late Wednesday evening Beijing time. These odds are very generous but we will go for the Nurnberg +0.5 goals handicap option. They currently occupy the 11th place in the standings and have taken seven points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 8.12. They have netted the ball eight times and have allowed 10 goals. The visitors, on the other hand, have grabbed a total of just four points. They have scored eight goals and conceded 10. They, too, have been unlucky in terms of xPTS and would have deserved 7.34 points. Both teams have potential for improvement in all areas of the game.

The hosts have been in better form than Greuther Furth recently. Indeed, Nurnberg have won four of their most recent five games allowing a whopping 10 goals in these games! The visitors have lost three games in a row and are most probably low in confidence. In their most recent game they lost to Augsburg, who play in the Bundesliga, 1-2 in a friendly game. I do not give this match too much emphasis. Before this they were disappointing and lost to Hannover 1-3 at home as clear favorites, priced around 1.95 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. However, the final score is a bit misleading as the hosts recorded more goal attempts and generated more in expected goals (xG) – 0.98-0.87 to be precise. The ball possession was 51-49% and both teams recorded five shots on goal. Before this Hertha Berlin crushed Greuther Furth 5-0 in Berlin. Yes, the visitors’ defense was very shaky indeed but a more narrow home win would have been a more justified result. Furthermore, on the 19th of August they played a balanced clash at home against St. Pauli - no goals were scored in this game. Nurnberg beat Heidenheim, a Bundesliga team, 3-1 in their latest game and played well. They were priced around 3.50 to win by the bookies. On the 2nd of September they were very unlucky to lose to Kaiserslautern 1-3 away from home as pretty clear underdogs. Nurnberg had 62% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (18-12), shots off goal (14-8), total passes, completed passes, corner kicks, attacks and especially dangerous attacks 47-18. Before this they took three fine wins in a row playing well! They have looked high in confidence lately and expect them to be aggressive here right from the kickoff. They will probably put big pressure on the visitors’ surprisingly vulnerable defense! I see this match a slightly more high-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of over 2.5 total goals is 61%.

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纽伦堡和格鲁瑟福特在这个德国2号锁角。德甲第6轮比赛将在纽伦堡的马克斯-莫洛克球场进行。这是德国足球的第二梯队。当然，与第一梯队相比，差距是巨大的，但这个联赛的水平惊人地高——对于第二梯队来说。这是仅次于英冠的第二顶级联赛。我们可以预期到2号的时候会有一场中等水平的比赛。这里是德甲标准。许多球队都有大量的观众，主场优势平均比许多其他联赛都要大。这也是这里的情况。事实上，纽伦堡在最近的10场主场比赛中没有输过一场。在马克斯-莫洛克球场的最新比赛中，有超过26000名观众观看了他们的比赛!我希望球场的气氛会很好!从纯粹的等级来看，两支球队之间的差距很小——在预期的阵容中。考虑到主场的巨大优势，东道主应该是最受欢迎的球队，他们有46%的机会拿到全部三分。在北京时间周三晚间撰写本文时，接受客户最大赌注的最大、有时相当犀利的博彩公司开出的赔率约为2.45-2.50。这些赔率非常大，但我们将选择纽伦堡+0.5个进球障碍选项。他们目前在积分榜上排名第11位，已经拿到了7分。它们的期望值(xPTS)为8.12。他们8次进球，丢了10个球。另一方面，客队只拿到了4分。他们进了8球丢了10球。他们在得分方面也很不走运，本应得到7.34分。两支球队在比赛的各个方面都有改进的潜力。

东道主最近的状态比格鲁瑟·弗斯要好。事实上，纽伦堡在最近的五场比赛中赢了四场，在这些比赛中丢了10个球!客队已经连输三场，很可能信心不足。在最近的一场友谊赛中，他们以1比2输给了德甲的奥格斯堡。我不太重视这场比赛。在此之前，他们的表现令人失望，在主场1-3输给了汉诺威，尽管他们是夺冠热门，开球时博彩公司开出的赔率在1.95左右。然而，最终的比分有点误导人，因为东道主记录了更多的进球尝试，产生了更多的预期进球(xG) - 0.98-0.87。控球率为51比49%，两队均有5次射正。在此之前，柏林赫塔在柏林以5比0击败了格鲁瑟福特。是的，客队的防守确实很不稳固，但如果能在主场以微弱优势取胜，那就更合理了。此外，在8月19日，他们在主场与圣保利进行了一场势均力敌的比赛——这场比赛没有进球。在最近的比赛中，纽伦堡队以3比1击败了德甲球队海登海姆队，表现出色。博彩公司给他们开出了3.5美元的赔率。在9月2日，他们非常不幸地在客场1-3输给了凯泽斯劳滕，显然他们处于劣势。纽伦堡有62%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(18胜12负)、射偏(14胜8负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、角球次数、进攻次数以及特别危险的进攻次数(47胜18负)。在此之前，他们取得了三连胜，打得很好!他们最近看起来很有信心，希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性。他们可能会给客队令人惊讶的脆弱防线带来巨大的压力!我认为这场比赛比赌博市场上的得分更高。总进球数超过2.5个的概率是61%。