Curico Unido VS O.Higgins

Curico Unido host O'Higgins for this Chilean Primera Division round 22 clash at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja in Curicó early Thursday morning Beijing time. This league is of pretty low level by global standards – for a first tier. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors cannot realistically expect a particularly good-level or entertaining game here. Curico Unido are playing an abysmal season so far! Indeed, they are in 16th place at the moment. That means rock-bottom! They have a pathetic 21 points to their account and their number of expected points (xPTS) is only marginally higher. Last season they were much better but this season nothing seems to work for them. Yes, they can improve but the bookies clearly give this potential too much emphasis here - once again! According to my sources their team spirit is poor at the moment. I also do not trust their coach. Their defense has been horribly leaky this season. Indeed, they have allowed 38 goals in this league so far. This is the biggest number in the Primera Division. Silly defense mistakes are common and their defensive structure is often poor. Their midfielders also do not usually take part in defending actively enough. Their offense is nothing to get excited about either. They have netted the ball just 22 times in this league. They do have some relatively skilled offensive players but lack speed and creativity. O'Higgins are having a mediocre season and are in 11th place with 27 points on their pocket. Their score difference is 28:28. Indeed, they have an edge in all areas of the game. Their number of xPTS is 29.01 and they, too, can improve during the last eight rounds of play. 

The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookies see the hosts as slim favorites here – offering both teams odds of around 2.60 to take all three points at the time of writing this preview late Wednesday evening Beijing time. This is not correct – O'Higgins deserve to be the favorites – but not very clear. The visitors with the +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! The home advantage is there but - rather unsurprisingly - the atmosphere at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja has been pretty lame this season as result of disappointing performances.. The hosts have failed to win any of their latest five games – losing 3/5. Consequently, they are clearly low in confidence. In their most recent game they were humiliated away from home by Huachapitato. Indeed, the hosts  fully dominated the events on the pitch  - recording a whopping 24 goal attempts! They also recorded many more shots on goal (16-1), corner kicks (14-3), shots off target, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. Moreover, Huachapitato -  priced around 1.95 to win on the betting market - generated 2.87 in expected goals (xG) – Curico Unido's number was very low – only 0.16! It was very clear during and after the match that Curico Unido are/were overrated by the bookmakers!  The visitors were disappointing in July but have been pretty strong lately – losing just one of their latest five games. In their most recent game, they deservedly beat A. Italiano 2-1 at home – generating 1.22 in xG. The visitors recorded just 0.43.

库里科·工发VS .希金斯

北京时间周四凌晨，智利甲级联赛第22轮比赛将在Curicó体育场举行，库里科-工发主场迎战奥希金斯。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当低——对于一线联赛来说。足球迷和我们这些严肃的、追求利润的投注者不可能在这里期待一场特别高水平或有趣的比赛。到目前为止，Curico工发队打出了一个糟糕的赛季!事实上，他们目前排在第16位。这意味着最低点!他们的账户上只有可怜的21分，他们的期望分数(xPTS)也只是稍微高一点。上个赛季他们好多了，但这个赛季似乎什么都不适合他们。是的，他们可以提高，但是很明显，赌博公司在这里过分强调了这种潜力——再一次!据我所知，他们目前的团队精神很差。我也不相信他们的教练。这个赛季他们的防守漏洞百出。事实上，到目前为止，他们在联赛中已经丢了38个球。这是联赛中最大的数字。愚蠢的防守失误是常见的，他们的防守结构往往很差。他们的中场球员通常也不太积极地参与防守。他们的进攻也没什么好兴奋的。他们在这个联赛中只有22次进球。他们确实有一些相对熟练的进攻球员，但缺乏速度和创造力。奥希金斯本赛季表现平平，目前以27分排名第11位。他们的比分差是28:28。事实上，他们在比赛的各个领域都有优势。他们的xPTS数是29.01，他们也可以在最后8轮比赛中提高。

最大的、有时也比较聪明的博彩公司认为东道主在这里的胜算不大，在北京时间周三晚间撰写这篇预告时，两支球队都给出了2.60左右的赔率来获得全部三分。这是不正确的——奥希金斯应该是最受欢迎的——但也不是很清楚。客队有+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择!主场优势是有的，但毫不奇怪的是，由于本赛季令人失望的表现，拉齐奥的气氛一直很糟糕。东道主在最近的五场比赛中一场也没赢，以5比3输掉了比赛。因此，他们显然信心不足。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场被瓦查皮托羞辱。事实上，东道主在球场上完全占据了统治地位——他们的进球次数高达24次!他们也有更多的射门(16胜1负)、角球(14胜3负)、射偏、攻击和危险攻击。此外，华夏皮托——在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.95——产生了2.87个预期进球(xG)——Curico Unido的数字非常低——只有0.16!很明显，在比赛期间和比赛后，库里科·工发被庄家高估了!客队在7月份的表现令人失望，但最近的表现相当强劲——最近五场比赛只输了一场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了意大利队，在比赛中创造了1.22个进球。游客的记录只有0.43。