A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-09-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

美职足

09/10 10:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Portland Timbers VS Los Angeles FC


Portland Timbers host Los Angeles FC for this MLS clash at Providence Park Sunday morning Beijing time Beijing time. This league has improved its level signficantly during the last 8-10 years. Clubs from the US and Canada compete in this league. Now ex-Barcelona stars Messi, Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets have joined David Beckham's Inter Miami which brought a lot of media attention and new fans to MLS. This is, of course, a good thing for this league moving forward. There are also some other older players who have made a good career in Europe – along with some young, predominantly South American players playing in this league. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average level here between these two teams. It is crucial to keep in mind that the home advantage in the MLS is more significant than in many other significant football leagues on the planet. Portland Timbers have lost just four of the 13 games in front of their loyal and loud fans in the MLS so far this season. Their score difference at home is good – 21:16. Los Angeles FC, on the other hand, have not been very impressive on the road this season. They have netted the ball just 13 times and have conceded 17 goals. They are often too passive offensively in away games. I do not expect this to change here.. Indeed, the probability of a draw here is bigger than on average in the MLS – 29% to be precise. I believe this result would be a satisfactory one for both teams. Furthermore, the goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate. The chance of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 44%.

There is no denying that the visitors are the better team here in terms of pure class. However, the difference between the two teams with the expected lineups is not significant. Taking the massive home advantage into account the hosts deserve to be marginal favorites. The biggest, sometimes somewhat sharp bookies with the largest betting limits offer the visitors odds of around 2.30 to take all three points and this is clearly too low! Portland Timbers +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! They have only 30 points to their account but would have deserved more in terms of expected points (xPTS) – 33.78 to be precise. They definitely need points to make it to the Playoffs and are expected to be the more motivated team here. The visitors are in 3rd place with 40 points but are, in reality, not as good as the Western Conference table would suggest! Their recent performances on the pitch have been pretty erratic to sat the least



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波特兰木材队VS洛杉矶FC队


北京时间周日上午,波特兰森林队将在普罗维登斯公园主场迎战洛杉矶FC队。在过去的8-10年里,这个联赛的水平有了很大的提高。来自美国和加拿大的俱乐部参加这个联赛。现在,前巴塞罗那球星梅西、乔迪·阿尔巴和塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨加盟了大卫·贝克汉姆的国际迈阿密,这给美国职业足球大联盟带来了大量的媒体关注和新球迷。当然,这对联盟的发展是一件好事。还有一些年纪较大的球员在欧洲取得了不错的职业生涯,还有一些年轻球员,主要是南美球员在这个联赛中踢球。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛高于平均水平。重要的是要记住,美国职业足球大联盟的主场优势比地球上许多其他重要的足球联赛更重要。本赛季到目前为止,波特兰森林队在他们忠实而响亮的球迷面前进行的13场比赛中只输了4场。他们在主场的比分差距很大,21:16。另一方面,洛杉矶FC本赛季在客场表现不佳。他们只进了13次球,丢了17球。在客场比赛中,他们的进攻往往过于被动。我不希望这种情况在这里发生改变。事实上,这里平局的概率比大联盟的平均概率要大——准确地说是29%。我相信这个结果对两支球队来说都是令人满意的。此外,这里的进球预期低于博彩公司的估计。总进球数少于2.5球的几率为44%。

不可否认的是,客队在实力方面更胜一筹。然而,两支球队在预期阵容上的差异并不显著。考虑到巨大的主场优势,主队理应成为夺冠热门。最大的,有时有些尖锐的博彩公司提供最大的投注限制,为游客提供约2.30的赔率,以获得所有三分,这显然太低了!波特兰木材+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注!他们的账户上只有30分,但他们应该得到更多的期望积分(xPTS)——准确地说是33.78。他们肯定需要得分才能进入季后赛,他们希望成为一支更有动力的球队。客队以40分排名第三,但实际上,他们并没有西部排名所显示的那么好!他们最近在球场上的表现相当不稳定

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