FK Leningradets VS FK Makhachkala

Leningradets welcome Dynamo Makhachkala for this Russian FNL round 9 battle at Petrovsky Stadium late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Russian football. The level is pretty low by European standards – the difference compared to the first level is substantial. We can expect a match of mediocre level here by FNL standards. Leningradets were promoted to this league from the third tier for this season. They do not have any really big names in the squad which is probably one of the main reasons for them being undervalued by the bookies here. However, they play very well as a team and have a good coach. According to my sources their team spirit is also excellent! They have started the season pretty well and I have raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven from the in-depth preseason analysis.They have a total of 10 points to their account but would have deserved 12.56 in terms of expected points (xPTS). It is true that their offense lacks firepower, especially individual skill for this level and they have netted the ball just five times in this league so far this season. Even so, they can improve in this area of the game as the season progresses. The tempo in this league is much faster than in the third tier and getting used to it takes some time. At least their offense has a pretty good structure. Their fans have understandably been excited about the promotion and I expect the atmosphere to be great at Petrovsky Stadium  today! Let's remember that they have been extremely strong at home losing just one of the latest 21 games! What an amazing record! I believe the bookies do not give this factor enough emphasis! Indeed, the big bookies, with the largest betting limits that offer odds on this match, see the visitors as favorites, offering them odds of around 2.60 to take all three points. I must disagree! The hosts deserve to be slim favorites with today's lineups. We will go with hosts +0.5 goals handicap However, by pure class the visitors are undoubtedly the stronger team but the difference between the two teams is smaller than the betting market believes..

The only defeat at home in the last 21 games happened on the 12th of this month against Shinnik Yaroslavl but was on an unlucky one. Indeed, the hosts had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks – 46-23. In their most recent game Leningradets played a balanced game at home away from home against Kamaz who are currently in 7th place in the standings. Before this they beat Saratov, currently in 2nd place with 17 points, 1-0 away from home! They have avoided defeat in their latest three games. Dynamo Makhachkala have not quite met my expectations this season and have taken 12 points. Their number of xPTS is 13.02 though. They can improve, sure, but would really need much creativity offensively.. I expect them to be worse than last season when they were lucky in terms of xPTS. A very low-scoring - and probably a bit boring - clash is on the cards here but the bookies seem to agree with me on this.

列宁级VS马哈奇卡拉

北京时间周日晚，列宁格勒欢迎马哈奇卡拉迪纳摩参加在彼得罗夫斯基体育场举行的俄罗斯民族解放力量第九轮比赛。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这一水平相当低——与第一级相比，差距很大。按照民族解放力量的标准，我们可以期待一场中等水平的比赛。列宁格勒队本赛季从第三梯队升入这个联赛。他们的阵容中没有任何真正的大牌球员，这可能是他们被博彩公司低估的主要原因之一。然而，他们作为一个团队踢得很好，有一个好教练。据我所知，他们的团队精神也非常出色!他们本赛季开局不错，我已经提高了他们的力量评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，从季前赛的深入分析中选出了最好的11名首发球员。他们的账户上总共有10分，但按照预期积分(xPTS)，他们应该得到12.56分。的确，他们的进攻缺乏火力，特别是在这个水平上，他们的个人技术，本赛季到目前为止，他们在这个联赛中只有5次进球。即便如此，随着赛季的进行，他们还可以在这方面有所提高。这个联赛的节奏比第三梯队快得多，适应它需要一些时间。至少他们的进攻有一个很好的结构。他们的球迷对晋级感到兴奋是可以理解的，我希望今天彼得罗夫斯基球场的气氛会很好!让我们记住，他们在主场非常强大，最近21场比赛只输了一场!多么惊人的记录啊!我相信博彩公司没有给予这个因素足够的重视!事实上，对于这场比赛，拥有最大投注限额的大型博彩公司认为客队是最受欢迎的球队，为他们提供了2.60左右的赔率来获得全部三分。我不同意!以今天的阵容来看，东道主应该有一点胜算。我们会选择东道主+0.5个进球。然而，从纯粹的等级来看，客队无疑是更强大的球队，但两队之间的差距比博彩市场认为的要小。

在过去的21场比赛中，唯一一场主场失利发生在本月12日对阵雅罗斯拉夫的比赛中，但这是一场不幸的比赛。事实上，东道主拥有54%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻——46比23。在他们最近的一场比赛中，列宁格勒队在主场客场对阵目前排名第7的卡马斯。在此之前，他们击败了萨拉托夫，目前以17分排名第二，客场1-0 !他们在最近的三场比赛中避免了失败。马哈奇卡拉迪纳摩本赛季没有达到我的预期，只拿到了12分。但是它们的xpt数量是13.02。当然，他们可以提高，但他们真的需要更多的进攻创造力。我预计他们会比上个赛季更糟糕，因为他们在xPTS方面很幸运。一场得分很低的比赛——可能还有点无聊——即将上演，但博彩公司似乎同意我的看法。