4/4. Italian pick for decent odds.
2021-04-17

Pavel

盈利高手

意甲

04/18 00:00

已完赛

萨索洛
1:0
佛罗伦萨
解读理由:

A number of strong arguments in favour of Fiorentina taking points from this visit to the Emilia-Romagna region.

Even if Serie A is still not in the End of Season stage, there are vibes about certain games, where motivation difference is bound to play a key role.

In my opinion, Sassuolo is significantly less interested in points now than Fiorentina. Hosts are not going to Europe (6th spot is at least -12 points away) and are miles away from relegation zone . A number of their star players, including head coach, are on high demand in Italy, which adds distractions to their training routine. So as a result Sassuolo is highly inconsistent at the moment and perform below their 100% level.

On top of that, for the Saturday game they are going to miss 2 key players in attack - Berardi and Caputo. Both are joint top scorers at 11 goals and top playmakers for Sassuolo (5 and 4 assists respectively). If to put these numbers into perspective - Berardi and Caputo have together contributed to the team's 31 season goals. Sassuolo have scored 49 to this day in total. I am surprised this is not reflected in the odds as much as it should. Being short of 50%+ of your attacking power for a team like Sassuolo is a huge blow, especially given they heavily rely on the offensive end to deliver them points.

Fiorentina is still flirting with relegation and has recently changed their manager to make sure Serie B prospects do not become a reality for them. Expectedly the change of faces at the head coach position had little impact on the team's results and gameplay. Fio’s issues are fundamental and will be haunting them for seasons to come, while the current board is in charge. But this is another story. Saturday's game is a lot about motivation for Fio. They have a tricky schedule ahead of them with games against Lazio, Napoli, Juventus, as well as relegation threatened thus dangerous Cagliari and traditionally difficult Verona. At this stage of the competition, Fiorentina simply can’t afford to have a light hearted approach to any game as long as they are within reach of the chasing group at the end of the table. Cagliari is just 8 points away - a loss in Sassuolo, a win for Cagliari against Parma and Fio has one foot in the relegation zone.

With Sassuolo unmotivated and missing so much quality in attack, Fiorentina being hungry for any points and being in “honeymoon stage” under new manager - I can very well see points being at least shared between these two on Saturday or Fio getting a full win.


这次访问艾米利亚—罗马涅地区,有许多支持佛罗伦萨的观点。

即使意甲还没有进入赛季末阶段,某些游戏还是有一定的共鸣,动机的差异势必会发挥关键作用。

我认为,Sassuolo现在对积分的兴趣远不如Fiorentina。主人不会去欧洲(第六名至少是-12点路程),并且离降级区只有数英里之遥。在意大利,包括主教练在内的许多明星球员的需求量很大,这增加了他们的训练常规的注意力。因此,Sassuolo目前处于高度不一致状态,并且表现低于其100%的水平。 最重要的是,在周六的比赛中,他们将错过2位进攻中的关键球员-Berardi和Caputo。双方都是11球入球的最佳射手和萨索洛的最佳射手(分别为5和4助攻)。如果要考虑这些数字-Berardi和Caputo共同为球队的31个赛季进球。到今天为止,萨索洛总共获得了49分。令我惊讶的是,这种可能性没有得到应有的体现。对于像Sassuolo这样的球队,进攻能力不足50%以上,这是一个巨大的打击,特别是考虑到他们严重依赖进攻端来为他们提供得分。

佛罗伦萨仍然在降级区边缘,并且最近改变了他们的主教练,以确保意甲的前景不会成为现实。可以预期的是,主教练职位上的面孔变化对球队的成绩和比赛方式影响不大。 Fio的问题至关重要,将在现任董事会任职期间困扰他们。但这是另一个故事。周六的比赛与Fio的动机息息相关。在面对拉齐奥,那不勒斯,尤文图斯的比赛中,他们的比赛时间表很棘手,降级也威胁着危险的卡利亚里和传统上艰难的维罗纳。在比赛的这个阶段,佛罗伦萨只是只要桌底追逐组能够触及任何游戏,他们就不能轻描淡写。卡利亚里只有8分之遥-萨索洛失利,卡利亚里对帕尔马的胜利,而菲奥则在降级区一只脚。

由于萨索洛缺乏动力,缺乏进攻素质,佛罗伦萨渴望获得任何积分,并且在新教练进入“蜜月阶段”-我看好佛罗伦萨不败。

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