Kashima Antlers VS Nagoya Grampus

Kashima Antlers welcome Nagoya Grampus for this Japanese YBC Levain Cup quarter-final second leg clash at Kashima Soccer Stadium Sunday afternoon Beijing time. Both teams play in the J1 League, the first tier of Japanese football. My fans and I have achieved excellent results betting on this league and we have yet another very good betting opportunity here! It was a 1-1 draw in the first leg on the 6th of this month. I believe Kashima were pretty happy with the draw. They now have a big chance of getting the job done in front of loyal and loud home fans.! They have taken three impressive home wins in a row – scoring seven goals and allowing just one. Nagoya, on the other hand, have lost five away matches in a row – netting the ball just twice in these games. What a horrible record it is! Indeed, the home advantage here is substantial. The odds as high as 2.55 available with big bookies at the time of writing this analysis are irresistible but will likely drop before the kick off.. I see the hosts having a 47.50% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of play. The then hosts had a 57% ball possession in the first leg but only recorded three shots on goal. The visitors, on the other hand, recorded just one but had two more shots than Nagoya off target. Both teams recorded seven goal attempts. It was a balanced clash as I expected. It was a little surprising to see the bookies seeing Nagoya as solid favorites in this game – pricing them at around 2.20 to win. This was yet another example of them being respected too much by the bookies! Their form has been in steep decline lately. Indeed, they have not won any of their latest five games. Moreover, they have lost three of these games. They are clearly low in confidence at the moment.

Before the first leg Nagoya were extremely disappointing at home against a poor team, Yokohama FC, who are currently in the second-last place. Nagoya Grampus were big favorites in this game on the betting market but the visitors would have deserved a win! They had 61% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal (3-1), goal attempts (18-6), corner kicks (8-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks (50-29). Nagoya’s offensive football was almost hilariously poor in this game! It lacked speed, passing accuracy near the opponent's goal and most importantly - creativity! The offensive structure was also at time "amateur-level" - I would say! They generated just 0.45 in expected goals (xG). The visitors managed 1.86! Before this they were beaten by Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 away from home in an Emperor’s Cup clash despite being clear favorites on the betting market.. Kashiwa are a lowly team and are in the 16th place in the J1 League.

Based on their performances on the pitch this season it is very hard to believe that Nagoya are in 3rd place in the league table. Last season they ended up in 8th place and this is also their place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting lineup. Kashima Antlers, on the other hand, finished in 4th place last season with 52 points and I believe they will topple the visitors during the remainder of the season as they are the better team in all areas of the game. Let's be clear here - Nagoya’s number of expected points (xPTS) is only 39.98 but they have somehow grabbed 46 points. They have scored less goals and allowed more goals than the hosts who are in 6th place with 43 points (xPTS) 47.67. On the 2nd of this month Kashima played a 2-2 draw away from home against Shonan Bellmare - a team who are much more dangerous than the standings would suggest. However, Kashima would have deserved all three points! Indeed, they had 62% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal, goal attempts (14-7), corner kicks (9-6), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks (49-28). They generated just 2.53 in (xG). The hosts managed just 0.88! Before this they took two fine wins at home. Lastly I want to mention that the hosts are clearly the bigger team in terms of players’ estimated total market value according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known German website.

鹿岛鹿角VS名古屋鹿角

北京时间周日下午，日本YBC列文杯1 / 4决赛次回合比赛将在鹿岛足球场举行，鹿岛鹿角队将迎来名古屋公鹿队。两支球队都参加了J1联赛，这是日本足球的第一梯队。我和我的球迷在这个联赛的投注中取得了优异的成绩，我们在这里又有一个非常好的投注机会!在本月6日的首回合比赛中，双方以1比1战平。我相信鹿岛对平局非常满意。他们现在有很大的机会在忠诚和大声的主场球迷面前完成任务。他们在主场取得了令人印象深刻的三连胜，进了7个球，只丢了1个球。另一方面，名古屋已经连续输掉了5场客场比赛，在这些比赛中只进了2球。多么可怕的记录啊!事实上，这里的主场优势是巨大的。在撰写这篇分析时，大博彩公司提供的赔率高达2.55，这是不可抗拒的，但可能会在开球前下降。我认为东道主在90分钟的比赛中有47.50%的获胜机会。当时的东道主在首回合有57%的控球率，但只有3次射门。另一方面，客队只打进1球，但比名古屋多出了2次射门。两队都有7次射门。正如我所料，这是一场势均力敌的冲突。让人有点惊讶的是，博彩公司把名古屋视为这场比赛的大热门——他们的胜率在2.20左右。这是他们被博彩公司过分尊重的又一个例子!最近他们的表现急剧下降。事实上，他们在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过一场。此外，他们输掉了三场比赛。他们目前显然信心不足。

在首回合比赛之前，名古屋在主场面对实力不强的横滨FC队时表现得非常令人失望，横滨队目前排名倒数第二。在这场比赛中，名古屋格兰普斯是博彩市场上的大热门，但客队本应赢得一场胜利!他们有61%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门(3-1)、射门次数(18-6)、角球次数(8-2)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(50-29)。名古屋的进攻足球在这场比赛中几乎糟糕到令人捧场!它缺乏速度，在对手球门附近传球的准确性，最重要的是缺乏创造力!进攻结构有时也“业余水平”-我想说!他们只产生了0.45个预期进球(xG)。客队只得到了1.86分!在此之前，他们在皇帝杯的比赛中被Kashiwa Reysol客场2-0击败，尽管他们在博彩市场上很受欢迎。柏和是一支低级的球队，在J1联赛中排名第16位。

根据他们本赛季在球场上的表现，很难相信名古屋排在联赛第三位。上赛季他们排在第8位，这也是他们在我的力量排名中所处的位置，这反映了球队拥有最好的首发阵容的纯粹等级。另一方面，鹿岛鹿角队上赛季以52分排名第四，我相信他们会在本赛季剩下的时间里击败客队，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都表现得更好。让我们明确一点——名古屋的预期积分(xPTS)只有39.98，但他们不知怎么地拿到了46分。与排名第6的东道主(43分，47.67分)相比，他们的进球数更少，失球数更多。本月2日，鹿岛队在客场2-2战平了雄南贝尔梅尔队，这支球队比排名显示的要危险得多。然而，鹿岛本应该得到全部三分!事实上，他们有62%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数(14胜7负)、角球次数(9胜6负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(49胜28负)。他们只生成了2.53英寸(xG)。东道主只得到了0.88分!在此之前，他们在主场取得了两场漂亮的胜利。最后，我想提一下，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值估计来看，东道主显然是更大的球队。