Slovenia U21 VS France U21

Slovenia U21 welcome France for this EURO U21 qualification Group H clash at Bonifika in Koper very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. Slovenia have already played one game in this group – for France this is the first game. Slovenia won their first game 2-1 after a better-than-expected performance. It was an away game in Bosnia & Herzegovina. Indeed, it was a somewhat balanced battle as a whole despite the hosts recording a few goal attempts, shots on goals as well as shots off target. Slovenia had only 60% but they had clearly chosen a pretty defensive strategy for this difficult away game. I would say that it was a wise decision from Slovenia’s excellent - and often underrated in the football media - coach M. Acimovic. Slovenia were pretty clear underdogs in this battle – priced around 3.30 to take all three points at the time of kickoff. This match was yet another example of Slovenia being underrated on the betting market. Solid defense will be very important for Slovenia against France, a team who are of course clearly better than Slovenia. Indeed, the French have an edge in all areas of the game. I expect Slovenia to be very defensive here, even in front of their demanding fans. The hosts will most probably rely mainly on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks or perhaps a penalty to net the ball here. France’s defense is not always that solid, especially in away games, and Slovenia might well be able to hurt the visitors here. Even so, I believe they would most probably be very happy with a draw. I see the match is more low-scoring than the betting market does and in my expert opinion the probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 49%.

Before the game against Bosnia & Herzegovina they beat Finland 1-0 in a pretty uneventful game. Let’s keep in mind that Slovenia have lost just one of their last six games and have looked confident on the pitch recently. Furthermore, according to my sources they have an excellent team spirit. This is often not the case with the French men’s or U21 teams. In the last qualification they performed pretty well finishing in third place in group G behind a very strong team, England, and Czechia. They took a total of 16 points and finished the group with two wins and three draws. In ter,s of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 19.02 points. France, on the other hand, made it to the EURO U21 this year but did not quite meet the expectations. They were beaten by Ukraine 3-1 in the quarter-finals as very clear favorites according to the bookies – priced around 1.60 to win in the 90 minutes of play. They have amazingly talented players but were often off balance on the pitch in this tournament and some players seem to be a bit selfish as well.. In their most recent game, they defeated Denmark 4-1 as clear favorites but the game was much more balanced than the final score would suggest. The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies see France as massive favorites here – offering the odds of around 1.35-1.38 to win. This is massively too low – they have a 61% chance to win but we will go for the +1.5 goals handicap option with a 64% chance of winning.

斯洛文尼亚U21对阵法国U21

北京时间周二凌晨，斯洛文尼亚U21在科佩尔博尼菲卡迎来了欧洲杯U21预选赛H组对阵法国的比赛。斯洛文尼亚已经在这个小组打了一场比赛，对法国来说这是第一场比赛。斯洛文尼亚队在首场比赛中表现好于预期，以2比1获胜。这是一场客场对阵波黑的比赛。事实上，这场比赛总体上是一场平衡的战斗，尽管东道主有一些进球尝试，射门和射偏。斯洛文尼亚只有60%的命中率，但他们显然选择了防守策略来应对这场艰难的客场比赛。我想说，这是斯洛文尼亚优秀的教练——经常被足球媒体低估——阿西莫维奇做出的一个明智的决定。斯洛文尼亚在这场比赛中明显处于下风，开球时的价格约为3.30分，可以拿到全部三分。这场比赛是斯洛文尼亚在博彩市场上被低估的又一个例子。坚实的防守对于斯洛文尼亚对阵法国来说非常重要，法国显然比斯洛文尼亚强。事实上，法国队在比赛的各个方面都有优势。我认为斯洛文尼亚在这里会非常防守，即使是在他们苛刻的球迷面前。主队很可能主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球或者点球将球打进。法国队的防守并不总是那么稳固，尤其是在客场比赛中，斯洛文尼亚很可能会在这里伤害到客队。即便如此，我相信他们很可能会对平局感到非常高兴。我认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的比分更低，在我的专家意见中，打进2.5球以下的概率是49%。

在与波黑的比赛之前，他们在一场平淡无奇的比赛中以1比0击败了芬兰。让我们记住，斯洛文尼亚在过去的六场比赛中只输了一场，最近在球场上看起来很自信。此外，据我所知，他们有很好的团队精神。法国男足或U21国家队的情况通常并非如此。在上一届预选赛中，他们表现相当出色，在G组排名第三，落后于一支非常强大的球队——英格兰和捷克。他们共积16分，以2胜3平的成绩出线。在3分的预期积分中，他们应该得到19.02分。另一方面，法国今年进入了U21欧洲杯，但并没有达到预期。在四分之一决赛中，他们以3比1的比分被乌克兰击败，根据博彩公司的预测，他们在90分钟的比赛中获胜的赔率约为1.60英镑。他们有非常有天赋的球员，但是在这次比赛中，他们在球场上经常失去平衡，一些球员似乎也有点自私。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以4比1击败丹麦，成为夺冠热门，但比赛比最终比分所显示的要平衡得多。最大的，有时相当聪明的博彩公司认为法国队是最受欢迎的球队，他们开出的赔率约为1.35-1.38。这实在是太低了——他们有61%的获胜机会，但是我们会选择+1.5个进球障碍的选项，有64%的获胜机会。