A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 美职足 华盛顿VS圣何塞
2023-09-09

Tapio

外籍分析师

美职足

09/10 07:30

已完赛

解读理由:

DC United VS San Jose Earthquakes


DC United host San Jose Earthquakes for this MLS clash at Audi Field early Sunday morning Beijing time Beijing time. This league has improved its level a lot during the last 8-10 years. Clubs from the US and Canada compete in this league. Now ex-Barcelona stars Messi, Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets have joined David Beckham's Inter Miami which brought a lot of media attention and new fans to MLS. This is, of course, a good thing for this league moving forward. We can expect a match of average level here between these two teams. It is true that the home advantage in the MLS is more significant than in many other significant football leagues on the planet. San Jose Earthquakes have been disappointing on the road in the MLS so far this season. Indeed, they have won just two games away from home. Moreover, their goal difference away from home is pretty terrible - 11:23. They are often way too defensive/ passive away from home which usually leads to too much pressure on their often vulnerable defense - especially in the later stages of the match when fatigue usually becomes a big factor issue.. They have allowed “only” 36 goals in the MLS so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger – 41.21. They have a total of 36 points to their account but we must not be fooled by this! Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 30.76. Their offense has been pretty lame so far this season and they have netted the ball just 32 times this season. It lacks speed, passing accuracy, individual skill and structure! Their number of expected goals (xG) is just 28.12. In my expert opinion only Colorado Rapids, the rock-bottom team with just 19 points in their pocket, have worse offense than the hosts here.

Let’s also remember that they finished in last place in the Western Conference last season with just 35 points. Yes, they have improved this season but many players have also played above their normal level.. They have been on pretty disappointing form lately losing four of their latest sox matches. In their most recent game they were okay though but it was a home game against Minnesota and 1-1 was the final score after a pretty balanced clash. DC United are in 9th place in the Western Conference but have potential to play much better. They have taken 33 points but their number of xPTS is much bigger - 38.46. They crushed the Chicago Fire in their latest game 4-0 at home! What a massive boost this must be to their confidence after a few several defeats. However, they were better than the final score would suggest in many of these games that they ended up losing. I believe the losses affect the odds too much here. The biggest, sometimes somewhat sharp bookies with the largest stake limits offer DC United odds of around 1.75 to take all three points and this is high enough for us to take with the expected lineups. Both teams are missing several players for various reasons. DC United have good fans and an edge in all areas of the game!



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华盛顿联队VS圣何塞地震队


北京时间周日凌晨,华盛顿联队将在奥迪球场迎战圣何塞地震队。在过去的8-10年里,这个联赛的水平提高了很多。来自美国和加拿大的俱乐部参加这个联赛。现在,前巴塞罗那球星梅西、乔迪·阿尔巴和塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨加盟了大卫·贝克汉姆的国际迈阿密,这给美国职业足球大联盟带来了大量的媒体关注和新球迷。当然,这对联盟的发展是一件好事。我们可以期待这两支球队之间的一场平均水平的比赛。的确,美国职业足球大联盟的主场优势比地球上许多其他重要的足球联赛都要重要。本赛季到目前为止,圣何塞地震队在美国职业大联盟的客场表现令人失望。事实上,他们在客场只赢了两场。此外,他们在客场的净胜球差相当可怕——11分23秒。他们在客场的防守往往太过被动,这通常会给他们脆弱的防守带来太大的压力——尤其是在比赛的后期,疲劳通常会成为一个大问题。到目前为止,他们在MLS只丢了36个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)要大得多,达到41.21个。他们的账户上总共有36分,但我们不能被这个欺骗!实际上,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有30.76。本赛季到目前为止,他们的进攻相当蹩脚,本赛季他们只有32次进球。它缺乏速度,传球准确性,个人技术和结构!他们的预期进球数(xG)只有28.12。在我的专家看来,只有科罗拉多急流队,只有19分的垫底球队,有比东道主更糟糕的进攻。

让我们也记住,他们上赛季在西部排名最后,只得到35分。是的,他们这个赛季进步了,但是很多球员的表现也超出了他们的正常水平。他们最近在红袜队的比赛中输掉了四场比赛,表现非常令人失望。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们表现不错,但那是一场主场对阵森林狼的比赛,在一场相当平衡的比赛后,他们的最终比分是1-1。华盛顿联队在西部排名第9,但有潜力打得更好。他们拿到了33分,但是他们的得分要多得多——38.46分。在最近一场比赛中,他们在主场以4:0击败了芝加哥火焰队!在经历了几场失利之后,这对他们的信心肯定是一个巨大的鼓舞。然而,在许多比赛中,他们的表现比最终比分所显示的要好。我认为输球对胜率的影响太大了。最大的,有时有些敏锐的博彩公司以最大的赌注限制为DC联队提供1.75左右的赔率来获得所有三分,这足以让我们接受预期的阵容。由于种种原因,两队都缺了几名队员。DC联队有很好的球迷,在比赛的各个方面都有优势!

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