Alania Vladikavkaz VS Tyumen

Alania Vladikavkaz host Tyumen for this Russian FNL round 9 battle at Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Russian football. The level is pretty low by European standards – the difference compared to the first level is very big. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of mediocre level here by FNL standards. Tyumen were promoted to this league from the third tier for this season. They do not have any actual stars in the squad which is probably one of the main reasons for them being undervalued by the betting market here. However, they play very well as a team with a good structure in their game and also have a good coach. According to my sources their team spirit is also excellent which has been boosted further by the good start to the season! They have a total of 13 points to their account but would have deserved 14.11 in terms of expected points (xPTS). I have significantly raised their power rating from my strongly data-based, in-depth preseason analysis! The bookies should really stop underestimating them! Indeed, the big bookies, with the largest betting limits that offer odds on this match, see the hosts as very big favorites, offering them odds of around only 1.45 to take all three points. This is undoubtedly too low! Yes, the hosts do have an edge in all areas of the game but I see them having an only 59% chance of winning. However, we will go with the visitors +1.5 goals handicap. Odds of around 1.60-1.65 are available for this handicap and the chance of winning is 68%.

 Let's not forget that Tyumen have not lost any of their last six games by a margin of more than one goal. They were disappointing in their latest game though and lost to Arsenal Tula 1-2 at home and would have needed luck to take even a point. However, the bookies seem to have reacted too heavily to this lame performance. Before this they beat a dangerous team, Akron Togliatti, who are currently in 4th place with 14 points, 2-1 away from home after a fine performance! Moreover, they have lost just three of their latest 25 matches. The hosts, too, have started the season well and top the standings with 19 points. They do have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game but have now become too hot on the betting market. Their number of xPTS is 16.67 and they are in 4th place in my power rating. Yes, they have won three games in a row but by a margin of just one goal. Their offense has not fully convinced me and will not find it easy breaking the well-organized Tuymen defense here. Lastly, I want to mention that Alania do not have the best home fans.

阿拉尼亚VS秋明

北京时间周日晚，阿拉尼亚将在斯巴达克Respublikanskij体育场迎战俄罗斯民族解放联盟第九轮的秋明队。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这一水平相当低——与第一级相比，差距非常大。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的赌客可以期待一场以FNL标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。秋明队本赛季从第三梯队升入这个联赛。他们的阵容中没有任何真正的球星，这可能是他们被博彩市场低估的主要原因之一。然而，他们踢得很好，在比赛中有一个很好的结构，也有一个很好的教练。根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神也很出色，这被赛季的良好开局进一步提升了!他们总共得到了13分，但按照预期积分(xPTS)，他们应该得到14.11分。根据我基于数据的深度季前赛分析，我大大提高了他们的能量评级!博彩公司真的不该再低估他们了!事实上，对这场比赛提供最大赔率的大型博彩公司认为东道主是非常大的热门，他们提供的赔率只有1.45左右，可以获得全部三分。这无疑太低了!是的，东道主在比赛的各个方面都有优势，但我认为他们只有59%的获胜机会。然而，我们将以客队+1.5个进球的劣势出战。这种障碍的赔率约为1.60-1.65，获胜的几率为68%。

让我们不要忘记秋明在过去的六场比赛中没有输过一球以上的比赛。他们在最近一场比赛中表现令人失望，主场1-2不敌图拉的阿森纳，甚至需要运气才能拿到一分。然而，博彩公司似乎对这一蹩脚的表现反应过度。在此之前，他们击败了一支危险的球队，阿克伦·陶里亚蒂，他们目前以14分排名第四，客场2-1表现出色!此外，他们在最近的25场比赛中只输了3场。东道主本赛季开局也不错，以19分排名榜首。他们确实在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势，但现在在博彩市场上已经变得太热了。他们的xPTS数是16.67，在我的能量评级中排名第四。是的，他们已经连续赢了三场比赛，但只领先一球。他们的进攻还没有完全让我信服，要打破图门组织严密的防守并不容易。最后，我想说的是，阿拉尼亚没有最好的主场球迷。