Inter Miami CF VS Sporting Kansas

Inter Miami welcome Nashville for this MLS clash at DRV PNK Stadium in Fort Lauderdale early Sunday morning Beijing time. This league has raised its level significantly during the past approximately 10 years. Clubs from the USA and Canada play in this league. Now Messi Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets have joined Inter Miami which has brought a lot of media attention to MLS and Inter Miami as well. Messi in particular but also Alba and Busquets have completely transformed the team! The fans are excited and the ticket prices for Inter Miami’s games have multiplied compared to the bad times before Messi’s arrival. We must remember that the home advantage on average in MLS is much bigger on average than in most football leagues in the world. Messi, however, will not be playing in this game as he is on international duty with Argentina. However, his importance to the team’s spirit, level of confidence and chances of still making it to the Playoffs must be given enough emphasis! I believe the betting market has overreacted to Messi being out.

Most of my fans probably know that I never let the league table fool me in any way. Inter Miami currently 14th place in the Eastern Conference standings. There are a total of 15th clubs competing in this conference. Yes, they were disappointing without Messi, Alba and Busquets arrived. However, they have only 21 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher - 29.56. I want to highlight that they have played just three MLS games with the new three star players by MLS standards.. Messi, of course, is still one of the best players in the world. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the host’s players have an estimated total market value of about 91 million euros. Messi is valued at 35 million and even without him Inter Miami are the stronger team on paper here.. I would say that around 115 would be a more realistic number. Let’s keep in mind that Alba and Busquets are old players whose market value is, totally understandably, much lower than their level on the pitch. The Sporting Kansas squad, on the other hand, is valued at about 37 million. This is too high – at least three players are overvalued. In my expert opinion 30-31 million would be a fair number.

The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Inter Miami odds of around 2.10 of taking all three points. In their current form – with the current amazing team spirit I see them having a 54% chance of winning. Sporting Kansas are in 11th place in the Western Conference standings with 32 points but their number of xPTS is only 30.09. They are definitely an overrated team at the moment! They are a very poor team on the road! Indeed, they have won just one game away from home in the MLS so far this season! Moreover, their score difference on the road is abysmal – 11:21. They were a bad team last season as well – finishing in 12th place. In their latest game they beat St. Louis 2-1 at home. They did deserve the win but were also clear favorites – priced around 1.73 to win by the bookies. Before this, however, they were a bit lucky to beat the San Jose Earthquakes at home 3-0. Well, at least the final score is very misleading. Indeed, the visitors recorded more in expected goals (xG) – 1.87-1.19 to be precise. Inter Miami beat Los Angeles FC , a dangerous team currently in 3rd place in the Western Conference, 3-1 in their latest game! They were clear underdogs in this game according to the bookies. It was a pretty balanced clash though as Inter Miami had 52% ball possession and both teams recorded six shots on goal. Messi’s men generated a little more in xG though – 1.79-1.69. Before this they would have deserved a narrow win at home against Nashville but it was a goalless draw despite Miami having 69% ball possession and recording many more shots on goal as well as goal attempts – 13-7-. Miami recorded 0.87 in xG – the visitors managed just 0.43. Lastly I want to mention that before the two games mentioned above Inter Miami won nine games in a row! They can surely improve further!

国际迈阿密VS体育堪萨斯

北京时间周日凌晨，在劳德代尔堡的DRV PNK体育场，迈阿密国际欢迎纳什维尔参加这场大联盟的比赛。在过去的大约10年里，这个联盟的水平有了显著的提高。来自美国和加拿大的俱乐部参加这个联赛。现在梅西，乔迪·阿尔巴和塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨加盟了国际迈阿密，这也给美国职业足球大联盟和国际迈阿密带来了很多媒体的关注。尤其是梅西，还有阿尔巴和布斯克茨，他们完全改变了球队!球迷们兴奋不已，与梅西到来之前的糟糕时期相比，迈阿密国际的比赛门票价格也翻了好几倍。我们必须记住，MLS的平均主场优势比世界上大多数足球联赛都要大得多。然而，梅西将不会参加这场比赛，因为他正在为阿根廷国家队效力。然而，他对球队的精神、信心水平和进入季后赛的机会的重要性必须得到足够的重视!我认为博彩市场对梅西的出局反应过度了。

我的大多数粉丝可能都知道，我从来不会让积分榜以任何方式欺骗我。迈阿密国际目前在东部排名第14位。总共有15个俱乐部参加这次会议。是的，没有梅西，阿尔巴和布斯克茨，他们很失望。虽然只有21分，但预期分数(xPTS)要高得多，达到29.56分。我想强调的是，按照大联盟的标准，他们只和新的三位明星球员打了三场大联盟比赛。当然，梅西仍然是世界上最好的球员之一。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，东道主球员的总市值估计约为9100万欧元。梅西的身价是3500万美元，即使没有他，迈阿密国际在纸面上也是更强的球队。我认为115是一个更现实的数字。让我们记住，阿尔巴和布斯克茨都是老球员，他们的市场价值完全可以理解，远远低于他们在球场上的水平。另一方面，堪萨斯体育队的价值约为3700万美元。这个数字太高了——至少有三名球员被高估了。以我的专家意见，3000万到3100万是个合理的数字。

最大的，有时是相当聪明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注，为国际迈阿密队提供2.10左右的赔率，获得全部三分。以他们目前的状态，以他们现在惊人的团队精神，我认为他们有54%的获胜机会。堪萨斯体育队以32分排在西部第11位，但他们的得分只有30.09分。他们现在绝对是一支被高估的球队!他们是一支在客场表现很差的球队!事实上，他们本赛季到目前为止在美国职业大联盟只赢了一场客场比赛!此外，他们在客场的比分差是可怕的- 11:21。他们上赛季也是一支糟糕的球队，排在第12位。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了圣路易斯。他们确实配得上这场胜利，但也是明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的赔率在1.73左右。然而，在此之前，他们有点幸运，在主场以3比0击败了圣何塞地震队。至少最后的分数很容易误导人。事实上，客队的预期进球数(xG)更高——准确地说是1.87-1.19。国际迈阿密击败洛杉矶FC，一个危险的球队目前在西部第三名，在他们的最新比赛3-1 !根据博彩公司的说法，他们在这场比赛中明显处于劣势。这是一场相当平衡的比赛，因为国际迈阿密拥有52%的控球率，两队都有6次射门。梅西的队员在上一场比赛中创造了更多的进球——1.79比1.69。在此之前，他们本可以在主场与纳什维尔的比赛中险胜，但尽管迈阿密有69%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门和射门次数(13-7)，但他们还是以0比0战平。迈阿密队在xG的得分为0.87，而客队仅为0.43。最后我想提一下，在上面提到的两场比赛之前，国际迈阿密赢得了九连胜!他们肯定可以进一步提高!