Great odds here.

Union Santa Fe is a weak team who finished 20th in the table in the regular season. They started this Copa tournament well with one draw against Racing and an away victory 1:3 agait Estudiantes, two teams that are better than them on paper.

Their squad is one of the worst in Argentina, with only 10.5MM Euros value (whilst San Lorenzo has one of the best squads with 42MM Euros value). They have made a lot of transfers, the last one loaned striker Nicolas Orsini from Boca Juniors. But all transfers have been loans or free agents, they have not spent a single dollar while lost some starters like Imanol Machuca or Lucas Esquivel, both to the Brazilian Serie A.

The new addition of Nicolas Orsini, who will be in the squad for this fixture, was much needed for a team who only scored 19 goals in 27 games in the regular league, having the second worst attack of the Liga Profesional. They are also a difficult team to beat (only 9 defeats), but also struggled a lot to achieve victories - just 6 in 27 rounds, the same number as bottom and relegated side Arsenal Sarandi.

On the other hand, San Lorenzo is one of the big teams in Argentina. Finished third in the Liga Profesional with only 13 goals conceded in 27 games, the best numbers of the league. They were eliminated from the Sudamericana a couple weeks ago so now are totally focused on this tournament.

They are also playing the Copa Argentina, where they beat Belgrano 5 days ago and qualified for the ¼ finals, so are full of confidence. In the Copa of La Liga started the campaign with a victory against Lanus and a draw against Belgrano.

Starter Nahuel Barrios is out due to an injury.

Both teams are very difficult sides to beat. But hosts are pretty much prone to draw, due to their lack of goal they struggle a lot to win games. This added to the solid defense of San Lorenzo (the best in Argentina during the whole season) and the quality difference, makes me think that betting on the guests is the correct choice here.

In previous meetings Union Santa Fe has won just one of the last 7 games, which was in 2021. In the last 3 fixtures San Lorenzo won two and drew one.

几率很大。

圣菲联盟是一支实力较弱的球队，在常规赛中排名第20位。他们在本届杯赛开局不错，一场战平了竞技队，一场客场1:3战胜了大学生队，这两支球队在纸面上都比他们强。

他们的阵容是阿根廷最差的球队之一，只有10.5亿欧元的价值(而圣洛伦索拥有最好的阵容之一，价值4200万欧元)。他们进行了很多的转会，最近一次从博卡青年队租借了前锋尼古拉斯·奥尔西尼。但所有的转会都是租借或自由球员，他们没有花一分钱，而失去了一些首发球员，比如伊马诺·马丘卡(Imanol Machuca)和卢卡斯·埃斯基维尔(Lucas Esquivel)，他们都去了巴西意甲。

新加入的尼古拉斯·奥尔西尼将在本场比赛中出场，对于一支在27场常规联赛中只进19球，攻击力在西甲联赛中排名第二的球队来说，这是非常需要的。他们也是一支很难被击败的球队(只有9场失利)，但他们也很努力地取得胜利——在27轮比赛中只有6场胜利，与垫底和降级的阿森纳萨兰迪一样。

另一方面，圣洛伦佐是阿根廷的豪门球队之一。27场比赛只丢13球，在西甲联赛中排名第三，是联赛中最好的数字。他们在几周前被南美淘汰了，所以现在他们完全专注于这次比赛。

他们还将参加5天前击败贝尔格拉诺并晋级1 / 4决赛的阿根廷杯，因此他们充满信心。在西甲杯中，我们以战胜拉努斯和战平贝尔格拉诺拉开了比赛的序幕。

先发球员巴里奥斯因伤缺阵。

这两个队都是很难击败的球队。但是主队很容易打平，因为他们缺乏进球，他们很难赢得比赛。这使得圣洛伦佐(整个赛季阿根廷最好的球队)的防守更加稳固，而且质量也有所不同，这让我觉得把赌注押在客人身上是正确的选择。

在之前的交锋中，圣达菲联盟在过去的7场比赛中只赢了一场，那是在2021年。在过去的三场比赛中，圣洛伦佐取得了两胜一平的成绩。