Ukraine U21 VS Northern Ireland U21

Ukraine U21 welcome Northern Ireland for this EURO U21 qualification battle at NTC Poprad in Poprad, Slovakia. The match is not played in Ukraine because of the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia. Yes, there will surely be some Ukrainians at the stadium support their countryman but this playing outside still does lower the home advantage here. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a pretty boring battle here. Indeed, I am positive that the visitors will defend very hard here - probably with nine or even 10 men. They are not expected to change their tactic a lot even if they end up trailing by a margin of one goal. Yes, Ukraine does have some talented individuals and do have offensive firepower but they are still from the level of the best teams in this area of the game. The visitors are a very tactically mature team and also have a good coach. They fight hard for every ball. Furthermore, they are a very fit team physically. According to my sources they also have a very good team spirit. In the previous qualification they finished in third place in Group C – behind a very strong team, Spain and Slovakia. They took seven points but would have deserved much more in terms of expected points (xPTS) – 10.98 to be precise.

In the first round of qualification they suffered a disappointing and surprising defeat at home to Luxembourg. However, they would have deserved a win! Indeed, they had 57% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal (7-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 73-35. The bookies have overreacted to this result and should respect Northern Ireland more here. Before this they fought well and took a draw as clear underdogs against Scotland. It was a pretty balanced clash. They have avoided a defeat by a margin of more than one goal in their last four games. Ukraine have lost two games in a row allowing a total of seven goals. However, the opponents – Germany and Spain have been strong. In the EURO U21 tournament in the summer they took a few good wins but also had a lot of luck on their side. The big bookies, with the largest betting limits that offer odds on this match, see the hosts as very big favorites, offering them odds of around only 1.50 to take all three points. This is undoubtedly too low! Yes, the hosts do have and edge in all areas of the game but I see them having an only 54% chance of winning. However, we will go with the visitors +1.5 goals handicap with a big chance of winning. The goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies think

乌克兰U21 VS北爱尔兰U21

乌克兰U21欢迎北爱尔兰参加这场欧洲杯U21预选赛，比赛将在斯洛伐克的波波拉德举行。由于乌克兰和俄罗斯之间正在进行的战争，这场比赛没有在乌克兰举行。是的，肯定会有一些乌克兰人在球场上支持他们的同胞，但在室外比赛仍然会降低主场优势。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场相当无聊的战斗。事实上，我确信客队在这里会非常努力地防守——可能会有9人甚至10人。即使他们最终落后一球，他们也不会改变他们的战术。是的，乌克兰确实有一些有天赋的球员，也有进攻火力，但他们仍然没有达到这个领域最好的球队的水平。客队是一支战术上非常成熟的球队，而且有一个很好的教练。他们为每一个球而战。此外，他们在身体上是一支非常健康的球队。据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神。在之前的预选赛中，他们在C组排名第三，落后于一支非常强大的球队——西班牙和斯洛伐克。他们拿到了7分，但是从预期积分(xPTS)来看，他们应该得到更多——准确地说是10.98分。

在预选赛的第一轮，他们在主场遭遇了令人失望和意外的败给卢森堡。然而，他们应该赢得一场胜利!事实上，他们有57%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门(7胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻——73胜35负。博彩公司对这一结果反应过度，应该更多地尊重北爱尔兰。在此之前，他们打得很好，并在明显处于劣势的情况下与苏格兰打成平局。这是一场相当平衡的冲突。在过去的四场比赛中，他们都以1球以上的优势避免了失败。乌克兰已经连续输掉两场比赛，总共丢了7个球。然而，对手德国和西班牙都很强大。在今年夏天的U21欧洲杯上，他们取得了几场不错的胜利，但运气也很好。对于这场比赛，拥有最大投注限额的大型博彩公司认为东道主是非常大的热门，他们提供的赔率只有1.50左右，可以获得全部三分。这无疑太低了!是的，东道主在比赛的各个方面都有优势，但我认为他们只有54%的获胜机会。然而，我们将以客队+1.5球的劣势出战，获胜的机会很大。这里的进球预期比博彩公司想的要低