The World Champions visit La Paz 世预赛 玻利维亚VS阿根廷
2023-09-12

Milos

外籍分析师

世预赛

09/13 04:00

已完赛

玻利维亚
1:0
阿根廷
解读理由:

The fixture computer has handed Bolivia a daunting start to this World Cup Qualification (WCQ) cycle, pitting them against football giants Brazil and reigning world champions Argentina. In their first encounter, Bolivia suffered a resounding 5-1 defeat against Brazil. Now, they face the challenge of avoiding another comprehensive loss to Argentina. The statistics from their previous three head-to-head clashes, in which Bolivia conceded nine goals, suggest that this task won't be easy.


While two defeats against South American football powerhouses wouldn't spell disaster for Bolivia's qualification hopes, they can significantly enhance their chances of reaching their first World Cup since 1994 by springing a surprise. Bolivia has shown their capability for such upsets before, as evidenced by their victory over Argentina during the 2018 WCQ (2-0). Moreover, their recent WCQ home record is promising, with four wins, one draw, and two losses in their last seven matches.


Argentina's last defeat in a WCQ setting dates back to 2017 when they lost to Bolivia. Since then, they have embarked on an impressive 22-game unbeaten streak in WCQ games, comprising 13 wins and 9 draws. This remarkable run is underpinned by a solid defensive foundation, with La Albiceleste keeping clean sheets in nine of their last 11 WCQ matches (8 wins and 3 draws), including their 1-0 opening round victory over Ecuador.


However, Argentina's away form in WCQ matches is not infallible, boasting a 43% win rate in their last 14 away games (6 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses). They have conceded at least twice in over a third of these matches, even suffering defeat at the hands of Bolivia in one instance. Nevertheless, the overall head-to-head record between the two teams leans in Argentina's favor, with 29 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, and an average of just 0.88 conceded goals per match.


After everything mentioned above, I believe the guests will win this match, but I won't be surprised to see Bolivia score a goal. Still, I chose the 1.47 odds for Argentina to win as my pick for this game. Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在本届世界杯预选赛(WCQ)周期中,预选赛电脑给了玻利维亚一个令人生畏的开局,他们将对阵足球巨人巴西和卫冕世界冠军阿根廷。在他们的第一次交锋中,玻利维亚以5比1惨败巴西。现在,他们面临着避免再次全面输给阿根廷的挑战。从两队之前三次正面交锋的统计数据来看,玻利维亚队丢了9个球,这表明这项任务并不容易。


虽然两场输给南美强队不会对玻利维亚出线的希望造成灾难,但如果他们能出其不意,就能大大提高他们自1994年以来首次参加世界杯的机会。玻利维亚队在2018年世界杯上以2比0战胜阿根廷队就证明了他们的能力。此外,他们最近在WCQ的主场战绩也很不错,最近7场比赛取得了4胜1平2负的成绩。


阿根廷上一次在WCQ比赛中失利要追溯到2017年,当时他们输给了玻利维亚。从那以后,他们在WCQ比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的22连胜,包括13胜9平。这一惊人的成绩得益于坚实的防守基础,在过去的11场WCQ比赛中,蓝白军团有9场保持零封(8胜3平),其中包括首场1-0战胜厄瓜多尔。


然而,阿根廷队在WCQ比赛中的客场表现并非绝对可靠,他们在过去14场客场比赛中拥有43%的胜率(6胜6平2负)。在超过三分之一的比赛中,他们至少丢了两次球,甚至有一次输给了玻利维亚。尽管如此,两队交锋的总战绩还是偏向阿根廷,29胜5平7负,场均失球仅为0.88个。


综上所述,我相信客人会赢得这场比赛,但我不会惊讶于玻利维亚的进球。尽管如此,我还是以1.47的赔率选择了阿根廷队获胜。好运!

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