Luxembourg VS Iceland

Iceland welcome welcome Iceland for this EURO 2024 qualification Group J round 5 clash Stade de Luxembourg early Saturday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of only mediocre level here Indeed, there is hardly anything between these two teams in terms of pure class in my expert opinion. Even so, I expect the hosts to have 55-60% ball possession and control the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes. Indeed, Iceland are often very passive/defensive in away games. the hosts, on the other hand, do not have that much firepower for this level. The goal expectancy here is a little lower than the betting market thinks. The probability of under 2.5 goals is 71%. In correct score betting 2-0 is the most interesting betting option with a 11% chance of winning.The stakes are high as technically four teams fight for the second place in this group. Portugal will most probably win the group as they already have 12 points in their pocket and are a top-10 country in the world. However, Iceland qualifying would be a big surprise as they only have three points in their pocket. Icelandic football has been in steep decline since 2016 when they stunned the football world even beating England 2-1 in the EURO 2016! A few years ago there were serious disagreements between the national teams and the fans and the situation is still not quite back to normal. This hurts Iceland’s chances as they are a limited team and would need the whole (small) country behind them.

Iceland have been poor in this qualification so far, losing three games and beating only one opponent - very poor country Liechtenstein. They took a 7-0 away win but this score is very misleading and might affect the odds here. Iceland, of course, were the much better team but generated “only” 3.34 in expected goals (xG). Moreover, they have won just one of their latest 11 games during the 90 minutes of play despite facing some pretty weak opponents like Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia. Luxembourg are an even smaller country than Iceland but have raised their level massively during the past 3-4 years! The bookies do not seem to have fully realized this. They have seven points to their account and have a genuine chance of qualifying! In their most recent game they beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 away from home as big underdogs – priced around 7.00 to take all three points! No they were not the better team on the pitch as a whole but still generated a little more in xG 1.54-1.31- Before this they comfortably defeated Liechtenstein 2-0 at home recording 3.01 in xG. The bookies see Luxembourg as only marginal favorites here offering them odds of around 2.70 to win and this is too much! With the home advantage they have a 43% chance to win but we will take the safer +0.5 goals handicap option. The visitors may have more individual skill but the hosts play superbly as a team and also have an awesome team spirit according to my sources!

卢森堡VS冰岛

北京时间周六凌晨，欢迎冰岛参加2024年欧洲杯预选赛J组第5轮比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场水平一般的比赛。事实上，在我的专家看来，这两支球队在纯粹的水平上几乎没有什么区别。即便如此，我还是希望主队拥有55-60%的控球率，并在90分钟的大部分时间里控制场上的局势。事实上，冰岛在客场比赛中经常是非常被动的。另一方面，东道主在这个级别上没有那么多火力。这里的进球预期比博彩市场认为的要低一些。低于2.5个进球的概率是71%。在正确的分数投注2-0是最有意思的投注选项，有11%的获胜机会。从技术上讲，四支球队争夺小组第二的位置，因此赌注很高。葡萄牙最有可能赢得小组冠军，因为他们已经拿到了12分，是世界排名前十的国家。然而，冰岛出线将是一个巨大的惊喜，因为他们只有3分。2016年，冰岛足球在欧洲杯上以2比1击败英格兰，震惊了足球界，自那以来，冰岛足球一直在急剧下滑!几年前，国家队和球迷之间出现了严重的分歧，现在情况还没有完全恢复正常。这伤害了冰岛的机会，因为他们是一支有限的球队，需要整个(小)国家的支持。

到目前为止，冰岛在预选赛中表现不佳，输了三场比赛，只击败了一个对手——非常贫穷的列支敦士登。他们在客场以7比0取胜，但这个比分很容易误导人，可能会影响赔率。冰岛队当然要好得多，但预期进球数“仅”为3.34。此外，尽管面对立陶宛、爱沙尼亚和拉脱维亚等实力相当弱的对手，但在最近的11场比赛中，他们在90分钟内只赢了一场。卢森堡是一个比冰岛更小的国家，但在过去的3-4年里，他们的水平大大提高了!博彩公司似乎还没有完全意识到这一点。他们已经积了7分，有机会出线!在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们客场2-0击败了波黑，他们是大输家——价格在7.00左右，可以拿到全部三分!不，他们在球场上并不是一支整体上更好的球队，但在xG 1.54-1.31的比赛中仍然创造了更多的机会。在此之前，他们在主场以2:0轻松击败列支敦士登，在xG取得了3.01的成绩。博彩公司认为卢森堡队在这里的胜率只有2.70左右，这太过分了!由于主场优势，他们有43%的机会获胜，但我们将采取更安全的+0.5个进球障碍选项。根据我的消息来源，客队可能有更多的个人技术，但东道主作为一个团队发挥得非常出色，也有令人敬畏的团队精神!