A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-09-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧青U21外

09/12 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Spain U21 VS Scotland U21


Spain U21 welcome Scotland for this EURO U21 qualification Group B clash at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria in Jaén very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. Spain have already played one match in this group – for Scotland this is the first game. Spain won their first game in crushing fashion 6-0 away from home against Malta, who are, in all honesty, not a great team though. Spain had 76% ball possession and recorded a whopping 25 goal attempts - Malta managed just one. Moreover, Spain had 11 shots on goal - the hosts failed to record one. Spain also recorded over 100 dangerous attacks – Malta had just 10, which is a very low number in football. A few months ago Spain made it all the way to the final in the EURO U21 tournament beating Romania, Croatia and Switzerland. In the semi-final they swept past a pretty dangerous team, Ukraine, 5-1 and looked amazingly strong offensively. Their players are incredibly talented individuals but the team is also tactically very mature. They also have a very talented coach in S. Denia. Spain play well as a team and selfish or lazy football rarely happens with this team. For example France and England and Italy are sometimes guilty of this – in U21 matches. In the final Spain faced England on the 8th of July as slim underdogs according to the bookies. However, they were, in reality, the better team on the pitch. We can say that they were unlucky to lose 0-1. England, of course, are a strong team so losing is nothing to be ashamed of. Today’s opponents, Scotland, are light-years worse than England and cannot match Spain in any area of the game – not even close. They do fight hard and have a decent structure in the game but the difference in individual skill is massive in Spain’s favor! Their men's national teams have won 8/10 last games and this might affect the odds here.. However, it is a completely different team! We should not forget that Scotland are, after all, only a mediocre football country and the U21 team, too, heavily relies on their fans' support. In Scotland this match would probably be a much more balanced clash..

Against England Spain had 60% ball possession and recorded 20 goal attempts – England managed just seven. Furthermore, Spain recorded many more shots off goal (11-1) corner kicks (9-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. Scotland were not even close to making it to this tournament. Indeed, they finished in 4th place in Group I with just seven points in eight games. This was undoubtedly a clear disappointment. Surely they can improve, but not significantly. Denmark, who ended up in second place, took 17 points. Scotland have not won a game for almost a year! Furthermore, Scotland have lost to Iceland, Sweden and Norway this year in friendly games. All three opponents are much worse than Spain. The Scotts will surely defend with 10 or perhaps even all eleven men here but I expect Spain the score a fast goal, boosted by enthusiastic fans who love their U21 team. Scotland could perhaps score from a corner or through a lucky long ball but I do not see even this stopping Spain from winning by a margin of at least two goals. Even 4-0 or 5-0 would not be a big surprise! The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers do not, in my expert opinion, see Spain as big enough favorites here and offer Spain odds of around 1.55 with the -1.5 goals handicap at the time of writing this analysis Monday afternoon Beijing time. The chance of winning is 76%. However, I am also certain that the odds will drop before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up the hosts. I see Spain having 54% chance of winning by a margin of at least three goals so the fans wanting to go for bigger odds can take the -2.5 goals option!




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

西班牙U21 VS苏格兰U21


北京时间周二凌晨,西班牙U21欢迎苏格兰参加欧洲杯U21预选赛B组的比赛。西班牙已经在这个小组打了一场比赛,对苏格兰来说,这是第一场比赛。西班牙在客场以6比0的比分击败了马耳他队,但老实说,马耳他队并不是一支伟大的球队。西班牙队的控球率为76%,进球次数高达25次,而马耳他队只有1次。此外,西班牙队有11次射正,东道主没有一次射正。西班牙也有超过100次的危险进攻,而马耳他只有10次,这在足球界是非常少的。几个月前,西班牙在U21欧洲杯上击败罗马尼亚、克罗地亚和瑞士,一路杀入决赛。在半决赛中,他们以5比1横扫了一支相当危险的球队——乌克兰,他们的进攻看起来非常强大。他们的球员非常有天赋,但球队在战术上也非常成熟。他们也有一个非常有天赋的教练,圣德尼亚。西班牙队踢得很好,这支球队很少出现自私或懒惰的足球。例如,法国、英格兰和意大利在U21比赛中有时就会犯这样的错误。根据博彩公司的预测,在7月8日的决赛中,西班牙队面对的是英格兰队。然而,事实上,他们在球场上是一支更好的球队。我们可以说他们0-1输了是很不幸的。当然,英格兰是一支强队,所以输球没什么好羞愧的。今天的对手苏格兰比英格兰差了好几光年,在比赛的任何领域都无法与西班牙匹敌——甚至差得远。他们确实很努力,在比赛中有一个不错的结构,但个人技术的差异对西班牙来说是巨大的!他们的男子国家队在上一场比赛中赢了8胜10负,这可能会影响赔率。然而,这是一个完全不同的团队!我们不应该忘记,苏格兰毕竟只是一个平庸的足球国家,U21队也严重依赖球迷的支持。如果是在苏格兰,这场比赛可能会更加势均力敌。

在对阵英格兰的比赛中,西班牙队的控球率为60%,有20次射门,而英格兰队只有7次。此外,西班牙队的射门次数(11胜1负)、角球次数(9胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数以及危险进攻次数都更多。苏格兰队甚至都没能进入本届锦标赛。事实上,他们在8场比赛中仅获得7分,排名第一组第四。这无疑是一个明显的失望。当然,他们可以改善,但不是很大。丹麦以17分排名第二。苏格兰已经快一年没赢过一场了!此外,苏格兰在今年的友谊赛中输给了冰岛、瑞典和挪威。这三个对手都比西班牙糟糕得多。苏格兰人肯定会用10人甚至11人防守,但我希望西班牙队能在热爱U21队的热情球迷的推动下快速进球。苏格兰或许可以通过角球或幸运的长传得分,但我不认为这能阻止西班牙以至少两球的优势获胜。即使4-0或5-0也不会是什么大惊喜!以我的专家观点来看,那些接受客户最大赌注的最大、有时相当聪明的博彩公司并不认为西班牙队有足够大的胜算,在北京时间周一下午写这篇分析时,他们给出的赔率约为1.55,进球障碍为-1.5。获胜的几率是76%。然而,我也确信,在开球前,赔率将会下降,因为预计聪明的钱会堆积在东道主身上。我认为西班牙有54%的机会以至少3球的优势获胜,所以想要获得更大赔率的球迷可以选择-2.5球的选项!


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。