A FINE match to bet on! $$$
2023-09-12

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外籍分析师

俄甲

09/12 00:30

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解读理由:

Torpedo Moscow VS Akron Togliatti


Torpedo Moscow host Akron Togliatti for this Russian FNL round 9 battle at Stadion Eduarda Strelcova early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Russian football. The level is pretty low by European standards – the difference compared to the first level is substantial. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level here by FNL standards. Torpedo Moscow were relegated to this league from the first tier for this season. They do have bigger names than Akron Togliatti in the squad which is probably one of the main reasons for them being overvalued by the betting market here. Their last season was absolutely abysmal. Indeed, they finished in last place in the Premier League and were able to take a pathetically low number of points – only 13 to be precise. Their score difference was -39! They had many internal problems last season and things do not look too good for them this season either. According to my sources their team spirit is far from optimal. Furthermore, I do not fully trust their coach. Their fans have been very frustrated with the team’s performances both last season and this season. This is totally understandable. Yes, the home advantage is of course there but it is that big here.

Torpedo Moscow have a total of 11 points to their account, but would have deserved just 9.78 in terms of expected points (xPTS). I have significantly lowered their power rating from my strongly data-based, in-depth preseason analysis! The bookies should really stop overestimating them! Indeed, the big bookies, with the largest betting limits that offer odds on this match, see the hosts as solid favorites, offering them odds of around only 2.40-2.45 to take all three points. This is undoubtedly much too low! Indeed, the visitors do have an edge in all areas of the game and we will go with the visitors +0.5 goals handicap option. In their latest game Torpedo Moscow were very lame offensively and lost to Rodina Moscow away from home 0-2. Before this they were lucky to get a point away from home against a mediocre team. Arsenal Tula – it was a 1-1 draw. Akron Togliatti have started the season better than I would have expected and occupy the 5th place in the FNL league table. They have scored 14 goals and have conceded just six goals. They have 14 points to their account and might well fight for promotion to the Premier League – this would require a top-4 position.



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鱼雷莫斯科VS阿克伦陶里亚蒂


北京时间周二凌晨,莫斯科鱼雷队主场迎战阿克伦·陶里亚蒂队,他们将在爱德华达·斯特列科娃球场进行俄罗斯民族解放联盟第9轮比赛。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这一水平相当低——与第一级相比,差距很大。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的投注者可以期待一场高于FNL平均水平的比赛。莫斯科鱼雷队本赛季从第一梯队降级到这个联赛。他们确实有比陶里亚蒂更大牌的球员,这可能是他们被博彩市场高估的主要原因之一。他们上个赛季简直糟透了。事实上,他们在英超联赛中排名垫底,拿到的积分少得可怜——准确地说,只有13分。他们的比分差是-39!上赛季他们有很多内部问题,这个赛季的情况看起来也不太好。据我所知,他们的团队精神远非最佳状态。此外,我也不完全信任他们的教练。他们的球迷对球队上赛季和本赛季的表现都很失望。这完全可以理解。是的,主场优势当然是存在的,但主场优势是如此之大。

莫斯科鱼雷在他们的账户上总共有11分,但是在预期积分(xPTS)方面应该只得到9.78分。根据我基于数据的深度季前赛分析,我已经大大降低了他们的能量等级!博彩公司真的不应该高估他们了!事实上,对这场比赛提供最大赔率的大型博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,他们提供的赔率只有2.40-2.45左右,可以获得全部三分。这无疑太低了!事实上,客队在比赛的各个方面都有优势,我们会选择客队+0.5个进球障碍的选项。在最近的一场比赛中,莫斯科鱼雷队的进攻很差劲,客场0-2输给了莫斯科罗迪纳队。在此之前,他们很幸运地在客场对阵一支平庸的球队时拿到了一分。阿森纳-图拉- 1-1战平。阿克伦-陶里亚蒂本赛季的开局比我预期的要好,在FNL联赛中排名第五。他们进了14个球,只丢了6个球。他们现在有14分,很可能会为升入英超而战——这需要一个前四的位置。

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