In my opinion Kashima have really good chances to avoid loss in this game.

Both teams played each other on this stadium one month ago. Nagoya won 1:0, but that wasn't deserved result. Kashima controlled the ball (finished with 67% ball possesion). Both teams had similar number of expected goals scored number (Nagoya 0.66, Kashima 0.58).

Since that game, Nagoya played 4 matches in all competitions and failed to record even one win (3 losses and one draw). They have problems at both end of the pitch. No stability at the back - Nagoya conceded at least one goal in all 4 matches (two times more than one). On the other hand offensive formation have serious problems with creativity: they scored only two goals and only in one match they had expected goals score number above 0.80. Their top scorer Junker is out of form - he failed to score since July.

Kashima played 3 matches in that period so freshness for sure is on away side. In addition to that their form looks much more better. They made 7 points in 3 league matches. Kashima offensive formation looked powerfull as they scored more than one goal in all of those 3 matches. On the other hand defensive formation looks solid and not easy to break - in each of those 3 matches they had expected goals conceded number below 0.83.

Kashima is fresher, is in better form and their offensive formation have all required tools to make big difference in this game.

我认为鹿岛队很有可能在这场比赛中避免失利。

两个队一个月前在这个体育场比赛过。名古屋以1:0获胜，但这不是我们应得的结果。鹿岛控球(控球率67%)。两队的预期进球数相近(名古屋0.66，鹿岛0.58)。

自那场比赛以来，名古屋在所有比赛中打了4场比赛，没有取得一场胜利(3负1平)。他们在球场两端都有问题。后防线不稳定——名古屋在全部4场比赛中至少丢了一个球(比1场多2次)。另一方面，进攻阵型在创造力方面存在严重问题:他们只进了两个球，只有一场比赛他们的预期进球超过了0.80。他们的头号射手容克状态不佳——自7月以来他就没进过球。

鹿岛在那段时间踢了3场比赛，所以新鲜感肯定是在客场。此外，他们的形式看起来更好。他们在3场联赛中得了7分。鹿岛的进攻阵型看起来很强大，他们在这三场比赛中都进了不止一个球。另一方面，防守阵型看起来很稳固，不容易被打破——在这三场比赛中，他们的失球数都低于0.83。

鹿岛队更新鲜，状态更好，他们的进攻阵型都需要在这场比赛中发挥重要作用。